Quevilly Rouen vs Concarneau: match statistics

Quevilly Rouen hold a slightly better position in the table, sitting 12th compared with Concarneau in 16th. In their last five matches, the hosts have collected 7 points from 2 wins and a draw, while the visitors have earned 5 points, winning just once. Both teams scored 4 goals during this period, but Quevilly Rouen conceded 4, compared with Concarneau’s 6, indicating a noticeably less stable defensive unit for the visitors. The hosts opened the season with a 0:1 defeat, while Concarneau lost 0:2, so home advantage and the better recent defensive balance support a Quevilly Rouen win. However, the limited attacking efficiency of both teams increases the likelihood of a tight, low-scoring match.

The strongest signal is the very low BTTS rate: Quevilly Rouen have 0% in the season data, Concarneau also have 0%, while the league average is just 22%. The hosts have yet to score in the competition and have not kept a clean sheet, while the visitors also average 0.0 goals scored in the season data. In their last five matches, both teams scored an average of just 0.8 goals per game, with BTTS occurring in 0% of Quevilly’s matches and 40% of Concarneau’s. Although the hosts’ xG over their last five matches stands at 1.40 and the visitors’ at 1.13, the low scoring efficiency and a combined total of 8 goals scored by both teams across these ten appearances provide stronger support for a scenario in which at least one team fails to score — BTTS No.

Quevilly Rouen’s last five matches produced an average of 1.6 total goals, while Concarneau’s games averaged 2.0 goals, indicating a moderate scoring tempo. Both teams scored just 0.8 goals per match during this period, while Concarneau conceded an average of 1.2 goals. The xG figures also do not point to an open game: Quevilly Rouen created chances worth 1.40 xG, and Concarneau 1.13 xG, with a forecast of approximately 2.20 total goals. Over 2.5 goals landed in just 40% of the last five matches for each team, making the Under 3.5 goals line the safest option.

The strongest scenario is a half-time draw followed by a Quevilly Rouen win, as the hosts were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches, while Concarneau were level in as many as 80%. Both teams have played very cautiously before half-time: Quevilly failed to score before the break in those five matches, while Concarneau averaged just 0.2 goals. After the interval, the advantage lies with the hosts, who averaged 0.8 goals scored and conceded just 0.2 over their last five league matches, whereas the visitors conceded 0.8 goals per game. Quevilly also have the better recent points tally, averaging 1.4 points per match compared with Concarneau’s 1.0, while the visitors drew 40% of their recent matches. A draw at half-time remains highly plausible, but the hosts’ stronger second-half performances point towards a home win in the final result.