PSMS vs Sumsel United: match statistics
The match promises to be a close encounter between two teams with similar offensive efficiency. PSMS displays solid home form with a 56% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+4), yet recent matches show some instability. Sumsel United, despite their higher league position, performs weaker away (only 33% wins) and concedes on average more goals (1.11 per match) than PSMS at home (0.78). Both teams have an identical average of goals scored in their matches (1.22), as well as a similar percentage of matches without a goal scored (22%). Taking into account the home advantage of the hosts and the unstable away form of the visitors, along with the quality of Sumsel United, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for either side.
PSMS vs Sumsel United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
PSMS played against Sumsel United in Liga 2 (Indonesia). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
PSMS has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Sumsel United has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
PSMS scores 1.28 goals per game and allows 1.11. Sumsel United scores 1.56 and allows 1.11. Games in this league average 2.67 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 61% of PSMS's games and 61% of Sumsel United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 50%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sumsel United has the higher season xG average, 1.33 to 1.26 per game. PSMS takes 8.3 shots per game, while Sumsel United takes 9.2.
First-half and second-half trends
PSMS leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Sumsel United leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.94 after halftime.
When the teams score
PSMS's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). For Sumsel United, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga 2 games average 2.67 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be a close encounter between two teams with similar offensive efficiency. PSMS displays solid home form with a 56% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+4), yet recent matches show some instability. Sumsel United, despite their higher league position, performs weaker away (only 33% wins) and concedes on average more goals (1.11 per match) than PSMS at home (0.78). Both teams have an identical average of goals scored in their matches (1.22), as well as a similar percentage of matches without a goal scored (22%). Taking into account the home advantage of the hosts and the unstable away form of the visitors, along with the quality of Sumsel United, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for either side.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| PSMS | Sumsel United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
PSMS is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - PSMS · 1.6 pts / game - Sumsel United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sumsel United is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
1.28 goals / game - PSMS · 1.56 goals / game - Sumsel United
PSMS scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Sumsel United keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 meczów).
Sumsel United scores in 83% of games (15 of 18 meczów), while PSMS keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PSMS
Over / Under - Sumsel United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSMS is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - PSMS · 1.11 pts / game - Sumsel United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSMS - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sumsel United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
PSMS
Sumsel United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 2).
Teams vs league
| PSMS | Liga | Sumsel United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.39 | 2.67 | • 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 49% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 30% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from PSMS's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Sumsel United. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of PSMS vs Sumsel United?
The Liga 2 match finished PSMS 3:1 Sumsel United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between PSMS and Sumsel United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches PSMS won 1, Sumsel United won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before PSMS vs Sumsel United?
PSMS score 1.28 goals per game on average and Sumsel United 1.56. The Liga 2 average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 61% of PSMS's matches and 61% of Sumsel United's.
What form are PSMS and Sumsel United in?
Over the last 5 games PSMS have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Sumsel United 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSMS vs Sumsel United?
The statistical background for PSMS vs Sumsel United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.