PSG vs Nantes: match statistics
PSG vs Nantes: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
PSG played against Nantes in Ligue 1 (France). The game was played on April 22, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
PSG has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Nantes has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
PSG scores 2.21 goals per game and allows 0.89. Nantes scores 0.86 and allows 1.59. Games in this league average 2.78 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of PSG's games and 48% of Nantes's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 41%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
PSG has the higher season xG average, 2.12 to 1.13 per game. PSG takes 18.0 shots per game, while Nantes takes 10.6.
First-half and second-half trends
PSG leads at halftime in 54% of its games and scores 1.25 goals per game after halftime. Nantes leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.34 after halftime.
When the teams score
PSG's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). For Nantes, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 2.78 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PSG are clear favorites: they sit 1st in the table and win 79% of home matches, scoring 2.5 goals per game on average with an average xG of 2.32 vs opponents' 0.89. In their last 5 matches PSG have scored 12 goals and average 2.4 points per game, while Nantes have not won in that period (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), scoring only 3 goals and averaging 0.6 points per game. The gap in chance quality is significant: the home side average 20.14 shots and 7.21 on target per match with a 12% conversion rate, whereas the visitors away manage only 9.29 shots and 2.71 on target with an 8% conversion rate. Defensively PSG concede 0.71 goals per home match and keep a clean sheet in 64% of games, while Nantes concede 1.36 goals away, have 29% clean sheets and failed to score in 50% of their away fixtures. Considering these figures (2.5 vs 0.71 goals per game, xG 2.32 vs 0.98 and recent form: 12 goals vs 3), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season statistics show a large disparity: PSG scored 62 and conceded 25, while Nantes have 25 for and 46 against. Seasonal percentage of matches with both teams scoring is 53% for PSG and 43% for Nantes against a league average of 49%, giving only a moderate home-side signal for BTTS - Yes, but weaker figures for the away team. In the last 5 matches PSG average 2.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, whereas Nantes average just 0.6 scored and 1.0 conceded, and both teams have 40% BTTS in their last 5 fixtures, which weakens the likelihood of both teams scoring. PSG creates more chances (recent xG 2.0 vs 1.36 for Nantes and on average 11.73 shots and 3.33 on target vs 9.29 and 2.71 for Nantes), so the hosts are the primary source of goals; with Nantes averaging 0.71 goals away and PSG’s improved defense over the last 5 matches, the projection leans toward BTTS - No (60% vs 40%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on average xG and current form: I project 1.54 goals for PSG (seasonal xG 1.27, xG in last 5 matches 2.0; PSG scored 12 goals in their last 5, averaging 2.4) and 1.17 for Nantes (seasonal xG 0.98, xG in last 5 matches 1.36; Nantes scored 3 goals in their last 5, averaging 0.6), totaling 2.71. With this total (lambda=2.71) a Poisson distribution yields a probability of over 1.5 goals of about 75%, over 2.5 about 51% and over 3.5 about 29%. Seasonal indicators support the forecast: PSG matches have a 73% chance of >1.5 goals, Nantes matches 57% for >1.5, and the league average goals is 2.78 (close to 2.71). PSG generates more chances (11.73 shots and 3.33 on target on average) and a higher conversion rate 9% vs Nantes 8%, while Nantes have conceded 46 goals this season, emphasizing the home side’s scoring opportunity. Therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 — a 75% probability provides a clear edge compared to the 2.5 line (51%) and 3.5 (29%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
PSG have won 4 of their last 5 home matches (80%) and were leading at the break in 3 of 5 (60%), with an average first-half goals of 0.8 versus Nantes’ 0.4 over that period. Nantes have failed to win any of their last 5 away matches (0%) and were level at the break in 4 of 5 (80%), which hampers their ability to stage a turnaround after halftime. PSG generate better chances: xG 1.27 vs 0.98, averaging 11.73 shots (3.33 on target) compared to Nantes’ 9.29 shots and 2.71 on target, and season first-half goals of 0.6 vs 0.43. Additionally, over the last 5 matches the hosts average 2.4 goals versus Nantes’ 0.6, so the combination of higher-quality chances and current form makes PSG leading at the break and winning at full-time the most likely scenario (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| PSG | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
PSG is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - PSG · 0.6 pts / game - Nantes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSG is 157% better for: goals scored per game.
2.21 goals / game - PSG · 0.86 goals / game - Nantes
PSG is 79% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.89 goals / game - PSG · 1.59 goals / game - Nantes
PSG scores in 93% of games (26 of 28 meczów), while Nantes keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 meczów).
Nantes scores in 59% of games (17 of 29 meczów), while PSG keeps a clean sheet in 50% (14 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PSG
Over / Under - Nantes
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSG is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.89 pts / game - PSG · 1.17 pts / game - Nantes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSG - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 54% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Nantes - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
PSG
Nantes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| PSG | Liga | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.11 | 2.78 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 49% | • 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 51% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 29% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from PSG's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Nantes. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of PSG vs Nantes?
The Ligue 1 match finished PSG 3:0 Nantes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PSG vs Nantes?
PSG score 2.21 goals per game on average and Nantes 0.86. The Ligue 1 average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 43% of PSG's matches and 48% of Nantes's.
What form are PSG and Nantes in?
Over the last 5 games PSG have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Nantes 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSG vs Nantes?
The statistical background for PSG vs Nantes — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.