Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers: match statistics
Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Queen of the South played against Cove Rangers in League One (Scotland). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Venue: Palmerston Park. Final score: 4:3.
Recent form
Queen of the South has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Cove Rangers has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Queen of the South scores 0.75 goals per game and allows 3.00. Cove Rangers scores 0.63 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.64 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Queen of the South's games and 25% of Cove Rangers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 38%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Queen of the South has the higher season xG average, 1.02 to 1.01 per game. Queen of the South takes 9.0 shots per game, while Cove Rangers takes 7.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Queen of the South leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Cove Rangers leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Queen of the South's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Cove Rangers, it is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.64 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Queen of the South have a slight advantage thanks to home form: they average 0.75 goals per match at home, while Cove Rangers score just 0.25 goals away and have lost all 4 of those matches. The hosts also create slightly better chances, with a home xG of 1.17 compared with the visitors’ away xG of 0.97. Queen of the South’s defensive record in these conditions also supports backing the hosts: they concede an average of 1.25 goals, while Cove Rangers concede 2 per match away from home. However, the risk remains significant, as Queen of the South have conceded 16 goals in their last 5 matches, while the visitors have won 3 of their last 5 games overall. Therefore, a home win is the most likely single outcome, but the defensive frailties of both teams mean Queen of the South cannot be considered clear favorites.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last 5 matches, Queen of the South have seen both teams score in 80% of games, compared with 60% for Cove Rangers, which supports a BTTS - Yes pick. The visitors averaged 2.8 goals scored during this period, while the hosts conceded 3.2, so Cove look considerably more likely to score than their season away average of 0.25 goals suggests. Queen of the South have recently averaged 1.4 goals scored, while Cove have conceded 1.2, also providing grounds to expect a goal from the hosts. However, caution is warranted: in Queen of the South’s home matches and Cove Rangers’ away matches, both teams have scored in only 25% of cases so far, and the visitors have failed to score in 75% of their away games. The teams’ more recent scoring form outweighs this risk, making it slightly more likely that both sides will find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least two goals were scored in 75% of Queen of the South’s home matches and Cove Rangers’ away matches, providing a solid basis for backing Over 1.5 goals. In their last five games, Queen averaged 1.4 goals scored and conceded 3.2, while Cove scored 2.8 and conceded 1.2, so current form further supports this pick. However, caution is warranted: Queen have conceded just 0.75 goals per match at home so far, while Cove have scored only 0.25 per match away. The projected total of 2.67 goals therefore points more strongly to the 1.5 line than the 2.5 line, despite both teams going Over the higher line in their last five matches in 60% and 80% of cases, respectively.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: both teams were level at the break in 50% of their respective home and away matches, while Cove Rangers have yet to score in the first half of an away game. The hosts could gain the upper hand after the break, having scored an average of 0.75 goals in second halves at home, while the visitors have conceded an average of 1.5 away from home. Queen of the South's goal record in these conditions also points to a home win: they average 1 goal scored and 0.75 conceded, compared with Cove Rangers' 0.25 scored and 2 conceded. However, caution is warranted, as the visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches overall, scoring an average of 2.8 goals in those games. Despite this improvement in form, their four defeats in four analyzed away matches make a half-time draw followed by a home win the strongest HT/FT scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Queen of the South | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Queen of the South is 19% better for: goals scored per game.
0.75 goals / game - Queen of the South · 0.63 goals / game - Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers is 117% better for: goals allowed per game.
3 goals / game - Queen of the South · 1.38 goals / game - Cove Rangers
Queen of the South scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 games), while Cove Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).
Cove Rangers scores in 38% of games (3 of 8 games), while Queen of the South keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Queen of the South
Over / Under - Cove Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cove Rangers is 252% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.25 pts / game - Queen of the South · 0.88 pts / game - Cove Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Queen of the South - second-half results
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Cove Rangers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 13%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Queen of the South
Cove Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Queen of the South | Liga | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.75 | 2.64 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 44% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 56% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 33% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Queen of the South's perspective: 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Cove Rangers. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers?
The League One match finished Queen of the South 4:3 Cove Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Queen of the South and Cove Rangers?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Queen of the South won 2, Cove Rangers won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers?
Queen of the South score 0.75 goals per game on average and Cove Rangers 0.63. The League One average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Queen of the South's matches and 25% of Cove Rangers's.
What form are Queen of the South and Cove Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Queen of the South have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Cove Rangers 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.