PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

PSM play Persebaya Surabaya in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The match date is 6 December 2025 at 13:00. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

PSM: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Persebaya Surabaya: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

PSM scores 1.15 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Persebaya Surabaya scores 1.79 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.80 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: PSM 59%, Persebaya Surabaya 50%. Over 2.5: PSM 44%, Persebaya Surabaya 53%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Persebaya Surabaya has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.30. PSM: 11.1 shots per match, Persebaya Surabaya: 12.3.

Match halves

PSM: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.65. Persebaya Surabaya: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.24.

Goals by minute

PSM: 76-90+ (10 goals). Persebaya Surabaya: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga 1: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
16Shots11
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
3Shots on target2
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
1.59xG1.07
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
8Corners8
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
53Dangerous attacks33
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
8Fouls12
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
4Cards2
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

PSMPersebaya Surabaya
1.15Goals scored / match1.79
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
1.44Goals conceded / match1.03
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
46%Average possession47%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
3.65Shots on target / match4.68
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.09Shots per match12.26
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
3.65Shots on target4.68
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
10.3%Shot conversion14.6%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
46%Possession47%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
1.3xG for1.5
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
1.32xG against1.51
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

Shooting quality

PSM: BalancedPersebaya Surabaya: Counter-attacking
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
Accuracy (shots on target)33%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Persebaya Surabaya is 333% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - PSM · 2.6 pts / match - Persebaya Surabaya

PSM
LWLLL
Season result split
24% W29% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-10-16
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-6-7
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Persebaya Surabaya
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
47% W29% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-10-8
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +26
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-6-4
Last 5 away
3-1-1
LWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 4.0Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 2.22Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Persebaya Surabaya is 56% better for: goals scored per match.

1.15 goals / match - PSM · 1.79 goals / match - Persebaya Surabaya

Persebaya Surabaya is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.44 goals / match - PSM · 1.03 goals / match - Persebaya Surabaya

PSM scoring profile: strong

PSM scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Persebaya Surabaya keeps a clean sheet in 41% (14 of 34 matches).

Persebaya Surabaya scoring profile: very strong

Persebaya Surabaya scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while PSM keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).

39Goals scored (season)61
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
49Goals conceded (season)35
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
2.59Average goals in match2.82
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
3Goals scored (last 5)20
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
10Goals conceded (last 5)0
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal85%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
26%2 goals38%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
12%3 goals24%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
6%4 goals18%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

How often they concede at least...

85%1 goal59%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
44%2 goals26%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
12%3 goals12%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
3%4 goals3%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
Persebaya Surabaya - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.17 of 34 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time15%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
0%BTTS in both halves6%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
15%Scored in both halves26%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS21%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
40%BTTS - last 50%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time59%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Persebaya Surabaya is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.21 pts / match - PSM · 1.41 pts / match - Persebaya Surabaya

PSM - half-time state
29% leading32% draw38% trailing
Persebaya Surabaya - half-time state
29% leading53% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per match (1st half)1.41
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.56
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
1.06Average goals (1st half)0.94
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
47%Clean sheet before half-time68%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
56%No goal before half-time59%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

After half-time (2nd half)

1.03Points per match (2nd half)1.62
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
0.65Goals scored (2nd half)1.24
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.88
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
35%Clean sheet after half-time53%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
62%No goal after half-time29%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

PSM - second-half results

24% W32% R44% P
41
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Persebaya Surabaya - second-half results

41% W38% R21% P
48
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
55
Second-half points
+20
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

PSM - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.80
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet0%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-4-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Persebaya Surabaya - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.60
Goals scored / match0.83.2
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.83.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%80%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+4+16
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

PSM
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
3
6
16-30
8
7
31-45
5
8
46-60
7
9
61-75
10
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Persebaya Surabaya
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
8
5
16-30
8
4
31-45
6
5
46-60
16
11
61-75
20
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.71
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-63%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

PSM

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Persebaya Surabaya

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.77
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
147%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.89
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).

Teams vs league

PSMLigaPersebaya Surabaya
Average goals in match 2.592.80 2.82
Both teams scored 59%52% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 44%54% 53%
Clean sheets 15%27% 41%
Goal before half-time 82%72% 59%
Goal after half-time 79%81% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.80
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: PSM 0 - 0 - 1 Persebaya Surabaya. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya?

The Liga 1 match finished PSM 1:1 Persebaya Surabaya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya?

PSM score 1.15 goals per game on average and Persebaya Surabaya 1.79. The Liga 1 average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 59% of PSM's matches and 50% of Persebaya Surabaya's.

What form are PSM and Persebaya Surabaya in?

Over the last 5 games PSM have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Persebaya Surabaya 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.