Qabala vs Qarabağ: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Qabala play Qarabağ in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 21 December 2025 at 12:00. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Qabala: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Qarabağ: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Qabala scores 0.97 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Qarabağ scores 2.15 and concedes 0.82. League average: 2.58 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Qabala 45%, Qarabağ 45%. Over 2.5: Qabala 42%, Qarabağ 48%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Qarabağ has higher xG: 1.97 vs 1.24. Qabala: 10.5 shots per match, Qarabağ: 15.5.

Match halves

Qabala: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.52. Qarabağ: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.27.

Goals by minute

Qabala: 31-45+ (7 goals). Qarabağ: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

35Possession (%)65
QabalaQarabağ
8Shots16
QabalaQarabağ
2Shots on target3
QabalaQarabağ
1.03xG1.83
QabalaQarabağ
1Corners6
QabalaQarabağ
53Dangerous attacks84
QabalaQarabağ
7Fouls9
QabalaQarabağ
3Cards2
QabalaQarabağ

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.97Goals scored / match2.15
QabalaQarabağ
1.48Goals conceded / match0.82
QabalaQarabağ
46%Average possession65%
QabalaQarabağ
3.52Shots on target / match5.94
QabalaQarabağ

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.48Shots per match15.48
QabalaQarabağ
3.52Shots on target5.94
QabalaQarabağ
9.2%Shot conversion13.9%
QabalaQarabağ
46%Possession65%
QabalaQarabağ
1.24xG for1.97
QabalaQarabağ
1.44xG against1.01
QabalaQarabağ

Shooting quality

Qabala: BalancedQarabağ: Dominant
QabalaQarabağ
Accuracy (shots on target)34%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Qarabağ is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Qabala · 2 pts / match - Qarabağ

Qabala
DLDWW
Season result split
21% W18% R61% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-20
0.82 pts / match · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-9
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LLDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Qarabağ
LWDWW
Season result split
64% W18% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
21-6-6
2.09 pts / match · goal difference +44
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
10-3-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Qarabağ is 122% better for: goals scored per match.

0.97 goals / match - Qabala · 2.15 goals / match - Qarabağ

Qarabağ is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.48 goals / match - Qabala · 0.82 goals / match - Qarabağ

Qabala scoring profile: mixed

Qabala scores in 55% of matches (18 of 33 matches), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).

Qarabağ scoring profile: very strong

Qarabağ scores in 82% of matches (27 of 33 matches), while Qabala keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 33 matches).

32Goals scored (season)71
QabalaQarabağ
49Goals conceded (season)27
QabalaQarabağ
2.45Average goals in match2.97
QabalaQarabağ
7Goals scored (last 5)11
QabalaQarabağ
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
QabalaQarabağ

How often they score at least...

55%1 goal82%
QabalaQarabağ
27%2 goals58%
QabalaQarabağ
12%3 goals30%
QabalaQarabağ
3%4 goals21%
QabalaQarabağ

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal58%
QabalaQarabağ
36%2 goals18%
QabalaQarabağ
12%3 goals6%
QabalaQarabağ
3%4 goals0%
QabalaQarabağ

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time15%
QabalaQarabağ
6%BTTS in both halves3%
QabalaQarabağ
18%Scored in both halves36%
QabalaQarabağ

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
QabalaQarabağ
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
QabalaQarabağ
80%BTTS - last 580%
QabalaQarabağ

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
QabalaQarabağ
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
QabalaQarabağ
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
QabalaQarabağ

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
QabalaQarabağ
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time52%
QabalaQarabağ
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
QabalaQarabağ

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Qarabağ is 78% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.94 pts / match - Qabala · 1.67 pts / match - Qarabağ

Qabala - half-time state
15% leading48% draw36% trailing
Qarabağ - half-time state
42% leading39% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.94Points per match (1st half)1.67
QabalaQarabağ
0.45Goals scored (1st half)0.88
QabalaQarabağ
0.76Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
QabalaQarabağ
1.21Average goals (1st half)1.21
QabalaQarabağ
42%Clean sheet before half-time67%
QabalaQarabağ
64%No goal before half-time48%
QabalaQarabağ

After half-time (2nd half)

0.97Points per match (2nd half)2.03
QabalaQarabağ
0.52Goals scored (2nd half)1.27
QabalaQarabağ
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)0.48
QabalaQarabağ
1.24Average goals (2nd half)1.76
QabalaQarabağ
48%Clean sheet after half-time67%
QabalaQarabağ
64%No goal after half-time33%
QabalaQarabağ

Qabala - second-half results

18% W42% R39% P
31
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Qarabağ - second-half results

61% W21% R18% P
55
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+18
Goal difference (1st half)
67
Second-half points
+26
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Qabala - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Qarabağ - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match0.61.6
Goals conceded / match0.01.4
Average goals in match0.63.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%80%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Qabala
ScoredConceded
4
7
0-15
4
10
16-30
7
8
31-45
7
10
46-60
3
4
61-75
7
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Qarabağ
ScoredConceded
7
3
0-15
8
2
16-30
14
6
31-45
10
7
46-60
12
2
61-75
20
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.71
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-26%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Qabala

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.78
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Qarabağ

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.96
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-17.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
169%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

QabalaLigaQarabağ
Average goals in match 2.452.58 2.97
Both teams scored 45%46% 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 42%48% 48%
Clean sheets 12%31% 42%
Goal before half-time 67%65% 70%
Goal after half-time 67%74% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.58
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+3%
Home attack advantage
+3%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Qabala 0 - 1 - 1 Qarabağ. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FK Qabala
1 : 1
Qarabağ Ağdam FK
Qarabağ Ağdam FK
2 : 0
FK Qabala

FAQ

What was the result of Qabala vs Qarabağ?

The Premyer Liqası match finished Qabala 1:2 Qarabağ. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Qabala and Qarabağ?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Qabala won 0, Qarabağ won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Qabala vs Qarabağ?

Qabala score 0.97 goals per game on average and Qarabağ 2.15. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Qabala's matches and 45% of Qarabağ's.

What form are Qabala and Qarabağ in?

Over the last 5 games Qabala have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Qarabağ 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qabala vs Qarabağ?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Qabala vs Qarabağ: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.