Queen's Park vs Raith Rovers: match statistics

Queen's Park have a clearly better record over their last five matches: they have won 3 games and scored 9 goals, while Raith Rovers have managed just 3 goals during the same period. The hosts have averaged 1.8 points per game across their last five appearances, compared with 1.2 points for the visitors. Both teams’ defenses conceded 6 and 3 goals respectively in this sample, but Raith Rovers have drawn 3 of their 5 matches, highlighting their difficulties in turning closely fought games in their favor. In the current campaign, Queen's Park opened with a 0:2 defeat, while Raith drew 1:1; however, the hosts’ significantly stronger recent attacking output gives them the edge. A Queen's Park victory is the most likely outcome, although a draw remains a realistic scenario given the visitors’ tendency to share the points.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, primarily due to Raith Rovers’ limited attacking output: in their last 5 matches, the team averaged just 0.6 goals and scored 3 goals in total. The visitors also conceded 0.6 goals per match, while their average xG stands at 1.20, which suggests a more closed game rather than an exchange of goals. Queen's Park are clearly more dangerous in attack, recording a home xG of 2.21 and averaging 18 shots, so the most likely scenario remains one in which the hosts score. The home side have averaged 1.8 goals per match in their last five outings, but both teams scored in only 40% of those matches involving their opponents. In addition, the league BTTS average is just 20%, reinforcing the assessment that at least one team—especially Raith Rovers—may fail to score.

Queen's Park's latest form points to more open games: the team averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over their last five matches, with at least three goals being scored in 60% of them. Raith Rovers, however, show a considerably more cautious profile, averaging just 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game during this period, with no matches reaching a minimum of three goals. The hosts' attacking potential remains evident, as their average xG from the last five matches stands at 1.45, while opponents allow an average of 1.15 xG. The visitors generate an average of 1.20 xG, but their poor finishing limits the projection to 0.80 goals. A total expected goals figure of 2.35 gives the Under 3.5 goals option an advantage, as even Queen's Park's attacking activity does not offset Raith Rovers' defensive, low-scoring trend.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Queen’s Park win, as the hosts were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Raith Rovers were level in as many as 4 of their last 5. After the interval, Queen’s Park score an average of 1.2 goals, whereas the visitors have failed to score a single goal in this phase in their last five matches. The hosts won the second half in 80% of those games and conceded just 0.4 goals per match during that period, while Raith Rovers drew the second half in 80% of cases and did not win it once. In addition, overall match form favors Queen’s Park: 3 wins in 5 matches and an average of 1.8 goals scored, compared with Raith Rovers’ average of 0.6 goals.