Progreso vs Racing: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Progreso vs Racing: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Progreso plays Racing in Primera División (Uruguay). The game is scheduled for September 26, 2026. Venue: Parque Abraham Paladino.
Recent form
Progreso has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Racing has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Progreso scores 0.79 goals per game and allows 1.45. Racing scores 1.21 and allows 0.76. Games in this league average 2.38 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of Progreso's games and 45% of Racing's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 28%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Racing has the higher season xG average, 1.61 to 1.18 per game. Progreso takes 8.7 shots per game, while Racing takes 13.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Progreso leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.45 goals per game after halftime. Racing leads at halftime in 34% and scores 0.62 after halftime.
When the teams score
Progreso's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Racing, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.38 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Progreso | Racing | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Progreso is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Progreso · 1.6 pts / game - Racing
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Racing is 53% better for: goals scored per game.
0.79 goals / game - Progreso · 1.21 goals / game - Racing
Racing is 91% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.45 goals / game - Progreso · 0.76 goals / game - Racing
Progreso scores in 55% of games (16 of 29 games), while Racing keeps a clean sheet in 45% (13 of 29 games).
Racing scores in 76% of games (22 of 29 games), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Progreso
Over / Under - Racing
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Racing is 72% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / game - Progreso · 1.55 pts / game - Racing
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Progreso - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Racing - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 34% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Progreso
Racing
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Progreso | Liga | Racing | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.24 | 2.38 | ▼ 1.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 44% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 29% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 66% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Progreso's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses against Racing. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.
FAQ
When do Progreso and Racing play?
Progreso face Racing on September 26, 2026 in Primera División at Parque Abraham Paladino. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Progreso and Racing?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Progreso won 0, Racing won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Progreso vs Racing?
Progreso score 0.79 goals per game on average and Racing 1.21. The Primera División average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Progreso's matches and 45% of Racing's.
What form are Progreso and Racing in?
Over the last 5 games Progreso have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Racing 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Progreso vs Racing?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.