Raith Rovers vs Arbroath: match statistics
Raith Rovers displays solid home form with a 40% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +5 at their own stadium. The hosts have earned 1.6 points per match in their last five outings, averaging 1.6 goals scored while conceding just 1.1 goals at home. Despite a higher table position (3rd place), Arbroath has a weaker away record with a negative goal difference (-3) and a high loss rate (45%) on the road. The visitors fail to score in 45% of away matches, which could prove crucial given Raith's solid defense (40% clean sheets). The hosts' xG advantage (1.39 vs 1.19) and better shot conversion (14% vs 11%) further argue for a Raith Rovers victory, although Arbroath's overall form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG) suggests the visitors may put up stiff resistance.
Raith Rovers vs Arbroath: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Raith Rovers play Arbroath in Championship (Scotland). The match date is 10 January 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Raith Rovers: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Arbroath: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Raith Rovers scores 1.19 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Arbroath scores 1.19 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Raith Rovers 33%, Arbroath 53%. Over 2.5: Raith Rovers 42%, Arbroath 44%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Raith Rovers has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.28. Raith Rovers: 10.6 shots per match, Arbroath: 10.1.
Match halves
Raith Rovers: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.83. Arbroath: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Raith Rovers: 76-90+ (13 goals). Arbroath: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Raith Rovers displays solid home form with a 40% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +5 at their own stadium. The hosts have earned 1.6 points per match in their last five outings, averaging 1.6 goals scored while conceding just 1.1 goals at home. Despite a higher table position (3rd place), Arbroath has a weaker away record with a negative goal difference (-3) and a high loss rate (45%) on the road. The visitors fail to score in 45% of away matches, which could prove crucial given Raith's solid defense (40% clean sheets). The hosts' xG advantage (1.39 vs 1.19) and better shot conversion (14% vs 11%) further argue for a Raith Rovers victory, although Arbroath's overall form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG) suggests the visitors may put up stiff resistance.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Raith Rovers | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Raith Rovers is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Raith Rovers · 1 pts / match - Arbroath
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Raith Rovers scores in 56% of matches (20 of 36 matches), while Arbroath keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 matches).
Arbroath scores in 64% of matches (23 of 36 matches), while Raith Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 42% (15 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Raith Rovers
Over / Under — Arbroath
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arbroath is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Raith Rovers · 1.17 pts / match - Arbroath
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Raith Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Arbroath - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Raith Rovers
Arbroath
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Raith Rovers | Liga | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.36 | 2.43 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 48% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 44% | • 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 33% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | • 69% | 68% | • 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Raith Rovers 1 - 1 - 1 Arbroath. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Raith Rovers vs Arbroath?
The Championship match finished Raith Rovers 2:3 Arbroath. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Raith Rovers and Arbroath?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Raith Rovers won 1, Arbroath won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Raith Rovers vs Arbroath?
Raith Rovers score 1.19 goals per game on average and Arbroath 1.19. The Championship average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Raith Rovers's matches and 53% of Arbroath's.
What form are Raith Rovers and Arbroath in?
Over the last 5 games Raith Rovers have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Arbroath 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Raith Rovers vs Arbroath?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.