Qarabağ vs Turan: match statistics
As the home team, Qarabağ displays solid form with a 60% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +10. The team dominates possession (68%) and generates high xG values (2.16), which indicates offensive strength. Turan shows good away efficiency (63% win rate), however their average xG (1.13) and significantly lower number of shots on target (2.5) suggest difficulty in creating chances against stronger opponents. Qarabağ's recent form is concerning (3 losses in 5 matches), but the home advantage and seasonal statistics speak in their favor. I expect a tight encounter in which the hosts will utilize their possession advantage and offensive quality to secure three points, although Turan could cause problems thanks to their solid away defense.
Qarabağ vs Turan: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Qarabağ played against Turan in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game was played on February 1, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Qarabağ has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Turan has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Qarabağ scores 1.88 goals per game and allows 0.71. Turan scores 1.31 and allows 0.81. Games in this league average 2.58 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of Qarabağ's games and 44% of Turan's. The Over 2.5 rates are 35% and 50%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Qarabağ has the higher season xG average, 2.03 to 1.25 per game. Qarabağ takes 15.9 shots per game, while Turan takes 9.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Qarabağ leads at halftime in 41% of its games and scores 1.18 goals per game after halftime. Turan leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.81 after halftime.
When the teams score
Qarabağ's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Turan, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premyer Liqası games average 2.58 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As the home team, Qarabağ displays solid form with a 60% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +10. The team dominates possession (68%) and generates high xG values (2.16), which indicates offensive strength. Turan shows good away efficiency (63% win rate), however their average xG (1.13) and significantly lower number of shots on target (2.5) suggest difficulty in creating chances against stronger opponents. Qarabağ's recent form is concerning (3 losses in 5 matches), but the home advantage and seasonal statistics speak in their favor. I expect a tight encounter in which the hosts will utilize their possession advantage and offensive quality to secure three points, although Turan could cause problems thanks to their solid away defense.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Qarabağ | Turan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Turan is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Qarabağ · 1.6 pts / game - Turan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Qarabağ is 44% better for: goals scored per game.
1.88 goals / game - Qarabağ · 1.31 goals / game - Turan
Qarabağ is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.71 goals / game - Qarabağ · 0.81 goals / game - Turan
Qarabağ scores in 82% of games (14 of 17 meczów), while Turan keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 meczów).
Turan scores in 81% of games (13 of 16 meczów), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Qarabağ
Over / Under - Turan
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Qarabağ is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.65 pts / game - Qarabağ · 1.56 pts / game - Turan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qarabağ - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 65%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Turan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Qarabağ
Turan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Qarabağ | Liga | Turan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.59 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 46% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 31% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Qarabağ's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Turan. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Qarabağ vs Turan?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Qarabağ 1:0 Turan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Qarabağ vs Turan?
Qarabağ score 1.88 goals per game on average and Turan 1.31. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Qarabağ's matches and 44% of Turan's.
What form are Qarabağ and Turan in?
Over the last 5 games Qarabağ have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Turan 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qarabağ vs Turan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Qarabağ vs Turan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.