Scotland - League OneData current as of September 13, 2026

Queen of the South vs Inverness CT: match statistics

130%(3.90)
X25%(3.60)
245%(1.75)

Inverness CT demonstrates a clear advantage as the league leaders with an impressive record of 14 season wins and excellent form (5 matches unbeaten, including 3 victories). The away side stands out with a solid defense – conceding only 0.64 goals per away match on average and keeping 64% clean sheets, which is a significant edge over the hosts who concede an average of 1 goal per match at home. Queen of the South, despite a decent league position and a 64% home win rate, shows inconsistent recent form (1.8 PPG) and a weaker defense (xGA 1.4 vs the visitors' xGA 0.91). Inverness's advantage in ball possession (54% vs 53%), superior xG metrics, and higher points-per-game efficiency (2.2 PPG in the last 5 matches) point towards an away win. The difference in defensive quality and form stability gives Inverness CT a realistic chance for another away victory.

Queen of the South vs Inverness CT: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Queen of the South played against Inverness CT in League One (Scotland). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 2:2.

Recent form

Queen of the South has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Inverness CT has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Queen of the South scores 1.59 goals per game and allows 1.18. Inverness CT scores 1.76 and allows 0.62. Games in this league average 2.62 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 41% of Queen of the South's games and 33% of Inverness CT's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 43%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Inverness CT has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.35 per game. Queen of the South takes 10.9 shots per game, while Inverness CT takes 14.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Queen of the South leads at halftime in 41% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Inverness CT leads at halftime in 43% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Queen of the South's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). For Inverness CT, it is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League One games average 2.62 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Inverness CT demonstrates a clear advantage as the league leaders with an impressive record of 14 season wins and excellent form (5 matches unbeaten, including 3 victories). The away side stands out with a solid defense – conceding only 0.64 goals per away match on average and keeping 64% clean sheets, which is a significant edge over the hosts who concede an average of 1 goal per match at home. Queen of the South, despite a decent league position and a 64% home win rate, shows inconsistent recent form (1.8 PPG) and a weaker defense (xGA 1.4 vs the visitors' xGA 0.91). Inverness's advantage in ball possession (54% vs 53%), superior xG metrics, and higher points-per-game efficiency (2.2 PPG in the last 5 matches) point towards an away win. The difference in defensive quality and form stability gives Inverness CT a realistic chance for another away victory.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

56Possession (%)44
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
4Shots3
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
2Shots on target2
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
0.75xG0.68
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
1Corners6
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
47Dangerous attacks47
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
18Fouls13
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
3Cards4
Queen of the SouthInverness CT

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Queen of the SouthInverness CT
1.59Goals scored / game1.76
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
1.18Goals allowed / game0.62
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
52%Average possession54%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
4.64Shots on target / game6.1
Queen of the SouthInverness CT

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.91Shots per game14
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
4.64Shots on target6.1
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
14.6%Shot conversion12.6%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
52%Possession54%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
1.35xG for1.74
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
1.35xG against0.8
Queen of the SouthInverness CT

Shooting quality

Queen of the South: Efficient finishingInverness CT: Attacking
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
Accuracy (shots on target)43%44%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Queen of the South is 71% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - Queen of the South · 1.4 pts / game - Inverness CT

Queen of the South
WWLWW
Season result split
50% W18% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-4-7
1.68 pts / game · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-2-2
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.01BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Inverness CT
LLDWW
Season result split
67% W14% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-3-4
2.14 pts / game · goal difference +24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
6-2-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 0.63BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inverness CT is 11% better for: goals scored per game.

1.59 goals / game - Queen of the South · 1.76 goals / game - Inverness CT

Inverness CT is 90% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.18 goals / game - Queen of the South · 0.62 goals / game - Inverness CT

Queen of the South scoring profile: mixed

Queen of the South scores in 73% of games (16 of 22 meczów), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 62% (13 of 21 meczów).

