PSBS Biak Numfor vs Arema: match statistics
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Arema: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
PSBS Biak Numfor played against Arema in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The game was played on May 15, 2026. Final score: 2:5.
Recent form
PSBS Biak Numfor has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. Arema has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
PSBS Biak Numfor scores 0.91 goals per game and allows 2.59. Arema scores 1.41 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of PSBS Biak Numfor's games and 63% of Arema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 72% and 59%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Arema has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.23 per game. PSBS Biak Numfor takes 10.5 shots per game, while Arema takes 11.7.
First-half and second-half trends
PSBS Biak Numfor leads at halftime in 9% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Arema leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.97 after halftime.
When the teams score
PSBS Biak Numfor's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Arema, it is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga 1 games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arema is the favorite in this match and I forecast an away win. Arema sits 10th with 11 wins and 45 goals this season, while PSBS Biak Numfor are 18th with only 4 wins and 29 goals. In their last 5 matches PSBS have not scored, lost all 5 and conceded 19 goals (3.8 per game), whereas Arema have scored 7 in their last 5 and are averaging 1.4 points per game over that stretch. Defensively the visitors have a clear edge: PSBS concede 2.25 goals per home game versus Arema conceding 1.25 on the road; additionally PSBS fail to score in 56% of home matches while Arema are goalless in only 25% of away fixtures. Despite similar xG (PSBS at home 1.38 vs Arema away 1.34), Arema’s superior finishing (10% vs 8%) and greater number of shots on target (3.94 vs 3.44) lead me to the probability assessment: Arema 70%, draw 20%, home win 10%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators suggest a moderate chance against BTTS - both teams have a seasonal BTTS rate of 63% (PSBS 63% and Arema 63%), versus a league average of 52%. A strong signal against BTTS is PSBS form: in the last 5 matches they have scored 0 goals, conceded 19 (3.8 per match) and their recent attacking xG dropped to 0.78 compared to a seasonal xG of 1.46. Arema have 7 goals in their last 5 (1.4 per match), concede on average 1.4 and have a seasonal attacking xG of 1.34, so they are the more likely scorers against PSBS’s very unstable defense (PSBS have conceded 83 goals this season). Shot stats show PSBS average 4.5 shots on target per match with a 14% conversion rate, but recently this hasn’t translated into goals, while Arema average 3.94 shots on target with a 10% conversion and have better recent scoring form (7 goals in last 5). Given PSBS’s zero goals in the last 5 and Arema’s clear ability to score, I assign 70% to “no” (No BTTS) and 30% to “yes” (BTTS - Yes); recommendation: no.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG-based model: xG for PSBS is 1.46, xG for Arema is 1.34, xG against Arema 1.75 and against PSBS 1.37; averaging yields expected 1.61 goals for the home side and 1.36 for the away side, totaling 2.97 goals. Seasonal averages confirm offensive potential and defensive weaknesses: PSBS scores 1.69 and concedes 1.50 per match, Arema scores 1.13 and concedes 1.25, with PSBS suffering as many as 83 goals conceded this season versus 44 conceded by Arema. Percentage-wise Over 1.5 occurred in 88% of PSBS matches and 75% of Arema matches (avg ~82%), Over 2.5 respectively 75% and 44% (avg ~60%), and Over 3.5 31% and 25% (avg ~28%), which gives the strongest signal for the 1.5 line. Additionally, both teams scored in 63% of matches, hosts average 11.75 shots with a 14% conversion rate, and visitors 11.56 with a 10% conversion, supporting at least two goals. As a result I recommend playing Over 1.5 as the strongest and most reliable bet (≈82% probability); Over 2.5 is attractive (≈60%) but less certain, while Over 3.5 remains unlikely (≈28%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal indicates the home side leading at half-time: PSBS led at the break in 7 matches (44%) and averages 0.63 goals in the first half versus Arema's 0.25, which favors the hosts in the opening 45 minutes. Over 90 minutes PSBS records 1.69 goals per match compared to Arema's 1.13 and has an xG of 1.46, while Arema concedes an average xG of 1.75, increasing the likelihood of home goals. Additionally, PSBS has better conversion (14% vs 10%) and more shots on target (4.5 vs 3.94), and their home win rate is 44% versus Arema’s 25% away win rate, which strengthens the scenario of maintaining the lead and securing the victory. However, form risk must be considered: in the last five matches the hosts’ form is 'lllll' and in those games they averaged 0 goals scored and 3.8 conceded, so half-time draw variants (1/X) and a full-time draw (X/X) remain a material risk.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| PSBS Biak Numfor | Arema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arema is 55% better for: goals scored per game.
0.91 goals / game - PSBS Biak Numfor · 1.41 goals / game - Arema
Arema is 88% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.59 goals / game - PSBS Biak Numfor · 1.38 goals / game - Arema
PSBS Biak Numfor scores in 56% of games (18 of 32 meczów), while Arema keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 meczów).
Arema scores in 81% of games (26 of 32 meczów), while PSBS Biak Numfor keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 32 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PSBS Biak Numfor
Over / Under - Arema
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arema is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / game - PSBS Biak Numfor · 1.31 pts / game - Arema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSBS Biak Numfor - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 13%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Arema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 34%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 3.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -16 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (27). Late-goal balance (76-90): -19 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
PSBS Biak Numfor
Arema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| PSBS Biak Numfor | Liga | Arema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.50 | 2.76 | • 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 52% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 53% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 71% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 82% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from PSBS Biak Numfor's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Arema. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of PSBS Biak Numfor vs Arema?
The Liga 1 match finished PSBS Biak Numfor 2:5 Arema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PSBS Biak Numfor vs Arema?
PSBS Biak Numfor score 0.91 goals per game on average and Arema 1.41. The Liga 1 average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 56% of PSBS Biak Numfor's matches and 63% of Arema's.
What form are PSBS Biak Numfor and Arema in?
Over the last 5 games PSBS Biak Numfor have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Arema 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSBS Biak Numfor vs Arema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for PSBS Biak Numfor vs Arema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.