Qarabağ vs Turan: match statistics
As the home team, Qarabağ displays solid form with a 60% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +10. The team dominates possession (68%) and generates high xG values (2.16), which indicates offensive strength. Turan shows good away efficiency (63% win rate), however their average xG (1.13) and significantly lower number of shots on target (2.5) suggest difficulty in creating chances against stronger opponents. Qarabağ's recent form is concerning (3 losses in 5 matches), but the home advantage and seasonal statistics speak in their favor. I expect a tight encounter in which the hosts will utilize their possession advantage and offensive quality to secure three points, although Turan could cause problems thanks to their solid away defense.
Qarabağ vs Turan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Qarabağ play Turan in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 1 February 2026 at 15:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Qarabağ: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Turan: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Qarabağ scores 2.15 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Turan scores 1.33 and concedes 0.82. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Qarabağ 45%, Turan 45%. Over 2.5: Qarabağ 48%, Turan 45%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Qarabağ has higher xG: 1.97 vs 1.32. Qarabağ: 15.5 shots per match, Turan: 10.6.
Match halves
Qarabağ: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.27. Turan: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Qarabağ: 76-90+ (20 goals). Turan: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
As the home team, Qarabağ displays solid form with a 60% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +10. The team dominates possession (68%) and generates high xG values (2.16), which indicates offensive strength. Turan shows good away efficiency (63% win rate), however their average xG (1.13) and significantly lower number of shots on target (2.5) suggest difficulty in creating chances against stronger opponents. Qarabağ's recent form is concerning (3 losses in 5 matches), but the home advantage and seasonal statistics speak in their favor. I expect a tight encounter in which the hosts will utilize their possession advantage and offensive quality to secure three points, although Turan could cause problems thanks to their solid away defense.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Qarabağ | Turan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Qarabağ is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Qarabağ · 0.8 pts / match - Turan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Qarabağ is 62% better for: goals scored per match.
2.15 goals / match - Qarabağ · 1.33 goals / match - Turan
Qarabağ scores in 82% of matches (27 of 33 matches), while Turan keeps a clean sheet in 48% (16 of 33 matches).
Turan scores in 82% of matches (27 of 33 matches), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Qarabağ
Over / Under — Turan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Qarabağ is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Qarabağ · 1.52 pts / match - Turan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qarabağ - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Turan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Qarabağ
Turan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Qarabağ | Liga | Turan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.97 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.15 |
| Both teams scored | • 45% | 46% | • 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 48% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 31% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 65% | • 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Qarabağ 2 - 0 - 0 Turan. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Qarabağ vs Turan?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Qarabağ 1:0 Turan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Qarabağ and Turan?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Qarabağ won 2, Turan won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Qarabağ vs Turan?
Qarabağ score 2.15 goals per game on average and Turan 1.33. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Qarabağ's matches and 45% of Turan's.
What form are Qarabağ and Turan in?
Over the last 5 games Qarabağ have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Turan 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qarabağ vs Turan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Qarabağ vs Turan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.