Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton: match statistics
Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Raith Rovers play Greenock Morton in Championship (Scotland). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Raith Rovers: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Greenock Morton: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Raith Rovers scores 1.19 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Greenock Morton scores 1.00 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Raith Rovers 33%, Greenock Morton 56%. Over 2.5: Raith Rovers 42%, Greenock Morton 42%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Raith Rovers has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.17. Raith Rovers: 10.6 shots per match, Greenock Morton: 9.4.
Match halves
Raith Rovers: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.83. Greenock Morton: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Raith Rovers: 76-90+ (13 goals). Greenock Morton: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-2-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Raith Rovers are favorites for this match: at home they score on average 1.75 goals per game and have an average xG of 1.39, while Greenock Morton score away on average 1.13 goals with xG 1.01. The hosts create significantly more chances — 11.5 shots per game and 4.06 on target versus Morton’s 7.5 and 2.81 — and with identical shot conversion of 15% this yields a clear edge in quality of chances. Defensively Raith concede on average 1.13 goals at home and record 38% clean sheets, whereas Morton concede 1.63 goals away and have only 19% clean sheets, which further favors the hosts. In the last 5 matches Raith have scored 10 goals and have 3 wins (PPG 1.8), while Morton have 5 goals and 2 wins (PPG 1.2), so form advantage also speaks for Raith. Considering the higher home win rate (44% vs Morton’s 19% away) and the superiority in xG and shot volume, I tip a home win; a draw is however possible due to Morton’s high draw rate (38%).
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Raith Rovers | Greenock Morton | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Raith Rovers is 350% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Raith Rovers · 0.4 pts / match - Greenock Morton
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Raith Rovers is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.19 goals / match - Raith Rovers · 1 goals / match - Greenock Morton
Raith Rovers is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Raith Rovers · 1.42 goals / match - Greenock Morton
Raith Rovers scores in 56% of matches (20 of 36 matches), while Greenock Morton keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
Greenock Morton scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Raith Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 42% (15 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Raith Rovers
Over / Under — Greenock Morton
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Greenock Morton is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Raith Rovers · 1.5 pts / match - Greenock Morton
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Raith Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Greenock Morton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Raith Rovers
Greenock Morton
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Raith Rovers | Liga | Greenock Morton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.36 | 2.43 | • 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 48% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 44% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 33% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | • 69% | 68% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Raith Rovers 1 - 2 - 0 Greenock Morton. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton?
The Championship match finished Raith Rovers 3:2 Greenock Morton. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Raith Rovers and Greenock Morton?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Raith Rovers won 1, Greenock Morton won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton?
Raith Rovers score 1.19 goals per game on average and Greenock Morton 1.00. The Championship average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Raith Rovers's matches and 56% of Greenock Morton's.
What form are Raith Rovers and Greenock Morton in?
Over the last 5 games Raith Rovers have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Greenock Morton 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.