Raków Częstochowa vs Nieciecza: match statistics
Raków Częstochowa holds the advantage in this match, despite their average home form. The hosts boast a better xG balance (1.63 vs. 1.55), indicating higher quality chance creation, and a significantly stronger defense at home (1.1 goals conceded on average) compared to Nieciecza's weak away defense (1.8 goals conceded). Nieciecza demonstrates offensive efficiency (FTS% only 10%), but their high rate of goals conceded away (avg. 1.8) and negative goal difference (-4) are significant weaknesses. The form of both teams in the last five matches is identical (1-2-2), but Raków's higher ball possession (54%) and superior home defense work in their favor. I expect a tough but victorious match for the hosts, although a draw remains a realistic scenario due to Raków's low win rate at home (only 30%).
Raków Częstochowa vs Nieciecza: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Raków Częstochowa played against Nieciecza in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Raków Częstochowa has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Nieciecza has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Raków Częstochowa scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 1.19. Nieciecza scores 1.24 and allows 1.81. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Raków Częstochowa's games and 67% of Nieciecza's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 48%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Raków Częstochowa has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.46 per game. Raków Częstochowa takes 14.3 shots per game, while Nieciecza takes 12.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Raków Częstochowa leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.76 goals per game after halftime. Nieciecza leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.48 after halftime.
When the teams score
Raków Częstochowa's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). For Nieciecza, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ekstraklasa games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Raków Częstochowa holds the advantage in this match, despite their average home form. The hosts boast a better xG balance (1.63 vs. 1.55), indicating higher quality chance creation, and a significantly stronger defense at home (1.1 goals conceded on average) compared to Nieciecza's weak away defense (1.8 goals conceded). Nieciecza demonstrates offensive efficiency (FTS% only 10%), but their high rate of goals conceded away (avg. 1.8) and negative goal difference (-4) are significant weaknesses. The form of both teams in the last five matches is identical (1-2-2), but Raków's higher ball possession (54%) and superior home defense work in their favor. I expect a tough but victorious match for the hosts, although a draw remains a realistic scenario due to Raków's low win rate at home (only 30%).
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Raków Częstochowa | Nieciecza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Raków Częstochowa is 52% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.19 goals / game - Raków Częstochowa · 1.81 goals / game - Nieciecza
Raków Częstochowa scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 meczów), while Nieciecza keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 meczów).
Nieciecza scores in 81% of games (17 of 21 meczów), while Raków Częstochowa keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Raków Częstochowa
Over / Under - Nieciecza
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nieciecza is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / game - Raków Częstochowa · 1.33 pts / game - Nieciecza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Raków Częstochowa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Nieciecza - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 24%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Raków Częstochowa
Nieciecza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Raków Częstochowa | Liga | Nieciecza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.48 | 2.77 | ▲ 3.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 52% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 25% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 74% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Raków Częstochowa's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Nieciecza. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Raków Częstochowa vs Nieciecza?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Raków Częstochowa 1:0 Nieciecza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Raków Częstochowa vs Nieciecza?
Raków Częstochowa score 1.29 goals per game on average and Nieciecza 1.24. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Raków Częstochowa's matches and 67% of Nieciecza's.
What form are Raków Częstochowa and Nieciecza in?
Over the last 5 games Raków Częstochowa have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Nieciecza 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Raków Częstochowa vs Nieciecza?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Raków Częstochowa vs Nieciecza: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.