Quilmes vs Atlético Rafaela: match statistics
Quilmes vs Atlético Rafaela: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Quilmes play Atlético Rafaela in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 31 May 2026 at 22:00. Venue: Estadio Centenario Dr. José Luis Meiszner. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Quilmes: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Atlético Rafaela: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Quilmes scores 0.90 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Atlético Rafaela scores 0.71 and concedes 0.86. League average: 1.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Quilmes 25%, Atlético Rafaela 29%. Over 2.5: Quilmes 35%, Atlético Rafaela 24%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Quilmes has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.15. Quilmes: 10.7 shots per match, Atlético Rafaela: 8.4.
Match halves
Quilmes: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Atlético Rafaela: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Quilmes: 31-45+ (5 goals). Atlético Rafaela: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.89 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the home win because Quilmes concedes only 0.33 goals per home match and keeps a clean sheet in 67% of games, while Atlético Rafaela scores 0.67 goals on average away and records only 33% of away matches without conceding. Quilmes averages 0.83 goals at home, registers about 3 shots on target per game and has an average home xG of 1.33, but in the last 5 matches they have scored only 1 goal, indicating low finishing efficiency (shot conversion ~8%). Atlético Rafaela show better recent form over the last five matches (1.4 points and 3 goals on average), but their away defense is weaker — they concede 1.17 goals away and have an average xG against of 1.89. The difference in quality of chances is small (xG 1.33 vs 1.1), and both teams lack finishing (8% vs 7%), so I expect few goals and a small home-edge. Suggested probabilities: home 45%, draw 35%, away 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Quilmes | Atlético Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Quilmes is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Quilmes · 0.4 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Quilmes is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - Quilmes · 0.71 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela
Quilmes is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Quilmes · 0.86 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela
Quilmes scores in 45% of matches (9 of 20 matches), while Atlético Rafaela keeps a clean sheet in 52% (11 of 21 matches).
Atlético Rafaela scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Quilmes keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Quilmes
Over / Under — Atlético Rafaela
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Quilmes is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Quilmes · 1.05 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Quilmes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Rafaela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Quilmes
Atlético Rafaela
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Quilmes | Liga | Atlético Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.70 | 1.89 | ▼ 1.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 39% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 35% | 30% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 39% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Quilmes 0 - 1 - 0 Atlético Rafaela. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Quilmes vs Atlético Rafaela?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Quilmes 2:0 Atlético Rafaela. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Quilmes vs Atlético Rafaela?
Quilmes score 0.90 goals per game on average and Atlético Rafaela 0.71. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Quilmes's matches and 29% of Atlético Rafaela's.
What form are Quilmes and Atlético Rafaela in?
Over the last 5 games Quilmes have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Atlético Rafaela 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Quilmes vs Atlético Rafaela?
The statistical background for Quilmes vs Atlético Rafaela — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.