Racing vs Peñarol: match statistics
Racing vs Peñarol: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Racing play Peñarol in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 12 July 2026 at 23:30. Venue: Parque Osvaldo Roberto. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Racing: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Peñarol: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Racing scores 1.30 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Peñarol scores 1.45 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Racing 55%, Peñarol 55%. Over 2.5: Racing 30%, Peñarol 40%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Peñarol has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.61. Racing: 13.2 shots per match, Peñarol: 14.8.
Match halves
Racing: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.65. Peñarol: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Racing: 61-75 (6 goals). Peñarol: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Peñarol is the favorite: they sit 1st versus Racing’s 4th, have 11 wins this season versus the hosts’ 10, and have scored 28 goals compared to 25. Away, Peñarol win 78% of matches and record 67% clean sheets, while Racing at home have 50% wins and 50% clean sheets; visitors concede 0.56 goals per away match versus Racing’s 0.8 at home. Both teams’ xG is nearly identical (1.63 for Peñarol away vs 1.64 for Racing at home) and conversion rate is 10% for both, but Peñarol attempt more shots (15.11 vs 13.6) and have higher possession (53% vs 46%), creating more scoring opportunities. In the last 5 matches Peñarol scored 4 goals and average 1.4 points per game, while Racing scored only 2 goals and 1.2 pts per game, which further favors the visitors. Considering the stronger away record, better defensive numbers (0.56 goals conceded) and advantages in shots and possession, I predict a Peñarol win; estimated probabilities: 45% for the visitors, 30% for the hosts and 25% for a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Racing | Peñarol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Peñarol is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Racing · 2 pts / match - Peñarol
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Peñarol is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Racing · 1.45 goals / match - Peñarol
Racing is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Racing · 0.95 goals / match - Peñarol
Racing scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Peñarol scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Racing keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Racing
Over / Under — Peñarol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Racing is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / match - Racing · 1.35 pts / match - Peñarol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Racing - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Peñarol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Racing
Peñarol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Racing | Liga | Peñarol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.10 | 2.42 | • 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 46% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 69% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Racing 2 - 0 - 1 Peñarol. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Racing vs Peñarol?
The Primera División match finished Racing 1:1 Peñarol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Racing and Peñarol?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Racing won 2, Peñarol won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Racing vs Peñarol?
Racing score 1.30 goals per game on average and Peñarol 1.45. The Primera División average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Racing's matches and 55% of Peñarol's.
What form are Racing and Peñarol in?
Over the last 5 games Racing have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Peñarol 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Racing vs Peñarol?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.