Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County: match statistics
Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Queens Park Rangers play Derby County in Championship (England). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Queens Park Rangers: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Derby County: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Queens Park Rangers scores 1.33 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Derby County scores 1.46 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Queens Park Rangers 63%, Derby County 65%. Over 2.5: Queens Park Rangers 63%, Derby County 52%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Queens Park Rangers has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.25. Queens Park Rangers: 12.7 shots per match, Derby County: 11.0.
Match halves
Queens Park Rangers: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.76. Derby County: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Queens Park Rangers: 76-90+ (18 goals). Derby County: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Queens Park Rangers have a clear advantage in chance creation at home: they average 13.86 shots per game, of which 4.68 are on target, and generate xG 1.56, while Derby away average 9.91 shots, 3.45 on target and xG 1.14. This translates into a higher home goals average for QPR (1.73) versus 1.50 for Derby away, although QPR more frequently fail to score (18% of home matches goalless vs 14% for Derby), which limits their edge. Defensively Derby show better raw numbers: they concede 1.36 goals on average away compared to 1.55 conceded by QPR at home and record 23% clean sheets versus 18% for the hosts, but Derby also allow higher xG against (1.63 vs 1.25), indicating risk despite a lower actual goals-against rate. Form over the last 5 matches is similar — QPR earn 1.0 point per game (1-2-2), Derby 1.2 points (2-0-3), with the visitors scoring more goals in the last 5 (7 vs 4). Considering QPR’s advantage in xG (1.56 vs 1.14) and shots on target (4.68 vs 3.45), despite Derby’s better conversion (15% vs 12%), I favor a narrow home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Queens Park Rangers | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Derby County is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Queens Park Rangers · 1.2 pts / match - Derby County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Derby County is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Queens Park Rangers · 1.46 goals / match - Derby County
Derby County is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - Queens Park Rangers · 1.28 goals / match - Derby County
Queens Park Rangers scores in 72% of matches (33 of 46 matches), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 46 matches).
Derby County scores in 91% of matches (42 of 46 matches), while Queens Park Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 22% (10 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Queens Park Rangers
Over / Under — Derby County
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Derby County is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Queens Park Rangers · 1.52 pts / match - Derby County
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Queens Park Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Queens Park Rangers
Derby County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Queens Park Rangers | Liga | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.91 | 2.59 | ▲ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 50% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 25% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 76% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Queens Park Rangers 0 - 0 - 1 Derby County. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County?
The Championship match finished Queens Park Rangers 2:3 Derby County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County?
Queens Park Rangers score 1.33 goals per game on average and Derby County 1.46. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Queens Park Rangers's matches and 65% of Derby County's.
What form are Queens Park Rangers and Derby County in?
Over the last 5 games Queens Park Rangers have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Derby County 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.