Qarabağ vs Kapaz: match statistics
Qarabağ is the decided favorite for this meeting, occupying 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 67% home wins. The hosts present dominant home form with an average of 1.67 goals per match and just 0.33 goals conceded, alongside 67% clean sheets. Kapaz sits in 10th position with a disastrous away record – 78% losses, an average of 2.67 goals conceded per match, and a goal difference of -17. The guests have not recorded a single clean sheet on the road and failed to score in 67% of matches. Qarabağ holds the advantage in all key statistics: possession (67% vs 44%), xG (2.16 vs 1.2), and shot efficiency, which, given the guests' weak defense, practically guarantees a sure victory for the hosts.
Qarabağ vs Kapaz: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Qarabağ played against Kapaz in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game was played on January 24, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Qarabağ has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Kapaz has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Qarabağ scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 0.63. Kapaz scores 0.69 and allows 2.44. Games in this league average 2.51 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Qarabağ's games and 31% of Kapaz's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 63%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Qarabağ has the higher season xG average, 2.03 to 1.19 per game. Qarabağ takes 15.9 shots per game, while Kapaz takes 10.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Qarabağ leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 1.25 goals per game after halftime. Kapaz leads at halftime in 6% and scores 0.44 after halftime.
When the teams score
Qarabağ's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Kapaz, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premyer Liqası games average 2.51 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Qarabağ is the decided favorite for this meeting, occupying 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 67% home wins. The hosts present dominant home form with an average of 1.67 goals per match and just 0.33 goals conceded, alongside 67% clean sheets. Kapaz sits in 10th position with a disastrous away record – 78% losses, an average of 2.67 goals conceded per match, and a goal difference of -17. The guests have not recorded a single clean sheet on the road and failed to score in 67% of matches. Qarabağ holds the advantage in all key statistics: possession (67% vs 44%), xG (2.16 vs 1.2), and shot efficiency, which, given the guests' weak defense, practically guarantees a sure victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Qarabağ | Kapaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Qarabağ is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Qarabağ · 1.2 pts / game - Kapaz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Qarabağ is 190% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - Qarabağ · 0.69 goals / game - Kapaz
Qarabağ is 287% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.63 goals / game - Qarabağ · 2.44 goals / game - Kapaz
Qarabağ scores in 88% of games (14 of 16 meczów), while Kapaz keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 meczów).
Kapaz scores in 38% of games (6 of 16 meczów), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Qarabağ
Over / Under - Kapaz
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Qarabağ is 298% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / game - Qarabağ · 0.44 pts / game - Kapaz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qarabağ - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 69%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Kapaz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 6% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Qarabağ
Kapaz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Qarabağ | Liga | Kapaz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.63 | 2.51 | ▲ 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 46% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 48% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 32% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 64% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Qarabağ's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Kapaz. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Qarabağ vs Kapaz?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Qarabağ 0:2 Kapaz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Qarabağ vs Kapaz?
Qarabağ score 2.00 goals per game on average and Kapaz 0.69. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Qarabağ's matches and 31% of Kapaz's.
What form are Qarabağ and Kapaz in?
Over the last 5 games Qarabağ have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Kapaz 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qarabağ vs Kapaz?
The statistical background for Qarabağ vs Kapaz — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.