PSV vs Heerenveen: match statistics
PSV, as the league leaders, display dominant form at their home stadium, scoring an average of 3.27 goals per match with just a 9% loss rate in home games. The hosts boast an impressive 73% win rate at home, along with a significant advantage in ball possession (63%) and shot accuracy (17%). Heerenveen in away matches average a 45% loss rate and a goal difference of -1, conceding an average of 1.64 goals per game. The difference in xG values is clear - PSV generates 2.23 xG in home matches, while Heerenveen only 1.66 xG away. The recent form of both teams (PSV: lwwwl, Heerenveen: dllww) indicates some fluctuations, but PSV's decisive qualitative and statistical advantage at home points to a win for the hosts.
PSV vs Heerenveen: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
PSV played against Heerenveen in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
PSV has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Heerenveen has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
PSV scores 2.91 goals per game and allows 1.22. Heerenveen scores 1.70 and allows 1.70. Games in this league average 3.22 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 70% of PSV's games and 70% of Heerenveen's. The Over 2.5 rates are 83% and 70%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
PSV has the higher season xG average, 2.02 to 1.73 per game. PSV takes 17.3 shots per game, while Heerenveen takes 15.7.
First-half and second-half trends
PSV leads at halftime in 61% of its games and scores 1.35 goals per game after halftime. Heerenveen leads at halftime in 30% and scores 1.04 after halftime.
When the teams score
PSV's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (15 goals). For Heerenveen, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.22 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PSV, as the league leaders, display dominant form at their home stadium, scoring an average of 3.27 goals per match with just a 9% loss rate in home games. The hosts boast an impressive 73% win rate at home, along with a significant advantage in ball possession (63%) and shot accuracy (17%). Heerenveen in away matches average a 45% loss rate and a goal difference of -1, conceding an average of 1.64 goals per game. The difference in xG values is clear - PSV generates 2.23 xG in home matches, while Heerenveen only 1.66 xG away. The recent form of both teams (PSV: lwwwl, Heerenveen: dllww) indicates some fluctuations, but PSV's decisive qualitative and statistical advantage at home points to a win for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| PSV | Heerenveen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
PSV is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - PSV · 1.4 pts / game - Heerenveen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSV is 71% better for: goals scored per game.
2.91 goals / game - PSV · 1.7 goals / game - Heerenveen
PSV is 39% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.22 goals / game - PSV · 1.7 goals / game - Heerenveen
PSV scores in 96% of games (22 of 23 meczów), while Heerenveen keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 23 meczów).
Heerenveen scores in 78% of games (18 of 23 meczów), while PSV keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PSV
Over / Under - Heerenveen
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSV is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.04 pts / game - PSV · 1.22 pts / game - Heerenveen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSV - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 61% of games and wins 83%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Heerenveen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
PSV
Heerenveen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| PSV | Liga | Heerenveen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.13 | 3.22 | ▲ 3.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 64% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 62% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 19% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 96% | 82% | • 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 85% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from PSV's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Heerenveen. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of PSV vs Heerenveen?
The Eredivisie match finished PSV 3:1 Heerenveen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PSV vs Heerenveen?
PSV score 2.91 goals per game on average and Heerenveen 1.70. The Eredivisie average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 70% of PSV's matches and 70% of Heerenveen's.
What form are PSV and Heerenveen in?
Over the last 5 games PSV have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Heerenveen 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSV vs Heerenveen?
The statistical background for PSV vs Heerenveen — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.