Proxy vs Pharco: match statistics

Proxy have shown significantly better form in their last five matches: they have won 4, drawn 1 and suffered no defeats, scoring 11 goals. Over the same period, Pharco have recorded just 1 win, lost 3 matches and scored only 2 goals, clearly limiting their attacking potential. The hosts are averaging 2.2 goals per match during this run, compared with just 0.4 for the visitors, while the difference in points-per-game form stands at 2.6 to 0.8. Proxy’s defense has conceded 5 goals in five matches, but with such a substantial attacking advantage, it should be sufficient to control the game. A home win is the most likely outcome, although Pharco may look to secure a draw in a match expected to feature relatively few chances for the visitors.

The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Pharco’s poor finishing: in their last 5 matches, the team scored just 2 goals, averaging 0.4 per game, while both teams scored in only 20% of those fixtures. Proxy are in significantly better offensive form, scoring 11 goals in 5 matches, an average of 2.2 goals, making a home goal highly likely. However, the hosts conceded only 1.0 goal on average, while Pharco, despite an xG of 1.04, failed to convert their chances into goals. Proxy’s high 80% BTTS rate from their last five matches increases the risk of an away goal, but the clear difference in current goal production—2.2 versus 0.4—more strongly points to a result in which at least one team fails to score.

The available data from the last five matches clearly show Proxy in better form: the hosts scored 11 goals, averaging 2.2 per game, while Pharco scored just 2, averaging 0.4. However, Pharco conceded only 0.8 goals per match, compared with 1.0 for Proxy, which limits the case for a scenario featuring four or more goals. Both teams have an average xG of 1.04, while their xG against figures are 1.42 for Proxy and 1.29 for Pharco, suggesting a combined goal potential closer to 2.2 goals than to a high-scoring game. Proxy matches went Over 2.5 goals in 80% of their last five outings, but the corresponding figure for Pharco is only 20%, making Under 3.5 the most reliable pick.

Proxy are in clearly better form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Pharco have recorded just 1 win, scoring 0.4 and conceding 0.8 goals per match. The hosts were level at half-time in 80% of their recent matches and led in 20%, making the draw/Proxy HT/FT scenario a highly realistic option. At the same time, Pharco have failed to score after the break in their last five appearances, whereas Proxy averaged 1.4 goals in the second half. Proxy won the second half in 80% of this sample and did not lose any of them, while Pharco lost the second half in 60% of their matches and did not win it once. Nevertheless, the strongest individual scenario is the hosts leading at the break and maintaining their advantage until full-time, supported by the difference in form and Proxy’s significantly greater attacking efficiency after half-time.