Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced match with a slight advantage for a draw. Puszcza Niepołomice shows solid disposition in recent matches (3 wins in the last 5 games, PPG 2.0), however, their home form raises doubts – only 18% home wins and a negative goal difference (-3). Pogoń Siedlce is characterized by a high percentage of away draws (42%) and a balanced goal difference (0), suggesting defensive stability despite weaker recent form (PPG 1.0). Both teams have similar xG indicators (1.40 vs 1.26) and similar scoring efficiency, which further argues for a split of points. Given that Puszcza has 45% draws at home and Pogoń 42% draws away, the most likely scenario is sharing the points, though the hosts have a slight edge due to better current form.
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Puszcza Niepołomice play Pogoń Siedlce in 1. Liga (Poland). The match date is 6 March 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Puszcza Niepołomice: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Pogoń Siedlce: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Puszcza Niepołomice scores 1.32 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Pogoń Siedlce scores 0.97 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Puszcza Niepołomice 65%, Pogoń Siedlce 47%. Over 2.5: Puszcza Niepołomice 53%, Pogoń Siedlce 38%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Puszcza Niepołomice has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.25. Puszcza Niepołomice: 10.2 shots per match, Pogoń Siedlce: 10.3.
Match halves
Puszcza Niepołomice: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.74. Pogoń Siedlce: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Puszcza Niepołomice: 76-90+ (13 goals). Pogoń Siedlce: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to a balanced match with a slight advantage for a draw. Puszcza Niepołomice shows solid disposition in recent matches (3 wins in the last 5 games, PPG 2.0), however, their home form raises doubts – only 18% home wins and a negative goal difference (-3). Pogoń Siedlce is characterized by a high percentage of away draws (42%) and a balanced goal difference (0), suggesting defensive stability despite weaker recent form (PPG 1.0). Both teams have similar xG indicators (1.40 vs 1.26) and similar scoring efficiency, which further argues for a split of points. Given that Puszcza has 45% draws at home and Pogoń 42% draws away, the most likely scenario is sharing the points, though the hosts have a slight edge due to better current form.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Puszcza Niepołomice | Pogoń Siedlce | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Puszcza Niepołomice is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Puszcza Niepołomice · 0.6 pts / match - Pogoń Siedlce
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Puszcza Niepołomice is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Puszcza Niepołomice · 0.97 goals / match - Pogoń Siedlce
Puszcza Niepołomice is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Puszcza Niepołomice · 1.26 goals / match - Pogoń Siedlce
Puszcza Niepołomice scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Pogoń Siedlce keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Pogoń Siedlce scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while Puszcza Niepołomice keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Puszcza Niepołomice
Over / Under — Pogoń Siedlce
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Puszcza Niepołomice is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Puszcza Niepołomice · 1.09 pts / match - Pogoń Siedlce
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Puszcza Niepołomice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pogoń Siedlce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Puszcza Niepołomice
Pogoń Siedlce
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Puszcza Niepołomice | Liga | Pogoń Siedlce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | • 65% | 65% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 60% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 20% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 74% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 81% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Puszcza Niepołomice 0 - 1 - 0 Pogoń Siedlce. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce?
The 1. Liga match finished Puszcza Niepołomice 3:0 Pogoń Siedlce. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Puszcza Niepołomice score 1.32 goals per game on average and Pogoń Siedlce 0.97. The 1. Liga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Puszcza Niepołomice's matches and 47% of Pogoń Siedlce's.
What form are Puszcza Niepołomice and Pogoń Siedlce in?
Over the last 5 games Puszcza Niepołomice have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Pogoń Siedlce 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.