Inverness CT scoring profile: very strong

Inverness CT scores in 90% of games (19 of 21 meczów), while Queen of the South keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 meczów).

35Goals scored (season)37
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
26Goals conceded (season)13
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
2.77Average goals per game2.38
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
13Goals scored (last 5)6
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
Queen of the SouthInverness CT

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal90%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
41%2 goals48%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
27%3 goals24%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
14%4 goals14%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal38%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
32%2 goals19%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
14%3 goals5%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
9%4 goals0%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

41%
Queen of the South - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.9 of 22 meczów
42%
League average

Goal patterns

5%BTTS at half-time14%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
36%Scored in both halves33%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
23%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
60%BTTS - last 540%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT

2nd half

95%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
23%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inverness CT is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / game - Queen of the South · 1.71 pts / game - Inverness CT

Queen of the South - half-time state
41% leading27% draw32% trailing
Inverness CT - half-time state
43% leading43% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per game (1st half)1.71
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
0.59Goals scored (1st half)0.76
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.29
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
1.09Average goals (1st half)1.05
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
64%Clean sheet before half-time76%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
55%No goal before half-time43%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT

After half-time (2nd half)

1.64Points per game (2nd half)2
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
1Goals scored (2nd half)1
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
0.68Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
1.68Average goals (2nd half)1.33
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
45%Clean sheet after half-time76%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT
36%No goal after half-time33%
Queen of the SouthInverness CT

Queen of the South - second-half results

50% W14% D36% L
33
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding122%

Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Inverness CT - second-half results

62% W14% D24% L
36
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding156%

Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Queen of the South - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.402.40
Goals scored / game0.81.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.22.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+2+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Inverness CT - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.40
Goals scored / game0.21.0
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game0.41.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Queen of the South
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
4
3
16-30
4
5
31-45
9
5
46-60
5
5
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
7
2
31-45
7
1
46-60
10
4
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.58
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
37%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Queen of the South

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.72
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.94
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
44%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.74
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Queen of the SouthLigaInverness CT
Average goals per game 2.772.62 2.38
Both teams scored 41%42% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%52% 43%
Clean sheets 36%32% 62%
Goal before half-time 77%72% 67%
Goal after half-time 95%80% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per game
42%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / game
1.22
Away goals / game
+16%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Queen of the SouthYellow cardMichael Hewitt
  2. Inverness CTGoalLiam SoleAssist: Calum Macleod
  3. Queen of the SouthGoalKai KennedyAssist: Reece Lyon
  4. Queen of the SouthYellow cardKai Kennedy
  5. Queen of the SouthSubstitutionOn: Brennan DickensonOff: Reece Lyon
  6. Inverness CTGoalJordan AlongeAssist: Liam Sole
  7. Queen of the SouthYellow cardMatthew Douglas
  8. Queen of the SouthSubstitutionOn: Niall RogersonOff: Jack Hannah
  9. Inverness CTYellow cardAlfie Stewart
  10. Inverness CTYellow cardAdam Mackinnon
  11. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Luis LongstaffOff: Alfie Bavidge
  12. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Paul AllanOff: Alfie Stewart
  13. Queen of the SouthGoalMichael HewittAssist: Brennan Dickenson
  14. Inverness CTYellow cardJordan Alonge
  15. Inverness CTYellow cardChanka Zimba

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Queen of the South's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Inverness CT. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
4 : 0
Queen of the South FC
Queen of the South FC
0 : 2
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC

FAQ

What was the result of Queen of the South vs Inverness CT?

The League One match finished Queen of the South 2:2 Inverness CT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Queen of the South and Inverness CT?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Queen of the South won 0, Inverness CT won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Queen of the South vs Inverness CT?

Queen of the South score 1.59 goals per game on average and Inverness CT 1.76. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Queen of the South's matches and 33% of Inverness CT's.

What form are Queen of the South and Inverness CT in?

Over the last 5 games Queen of the South have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Inverness CT 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Queen of the South vs Inverness CT?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.