Progreso vs Wanderers: match statistics
Progreso vs Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Progreso played against Wanderers in Primera División (Uruguay). The game was played on April 18, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Progreso has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Wanderers has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Progreso scores 0.82 goals per game and allows 1.64. Wanderers scores 1.09 and allows 1.55. Games in this league average 2.47 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 36% of Progreso's games and 55% of Wanderers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 64%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Wanderers has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.10 per game. Progreso takes 7.9 shots per game, while Wanderers takes 11.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Progreso leads at halftime in 9% of its games and scores 0.45 goals per game after halftime. Wanderers leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.55 after halftime.
When the teams score
Progreso's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Wanderers, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.47 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a Wanderers win because Progreso have no home wins (0% win rate), score only 0.83 goals per game on average and failed to score in 67% of their home matches. The hosts concede 2.0 goals per home game and have a -7 goal difference at their stadium, while Wanderers concede 1.8 away and have a -4 goal difference, indicating a weaker defense at Progreso. Offensively the visitors create more: Wanderers average 12 shots and 3.4 on target per away match versus Progreso’s 8 shots and 2.83 on target, and xG 1.41 vs 1.13 suggests higher quality chances for the visitors. Form confirms Wanderers’ edge — they average 1.2 points per game in the last 5 matches, while Progreso average just 0.4 and have not won any of their last five. Given the higher away xG, greater shot volume and a much lower percentage of scoreless games for Wanderers (20% vs 67%), I predict a Wanderers victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes. Season metrics show Progreso has BTTS 50% and Wanderers 60% versus a league average of 49%. In the last 5 matches Wanderers have BTTS 80% and Progreso 40%; Progreso averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in that span, while Wanderers score 1.6 and concede 1.8. Both teams’ xG are similar: Progreso xG 1.4, Wanderers xG 1.41; xG against 1.56 and 1.58 respectively, indicating risk of goals from both sides. Additionally, Progreso averages 4.5 shots on target per match versus Wanderers 3.4, with conversion rates 11% vs 8% and clean sheet percentages 33% vs 20%, which together support a scenario where both teams find the net. Considering also that home matches over 2.5 goals occur in 67% and away matches in 60%, I assess BTTS probability at around 70% versus 30% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I recommend Over 1.5: both teams register a high share of matches above 1.5 goals this season — Progreso 83% and Wanderers 80% (avg 81.5%). xG values confirm goal potential: attacking xG 1.4 (Progreso) and 1.41 (Wanderers), and conceded xG 1.56 (Progreso) and 1.58 (Wanderers), yielding about 1.49 expected goals for Progreso and 1.48 for Wanderers, totaling 2.97 goals. Additionally, Wanderers have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches (avg 1.6) with 100% of those games over 2.5, while Progreso have 4 goals in their last 5 (avg 0.8) and only 20% over 2.5 — this shows asymmetry but still boosts total goals. Seasonal over 2.5 rates are 67% (Progreso) and 60% (Wanderers), roughly 64% on average — a moderate signal, but the strongest and most consistent signal from the data is the Over 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I select the X/2 scenario (draw at Half-Time, Wanderers win Full-Time) as the most probable: in the last 5 matches Wanderers have a 40% win rate versus 0% for the hosts, and their average Half-Time points in the last 5 matches is 1.4 for Wanderers versus 0.4 for Progreso. The first half should remain balanced — Progreso were level at the break in 50% of matches, and both teams have a high proportion of games with at least one goal before Half-Time (Progreso 83% vs Wanderers 80%). In the second half the visitors have the edge: Wanderers’ average second-half goals are 1.6 versus 1.17 for the hosts, and in the last 5 matches Wanderers have scored >0.5 goals after the break in 100% of cases. The teams’ xG is almost identical (1.4 vs 1.41), indicating even chances, but Wanderers’ better form and effectiveness in second halves and their 40% win rate in the last 5 matches shift the Full-Time result in favor of the visitors.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Progreso | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Wanderers is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Progreso · 1.2 pts / game - Wanderers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wanderers is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
0.82 goals / game - Progreso · 1.09 goals / game - Wanderers
Wanderers is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.64 goals / game - Progreso · 1.55 goals / game - Wanderers
Progreso scores in 45% of games (5 of 11 meczów), while Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 meczów).
Wanderers scores in 73% of games (8 of 11 meczów), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Progreso
Over / Under - Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wanderers is 84% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.64 pts / game - Progreso · 1.18 pts / game - Wanderers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Progreso - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 9%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Progreso
Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Progreso | Liga | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.45 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 49% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 46% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 28% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 72% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 75% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Progreso's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Wanderers. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Progreso vs Wanderers?
The Primera División match finished Progreso 2:1 Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Progreso and Wanderers?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Progreso won 1, Wanderers won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Progreso vs Wanderers?
Progreso score 0.82 goals per game on average and Wanderers 1.09. The Primera División average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Progreso's matches and 55% of Wanderers's.
What form are Progreso and Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games Progreso have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Wanderers 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Progreso vs Wanderers?
The statistical background for Progreso vs Wanderers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.