Radnik Surdulica vs Red Star Belgrade: match statistics
Radnik Surdulica vs Red Star Belgrade: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Radnik Surdulica played against Red Star Belgrade in SuperLiga (Serbia). The game was played on April 5, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Radnik Surdulica has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Red Star Belgrade has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Radnik Surdulica scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 1.18. Red Star Belgrade scores 2.93 and allows 0.71. Games in this league average 2.68 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Radnik Surdulica's games and 46% of Red Star Belgrade's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 71%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Red Star Belgrade has the higher season xG average, 2.57 to 1.55 per game. Radnik Surdulica takes 12.8 shots per game, while Red Star Belgrade takes 22.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Radnik Surdulica leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Red Star Belgrade leads at halftime in 75% and scores 1.61 after halftime.
When the teams score
Radnik Surdulica's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Red Star Belgrade, it is minutes 76-90+ (21 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
SuperLiga games average 2.68 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Red Star Belgrade are clear favorites: they sit 1st with a record of 22 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses and 82 goals scored, while Radnik Surdulica are 7th with 10 wins and 36 goals. In their last five matches the visitors have won all 5, scoring 12 and conceding only 1, while Radnik have a 2-3-0 record with 8 goals for and 5 against. Offensive metrics strongly favor Red Star: on average 2.36 goals per away game versus 1.57 scored by Radnik at home, average xG 2.60 vs 1.86, and 22.71 shots and 8.86 on target per match versus 15.07 and 5.07 for the hosts. Radnik have a solid home defense (1.00 goals conceded per game and 43% clean sheets), but the visitors’ superiority in quality of chances (xG higher by 0.74) and better away goal difference (+19 vs +8) argue for Red Star. Based on this I predict an away win; suggested probabilities are 72% for Red Star win, 18% for draw and 10% for Radnik win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show strong offensive metrics: xG is 2.54 for the home side and 2.60 for the away side (combined ~5.14), with shots on target 9.0 vs 8.86, indicating both teams consistently create scoring opportunities. Radnik at home has a season average of 3.5 goals scored (1.6 in the last 5 matches), a season BTTS rate of 36% and 80% in the last 5 home games, showing high variability but recent frequency of Goal/Goal outcomes. Red Star as the visitor averages 2.36 goals per game this season, has 82 goals scored in the season and 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 avg.), and a seasonal away BTTS rate of 57%, indicating realistic potential to score in this fixture. There are defensive signals opposing BTTS: Radnik has a 57% clean sheet expected at home, and Red Star has conceded only 1 goal in the last 5 matches (0.2 avg.), which lowers the probability of both teams scoring. Considering the combined xG of 5.14, the high proportion of matches over 2.5 goals (both teams 71%) and the strong shooting figures for both sides, I assess BTTS - Yes at 65% versus 35% for No Goal and recommend: Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and goals-per-game analysis points to a high-scoring match: the home side has an attacking xG of 2.54 against Red Star’s average away xG conceded of 1.03, implying about 1.79 expected goals for Radnik. For the visitors, attacking xG of 2.60 versus the home side’s xG conceded of 0.89 translates to roughly 1.74 expected goals, totaling 3.53 expected goals. Seasonal metrics confirm a tendency for open games — Over 2.5 occurred in 71% of both teams’ matches, and Over 1.5 in 86% (Radnik) and 79% (Red Star). A Poisson model based on 3.53 goals yields approximately an 87% chance of Over 1.5, 69% for Over 2.5 and 47% for Over 3.5, so the strongest signal is Over 2.5. Additionally, form over the last 5 matches shows Red Star scored 12 goals (avg. 2.4) and Radnik 8 goals (avg. 1.6), which reinforces the higher-goals projection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Red Star as the away team have won all 5 of their last 5 matches (100%) and were leading at the break in 5 of 5 (100%), with an average of 1.8 goals scored by half-time and only 0.2 conceded by half-time. Home side Radnik show strong season numbers — an average of 3.5 goals scored per match and 1.5 goals by half-time, and they led at the break in 79% of league matches this season (11 instances); however, in their last 5 matches the hosts led at the break only once (20%) and were behind at half-time in 60% (3 of 5). xG are comparable: 2.54 for the hosts versus 2.6 for the visitors, but Red Star’s edge emerges in form and result stability (their last 5 matches yield an average of 3.0 points per game and they kept a half-time clean sheet in 4 of 5, i.e. 80%). For these reasons the strongest signal is the away side leading at the break and going on to win (2/2) — I assign this scenario a 45% probability; 20% is assigned to the half-time draw and away win (X/2); remaining outcomes are considered less likely, given the hosts’ seasonal strengths but their weaker recent HT form.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Radnik Surdulica | Red Star Belgrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Red Star Belgrade is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Radnik Surdulica · 3 pts / game - Red Star Belgrade
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Red Star Belgrade is 127% better for: goals scored per game.
1.29 goals / game - Radnik Surdulica · 2.93 goals / game - Red Star Belgrade
Red Star Belgrade is 66% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.18 goals / game - Radnik Surdulica · 0.71 goals / game - Red Star Belgrade
Radnik Surdulica scores in 68% of games (19 of 28 meczów), while Red Star Belgrade keeps a clean sheet in 46% (13 of 28 meczów).
Red Star Belgrade scores in 86% of games (24 of 28 meczów), while Radnik Surdulica keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Radnik Surdulica
Over / Under - Red Star Belgrade
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Red Star Belgrade is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / game - Radnik Surdulica · 2.46 pts / game - Red Star Belgrade
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Radnik Surdulica - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Red Star Belgrade - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 75% of games and wins 79%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +8 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Radnik Surdulica
Red Star Belgrade
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| Radnik Surdulica | Liga | Red Star Belgrade | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.46 | 2.68 | ▲ 3.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 49% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 29% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 70% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Radnik Surdulica's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Red Star Belgrade. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Radnik Surdulica vs Red Star Belgrade?
The SuperLiga match finished Radnik Surdulica 1:2 Red Star Belgrade. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Radnik Surdulica vs Red Star Belgrade?
Radnik Surdulica score 1.29 goals per game on average and Red Star Belgrade 2.93. The SuperLiga average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Radnik Surdulica's matches and 46% of Red Star Belgrade's.
What form are Radnik Surdulica and Red Star Belgrade in?
Over the last 5 games Radnik Surdulica have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Red Star Belgrade 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Radnik Surdulica vs Red Star Belgrade?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.