PSV vs PEC Zwolle: match statistics
PSV vs PEC Zwolle: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
PSV played against PEC Zwolle in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on April 23, 2026. Final score: 6:1.
Recent form
PSV has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. PEC Zwolle has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
PSV scores 2.80 goals per game and allows 1.33. PEC Zwolle scores 1.33 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 3.17 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 73% of PSV's games and 70% of PEC Zwolle's. The Over 2.5 rates are 83% and 63%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
PSV has the higher season xG average, 2.07 to 1.13 per game. PSV takes 17.8 shots per game, while PEC Zwolle takes 9.9.
First-half and second-half trends
PSV leads at halftime in 53% of its games and scores 1.33 goals per game after halftime. PEC Zwolle leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
PSV's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (17 goals). For PEC Zwolle, it is minutes 0-15 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.17 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PSV sit top (1st) with 24 wins and 84 goals scored this season, while PEC Zwolle are 13th with 8 wins and 40 goals. At home PSV average 3.13 goals per game with 19.6 shots and 7.2 shots on target per match and 64% possession, whereas PEC away average only 1.33 goals with 9.67 shots and 3.53 on target and 47% possession. xG differential favors the hosts (2.2 xG vs 1.1 xG), and defensively PEC concede on average 2.73 goals away compared to 1.6 conceded by PSV at home. In the last 5 matches PSV have scored 11 goals, recorded 3 wins and averaged 1.8 points per game, while PEC scored 6 goals, won 1 match and average 1.2 points per game; both teams conceded 10 goals in those five fixtures. Considering the home form differential (+23 for PSV vs -21 away for PEC), the clear advantage in possession and shots on target, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data strongly support BTTS - Yes: PEC Zwolle posts BTTS in 87% of matches this season versus 53% for PSV, and both teams recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 fixtures. PEC concedes on average 2.73 goals per game (60 conceded this season), while PSV scored 11 goals in their last 5 (2.2 per game), indicating the hosts have realistic scoring potential. PEC averages 1.33 goals away and has 6 goals in the last 5 (1.2 per game), whereas PSV concedes 2.0 goals over that span (10 conceded) and has a 27% clean sheet rate this season, so the visitors can also find the net. xG analysis confirms this: in the last 5 matches PSV’s attacking xG is 1.95 against PEC’s xG conceded 1.96, and PEC has xG 1.42 versus PSV’s xG conceded 1.45, meaning both sides create quality chances. Considering season-long metrics (87% vs 53%), PEC’s low clean sheet rate of 7% and the league BTTS average of 63%, I assign an 80% probability to the "both teams to score" scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Data indicate a high probability of multiple goals: PEC Zwolle have 100% of matches over 1.5 goals this season, PSV 73%, and the league average is 3.17 goals per game. Form further confirms this trend — in their last 5 matches PSV have scored 2.2 and conceded 2.0 on average (a combined 4.2 goals per game), while PEC in their last 5 have scored 1.2 and conceded 2.0 (3.2 goals per game); recent xG is 1.95 for PSV and 1.42 for PEC. PEC matches finish with both teams scoring in 87% of cases, for PSV that figure is 53%, and PEC concedes 2.73 goals per game on average this season, which increases the likelihood of goals at both ends. Based on the combination of xG and form I estimate expected goals of 1.96 for PSV and 1.44 for PEC, i.e. a total of 3.40 goals per match. Therefore the strongest signal is to back Over 1.5 (suggested ~94%), Over 2.5 has significant chances (~72%), while Over 3.5 remains less likely (~40%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
PSV leads at the break in 47% of matches, while PEC Zwolle does so in only 13%, so the highest probability is for the home side to be leading after the first 45 minutes. In the first half PSV averages 0.87 goals scored and concedes 0.53, whereas PEC averages 0.6 scored and concedes 1.53, which amplifies the home advantage before the break. Over the full match PSV has a 47% win rate (60% in the last 5 home games) and an xG of 1.17 versus PEC’s 1.10, while PEC concedes an average of 2.73 goals per game and has only a 7% away win rate, so PSV holding the lead is likely. In my model I assign 38% to the 1/1 scenario as the strongest signal, with alternatives at 18% for X/1 and 16% for X/X, and I assess PEC comebacks as relatively low overall.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| PSV | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
PSV is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - PSV · 1.2 pts / game - PEC Zwolle
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSV is 111% better for: goals scored per game.
2.8 goals / game - PSV · 1.33 goals / game - PEC Zwolle
PSV is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - PSV · 2 goals / game - PEC Zwolle
PSV scores in 97% of games (29 of 30 meczów), while PEC Zwolle keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 meczów).
PEC Zwolle scores in 83% of games (25 of 30 meczów), while PSV keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PSV
Over / Under - PEC Zwolle
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSV is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / game - PSV · 1.27 pts / game - PEC Zwolle
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSV - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 53% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
PEC Zwolle - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 27%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
PSV
PEC Zwolle
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| PSV | Liga | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.13 | 3.17 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 63% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 62% | • 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 23% | 20% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 97% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 84% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from PSV's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against PEC Zwolle. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of PSV vs PEC Zwolle?
The Eredivisie match finished PSV 6:1 PEC Zwolle. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PSV vs PEC Zwolle?
PSV score 2.80 goals per game on average and PEC Zwolle 1.33. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 73% of PSV's matches and 70% of PEC Zwolle's.
What form are PSV and PEC Zwolle in?
Over the last 5 games PSV have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and PEC Zwolle 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSV vs PEC Zwolle?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for PSV vs PEC Zwolle: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.