PSM vs Persik Kediri: match statistics
PSM vs Persik Kediri: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
PSM played against Persik Kediri in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The game was played on April 23, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
PSM has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Persik Kediri has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
PSM scores 1.18 goals per game and allows 1.36. Persik Kediri scores 1.21 and allows 1.68. Games in this league average 2.73 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 61% of PSM's games and 71% of Persik Kediri's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 68%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Persik Kediri has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.28 per game. PSM takes 10.9 shots per game, while Persik Kediri takes 10.8.
First-half and second-half trends
PSM leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Persik Kediri leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.61 after halftime.
When the teams score
PSM's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Persik Kediri, it is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga 1 games average 2.73 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a PSM win. PSM average 11.71 shots per home match (3.5 on target) and have 1.32 xG per game, while Persik away records 9.71 shots (3.21 on target), 1.23 xG and 52% possession (PSM 45%). PSM score 1.07 goals per home game, Persik only 0.79 away; conversion rate 9% vs 8% indicates a slight finishing edge for the hosts. Defensively the hosts concede 1.21 goals per home game with xG against 1.17 and have 29% clean sheets, whereas Persik concede 2.07 goals away with xG against 1.6 and only 7% clean sheets. Although PSM have conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches (Persik 6) and average 1.0 point in those five vs 1.4 for the visitors, superior chance creation (1.32 vs 1.23), more goals scored in the last 5 matches (9 vs 4) and Persik’s clearly worse away record (goal difference -18 vs -2 at the hosts) lead to favoring PSM.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
PSM has BTTS - Yes in 86% of matches this season and 100% in the last 5 games, while Persik has BTTS - Yes in 57% this season and 40% in the last 5, which is a strong signal for goals from both sides. Home side averages 1.64 goals scored and concedes 1.29 per match, visitors score 0.79 and concede 2.07, meaning both teams regularly allow opponent goals (1.29 and 2.07). xG shows 1.63 for PSM vs 1.23 for Persik, and xG against is 1.33 vs 1.60, suggesting PSM creates more chances while Persik concedes more expected chances; additionally PSM has 5.07 shots on target vs 3.21 and a conversion rate 14% vs 8%. Clean sheets are rare: 14% for the hosts and 7% for the visitors, and in the league BTTS occurs in 56% of matches; over 2.5 is 64% for the hosts and 71% for the visitors, which also favors a Goal/Goal scenario. Considering PSM's 86% season BTTS, 100% in the last 5 and Persik's high xG against (1.60) and low clean sheet percentages, the strongest signal is BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Forecast based on xG and current form indicates an expected total around 2.90 goals: home xG 1.63 correlated with Persik’s average xG conceded 1.60 yields 1.62 expected goals for PSM, while Persik xG 1.23 against PSM’s defense 1.33 gives 1.28 for the away side. Seasonal stats confirm a goal-prone tendency — PSM have 86% of matches over 1.5 and 64% over 2.5, Persik 93% over 1.5 and 71% over 2.5, which strongly supports Over 1.5 and moderately supports Over 2.5. Additionally, PSM average 11.86 shots with 5.07 on target and a 14% conversion versus Persik 9.71 shots, 3.21 on target and 8% conversion, so the hosts are notably more clinical. Both teams-to-score rate is 86% for PSM and 57% for Persik, and over 0.5 seasonally is 93% and 100%, increasing the likelihood of at least two goals in the match. Considering total xG 2.90 and the given percentages, I recommend a bet on Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (pick); I estimate 92% probability for Over 1.5, 68% for Over 2.5 and only 24% for Over 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
PSM shows a clear statistical advantage: on average 1.64 goals per match versus 0.79 for Persik, with a home win rate of 50% vs 14% and an average of 1.86 points per match vs 0.50. Hosts often lead at the break — PSM were leading in 6 of 14 matches (43%), while Persik only in 2 of 14 (14%); average goals by half-time are 1.00 for PSM vs 0.21 for Persik, and hosts concede on average 0.36 goals by half-time vs 0.71 for the visitors. PSM also have higher xG (1.63 vs 1.23), more shots on target (5.07 vs 3.21) and better conversion (14% vs 8%), which increases the likelihood they will maintain the lead and close out the match. Persik struggle away (79% away loss rate) and concede on average 2.07 goals per match this season, so the scenario of PSM leading at half-time and winning at full-time is the strongest. Therefore I assign the highest probability to 1/1 (38%), the second strongest signal is half-time draw and home win (X/1 — 22%), and I assess the combined probability of an away win at about 10%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| PSM | Persik Kediri | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Persik Kediri is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - PSM · 1.4 pts / game - Persik Kediri
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSM is 24% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.36 goals / game - PSM · 1.68 goals / game - Persik Kediri
PSM scores in 71% of games (20 of 28 meczów), while Persik Kediri keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 28 meczów).
Persik Kediri scores in 79% of games (22 of 28 meczów), while PSM keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PSM
Over / Under - Persik Kediri
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSM - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 21%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Persik Kediri - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
PSM
Persik Kediri
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| PSM | Liga | Persik Kediri | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.54 | 2.73 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 56% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 53% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 25% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 72% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 82% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from PSM's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Persik Kediri. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of PSM vs Persik Kediri?
The Liga 1 match finished PSM 3:1 Persik Kediri. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PSM vs Persik Kediri?
PSM score 1.18 goals per game on average and Persik Kediri 1.21. The Liga 1 average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 61% of PSM's matches and 71% of Persik Kediri's.
What form are PSM and Persik Kediri in?
Over the last 5 games PSM have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Persik Kediri 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSM vs Persik Kediri?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for PSM vs Persik Kediri: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.