Radomiak Radom vs Wieczysta Kraków: match statistics

I predict an away win (2): Wieczysta scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches with a 3-1-1 record. Radomiak scored 7 goals in the same period with a 2-1-2 record, averaging 1.4 goals per game versus 2.2 for Wieczysta. Defensively the gap is even clearer — Radomiak conceded 10 goals (2.0 per game), while Wieczysta conceded 6 (1.2 per game), so the visitors are more compact. In points this translates to an average of 2.0 points per game for Wieczysta and 1.4 for Radomiak over the last 5 matches, confirming greater consistency from the visitors. Despite home advantage (hosts positioned 11th vs guests 14th), the superiority in attacking efficiency and defense (11 vs 7 goals and 6 vs 10 conceded) leads to a higher probability of a Wieczysta victory.

Analysis of the last 5 matches shows BTTS occurred for Radomiak in 60% of games and for Wieczysta in 80%, providing a clear signal for both teams to score. Radomiak in those five matches scores on average 1.4 goals and concedes 2.0 goals (7 scored, 10 conceded), while Wieczysta scores 2.2 and concedes 1.2 goals (11 scored, 6 conceded), so both sides have the ability to score and to be scored against. xG values confirm this tendency: Radomiak has attacking xG 1.24 versus xG against 2.00, and Wieczysta attacking xG 1.66 versus xG against 1.58 — both generate and allow goal-scoring opportunities. Team forms (Radomiak W W D L L; Wieczysta L W D W W) show Wieczysta is in better offensive form, further increasing the chance of goals from both sides. Based on this I recommend BTTS = Yes, with probability 80% versus 20% for No Goal.

Radomiak has averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in the last 5 matches, while Wieczysta averaged 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded, indicating offensive potential. xG over the last 5 matches is 1.24 for the home side and 1.66 for the visitors, with xG against of 2.00 and 1.58 respectively; combining one team’s attack with the other’s defense yields expected 1.41 goals for Radomiak and 1.83 for Wieczysta (total 3.24). Both teams had Over 2.5 in 60% of their last 5 matches, and both-teams-to-score occurred in 60% for Radomiak and 80% for Wieczysta, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Additionally, in the last 5 fixtures Radomiak scored 7 and conceded 10, while Wieczysta scored 11 and conceded 6, confirming the open nature of these encounters. Based on this, the strongest and most probable pick is Over 1.5 (recommendation), while Over 2.5 remains attractive and Over 3.5 is less certain.

Wieczysta Kraków appears to be the favorite based on the last 5 matches: they won 60% of games versus Radomiak’s 40% and have an average goals scored of 2.2 per match versus the hosts’ 1.4. The difference is already evident by Half-Time — Wieczysta averaged 1.4 goals in the first half while Radomiak only 0.6, and Radomiak conceded on average 1.4 goals by the break versus 0.8 conceded by Wieczysta. HT statistics show Wieczysta led at the break in 40% of their last 5 matches and were level at half-time in 60%, whereas Radomiak led in 20% and were losing at the break in 40% — this supports a draw or the visitors holding a lead at the break. Considering the goal advantage (2.2 vs 1.4) and higher win rates (60% vs 40%), the strongest signal is a Half-Time draw and a Full-Time win for Wieczysta, therefore I assign the highest probability to the X/2 scenario (28%) and the second-highest probability to the 2/2 scenario (25%). Additionally, form sequences 'wwdll' (Radomiak: 2 wins in 5) and 'lwdww' (Wieczysta: 3 wins in 5) confirm the visitors have a better run and greater chances of a turnaround in the second half.