Querétaro vs Toluca: match statistics
Querétaro vs Toluca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Querétaro play Toluca in Liga MX (Mexico). The match date is 5 April 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Querétaro: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Toluca: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Querétaro scores 1.06 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Toluca scores 1.86 and concedes 1.02. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Querétaro 50%, Toluca 55%. Over 2.5: Querétaro 50%, Toluca 50%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Toluca has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.19. Querétaro: 11.0 shots per match, Toluca: 17.5.
Match halves
Querétaro: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.56. Toluca: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.07.
Goals by minute
Querétaro: 76-90+ (10 goals). Toluca: 46-60 (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Toluca has 21 wins, 10 draws and 4 losses this season with a goal tally of 69-31, while Querétaro has 7 wins, 7 draws and 14 losses with a 27-45 record, which clearly indicates the visitors’ superiority. In the last 5 matches Querétaro scored only 3 goals and failed to win any (0-3-2), conceding 8, whereas Toluca scored 11 in five games and sits at 2-2-1, translating to an average of 0.6 points per game for Querétaro versus 1.6 for Toluca. Home stats show Querétaro averages 10.54 shots and 3.54 on target per match with xG 1.12, but concedes 1.31 goals with xG against 1.53; Toluca away averages 15.47 shots and 5.12 on target, xG 1.59 and only 0.71 goals conceded, giving the visitors an edge in chance creation and conversion. Additionally, Toluca have a 53% win rate and 47% clean sheets away, while Querétaro at home have 38% wins and 31% clean sheets, confirming greater defensive stability for the visitors. Considering 69 vs 27 goals scored, higher xG (1.59 vs 1.12) and better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 points per game), the most likely outcome is a result in favor of Toluca.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Querétaro | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Querétaro is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Querétaro · 0.6 pts / match - Toluca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toluca is 75% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Querétaro · 1.86 goals / match - Toluca
Toluca is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Querétaro · 1.02 goals / match - Toluca
Querétaro scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 31% (13 of 42 matches).
Toluca scores in 74% of matches (31 of 42 matches), while Querétaro keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Querétaro
Over / Under — Toluca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Toluca is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - Querétaro · 1.55 pts / match - Toluca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Querétaro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Querétaro
Toluca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Querétaro | Liga | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.53 | 2.91 | • 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 24% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 72% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Querétaro 0 - 0 - 1 Toluca. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Querétaro vs Toluca?
The Liga MX match finished Querétaro 1:0 Toluca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Querétaro vs Toluca?
Querétaro score 1.06 goals per game on average and Toluca 1.86. The Liga MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Querétaro's matches and 55% of Toluca's.
What form are Querétaro and Toluca in?
Over the last 5 games Querétaro have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Toluca 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Querétaro vs Toluca?
The statistical background for Querétaro vs Toluca — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.