Qarabağ vs Araz: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Qarabağ played against Araz in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game was played on December 14, 2025. Final score: 5:1.

Recent form

Qarabağ has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Araz has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Qarabağ scores 1.85 goals per game and allows 0.46. Araz scores 1.57 and allows 1.43. Games in this league average 2.46 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 31% of Qarabağ's games and 71% of Araz's. The Over 2.5 rates are 23% and 57%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Qarabağ has the higher season xG average, 1.98 to 1.32 per game. Qarabağ takes 15.4 shots per game, while Araz takes 10.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Qarabağ leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 1.23 goals per game after halftime. Araz leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.93 after halftime.

When the teams score

Qarabağ's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Araz, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premyer Liqası games average 2.46 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Stats by half

2 : 0
First half
3 : 1
Second half

Game stats

66Possession (%)34
QarabağAraz
23Shots5
QarabağAraz
9Shots on target4
QarabağAraz
2.89xG0.83
QarabağAraz
8Corners1
QarabağAraz
112Dangerous attacks31
QarabağAraz
15Fouls17
QarabağAraz
1Cards4
QarabağAraz

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.85Goals scored / game1.57
QarabağAraz
0.46Goals allowed / game1.43
QarabağAraz
66%Average possession52%
QarabağAraz
5.23Shots on target / game3.57
QarabağAraz

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.38Shots per game10.36
QarabağAraz
5.23Shots on target3.57
QarabağAraz
12%Shot conversion15.2%
QarabağAraz
66%Possession52%
QarabağAraz
1.98xG for1.32
QarabağAraz
0.83xG against1.51
QarabağAraz

Shooting quality

Qarabağ: DominantAraz: Efficient finishing
QarabağAraz
Accuracy (shots on target)34%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.44

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Qarabağ is 86% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - Qarabağ · 1.4 pts / game - Araz

Qarabağ
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
69% W23% D8% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-3-1
2.31 pts / game · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.09Opponent xG: 1.03BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Araz
LWDLW
Season result split
43% W36% D21% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-3
1.64 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
WDDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Qarabağ is 18% better for: goals scored per game.

1.85 goals / game - Qarabağ · 1.57 goals / game - Araz

Qarabağ is 211% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.46 goals / game - Qarabağ · 1.43 goals / game - Araz

Qarabağ scoring profile: very strong

Qarabağ scores in 85% of games (11 of 13 meczów), while Araz keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 meczów).

Araz scoring profile: strong

Araz scores in 93% of games (13 of 14 meczów), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 62% (8 of 13 meczów).

24Goals scored (season)22
QarabağAraz
6Goals conceded (season)20
QarabağAraz
2.31Average goals per game3
QarabağAraz
11Goals scored (last 5)8
QarabağAraz
3Goals conceded (last 5)7
QarabağAraz

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal93%
QarabağAraz
62%2 goals64%
QarabağAraz
15%3 goals0%
QarabağAraz
15%4 goals0%
QarabağAraz

How often they concede at least...

38%1 goal79%
QarabağAraz
8%2 goals36%
QarabağAraz
0%3 goals14%
QarabağAraz
0%4 goals7%
QarabağAraz

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time29%
QarabağAraz
8%BTTS in both halves14%
QarabağAraz
31%Scored in both halves36%
QarabağAraz

BTTS and goal count

15%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
QarabağAraz
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
QarabağAraz
40%BTTS - last 580%
QarabağAraz

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

62%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
QarabağAraz
23%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
QarabağAraz
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
QarabağAraz

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time93%
QarabağAraz
46%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
QarabağAraz
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
QarabağAraz

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Qarabağ is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.62 pts / game - Qarabağ · 1.43 pts / game - Araz

Qarabağ - half-time state
38% leading46% draw15% trailing
Araz - half-time state
36% leading36% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.62Points per game (1st half)1.43
QarabağAraz
0.62Goals scored (1st half)0.64
QarabağAraz
0.31Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
QarabağAraz
0.92Average goals (1st half)1.29
QarabağAraz
69%Clean sheet before half-time43%
QarabağAraz
54%No goal before half-time43%
QarabağAraz

After half-time (2nd half)

2.31Points per game (2nd half)1.57
QarabağAraz
1.23Goals scored (2nd half)0.93
QarabağAraz
0.15Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
QarabağAraz
1.38Average goals (2nd half)1.71
QarabağAraz
85%Clean sheet after half-time50%
QarabağAraz
31%No goal after half-time29%
QarabağAraz

Qarabağ - second-half results

69% W23% D8% L
21
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.62
PPG before half-time
Lead holding182%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 69%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Araz - second-half results

43% W29% D29% L
20
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Qarabağ - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.402.60
Goals scored / game0.61.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.2
Average goals per game1.01.8
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+7
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Araz - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.20
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game1.41.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Qarabağ
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
3
4
31-45
4
0
46-60
4
1
61-75
8
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Araz
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
2
5
16-30
7
1
31-45
4
4
46-60
5
3
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.66
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+88%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
79%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Qarabağ

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
149%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
38%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Araz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

QarabağLigaAraz
Average goals per game 2.312.46 3.00
Both teams scored 31%44% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 23%46% 57%
Clean sheets 62%32% 21%
Goal before half-time 62%62% 86%
Goal after half-time 77%76% 93%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.46
Average goals per game
44%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.24
Home goals / game
1.22
Away goals / game
+2%
Home attack advantage
+2%
Home defensive advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. QarabağGoalToral Bayramov
  2. ArazSubstitutionOn: Ömər BuludovOff: Issouf Paro
  3. QarabağYellow cardLeandro Livramento Andrade
  4. QarabağSubstitutionOn: Chris KouakouOff: Jonathan Montiel Caballero
  5. ArazYellow cardÜrfan Abbasov
  6. ArazYellow cardBa-Muaka Simakala
  7. QarabağGoalToral Bayramov

Head-to-head

Record from Qarabağ's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Araz. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Araz FK
0 : 5
Qarabağ Ağdam FK

FAQ

What was the result of Qarabağ vs Araz?

The Premyer Liqası match finished Qarabağ 5:1 Araz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Qarabağ vs Araz?

Qarabağ score 1.85 goals per game on average and Araz 1.57. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Qarabağ's matches and 71% of Araz's.

What form are Qarabağ and Araz in?

Over the last 5 games Qarabağ have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Araz 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qarabağ vs Araz?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.