Poland - EkstraklasaData current as of 23 July 2026

Raków Częstochowa vs Pogoń Szczecin: match statistics

150%(1.78)
X28%(3.60)
222%(3.90)

Raków Częstochowa is showing solid home form with a record of 36% wins and just 36% losses at home, averaging 1 goal scored and 1 conceded per match. The hosts maintain high ball possession (54%) and an xG of 1.6 for vs 1.44 against, which highlights their dominance in home matches. Pogoń Szczecin has very poor away form – only 18% wins, as many as 64% losses, and a negative goal difference (-10), conceding an average of 1.73 goals per away match. Despite Pogoń's good recent overall form (3 wins in the last 5 matches), their away performances remain a concern with just one win in the last 11 matches. Considering Raków's home advantage and Pogoń's away weaknesses, the most likely scenario is a home win, although the balanced season record of both teams makes a draw also realistic.

Raków Częstochowa vs Pogoń Szczecin: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Raków Częstochowa play Pogoń Szczecin in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match date is 8 March 2026 at 17:30. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Raków Częstochowa: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Pogoń Szczecin: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Raków Częstochowa scores 1.50 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Pogoń Szczecin scores 1.38 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.74 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Raków Częstochowa 56%, Pogoń Szczecin 59%. Over 2.5: Raków Częstochowa 47%, Pogoń Szczecin 53%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Raków Częstochowa has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.63. Raków Częstochowa: 14.0 shots per match, Pogoń Szczecin: 14.5.

Match halves

Raków Częstochowa: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.82. Pogoń Szczecin: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68.

Goals by minute

Raków Częstochowa: 76-90+ (11 goals). Pogoń Szczecin: 31-45+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ekstraklasa: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

Raków Częstochowa is showing solid home form with a record of 36% wins and just 36% losses at home, averaging 1 goal scored and 1 conceded per match. The hosts maintain high ball possession (54%) and an xG of 1.6 for vs 1.44 against, which highlights their dominance in home matches. Pogoń Szczecin has very poor away form – only 18% wins, as many as 64% losses, and a negative goal difference (-10), conceding an average of 1.73 goals per away match. Despite Pogoń's good recent overall form (3 wins in the last 5 matches), their away performances remain a concern with just one win in the last 11 matches. Considering Raków's home advantage and Pogoń's away weaknesses, the most likely scenario is a home win, although the balanced season record of both teams makes a draw also realistic.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

64Possession (%)36
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
24Shots5
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
6Shots on target1
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
2.58xG0.58
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
6Corners0
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
91Dangerous attacks25
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
11Fouls13
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
0Cards3
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
1.5Goals scored / match1.38
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
1.18Goals conceded / match1.44
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
54%Average possession52%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
4.82Shots on target / match4.47
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.97Shots per match14.5
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
4.82Shots on target4.47
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
10.7%Shot conversion9.5%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
54%Possession52%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
1.67xG for1.63
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
1.47xG against1.71
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

Shooting quality

Raków Częstochowa: BalancedPogoń Szczecin: Attacking
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
Accuracy (shots on target)35%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Raków Częstochowa is 50% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Raków Częstochowa · 1.6 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin

Raków Częstochowa
WWLWW
Season result split
47% W21% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-7-11
1.62 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-4-5
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Pogoń Szczecin
DWLWD
Season result split
38% W18% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-6-15
1.32 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-10
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Raków Częstochowa is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Raków Częstochowa · 1.38 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin

Raków Częstochowa is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.18 goals / match - Raków Częstochowa · 1.44 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin

Raków Częstochowa scoring profile: very strong

Raków Częstochowa scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Pogoń Szczecin keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).

Pogoń Szczecin scoring profile: very strong

Pogoń Szczecin scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Raków Częstochowa keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).

51Goals scored (season)47
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
40Goals conceded (season)49
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
2.68Average goals in match2.82
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
10Goals scored (last 5)8
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal79%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
41%2 goals38%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
21%3 goals12%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
9%4 goals6%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal79%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
32%2 goals44%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
12%3 goals12%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
3%4 goals6%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
Raków Częstochowa - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.19 of 34 matches
58%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time26%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
6%BTTS in both halves6%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
32%Scored in both halves24%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
40%BTTS - last 560%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Raków Częstochowa is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / match - Raków Częstochowa · 1.26 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin

Raków Częstochowa - half-time state
29% leading50% draw21% trailing
Pogoń Szczecin - half-time state
32% leading29% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per match (1st half)1.26
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.71
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.68
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
1.18Average goals (1st half)1.38
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
59%Clean sheet before half-time41%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
53%No goal before half-time47%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)1.29
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
0.68Goals conceded (2nd half)0.76
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.44
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
47%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
35%No goal after half-time50%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

Raków Częstochowa - second-half results

38% W32% R29% P
47
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Pogoń Szczecin - second-half results

35% W24% R41% P
43
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.26
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Raków Częstochowa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.80
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Pogoń Szczecin - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Raków Częstochowa
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
6
4
16-30
10
9
31-45
7
7
46-60
10
6
61-75
11
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Pogoń Szczecin
ScoredConceded
4
8
0-15
4
7
16-30
16
8
31-45
4
10
46-60
5
4
61-75
14
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Raków Częstochowa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.78
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Pogoń Szczecin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).

Teams vs league

Raków CzęstochowaLigaPogoń Szczecin
Average goals in match 2.682.74 2.82
Both teams scored 56%58% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%52% 53%
Clean sheets 29%25% 21%
Goal before half-time 68%73% 85%
Goal after half-time 85%77% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.74
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
1.16
Away goals / match
+36%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Raków Częstochowa 0 - 0 - 1 Pogoń Szczecin. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

MKS Pogoń Szczecin
2 : 0
KS Raków Częstochowa

FAQ

What was the result of Raków Częstochowa vs Pogoń Szczecin?

The Ekstraklasa match finished Raków Częstochowa 2:0 Pogoń Szczecin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Raków Częstochowa vs Pogoń Szczecin?

Raków Częstochowa score 1.50 goals per game on average and Pogoń Szczecin 1.38. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Raków Częstochowa's matches and 59% of Pogoń Szczecin's.

What form are Raków Częstochowa and Pogoń Szczecin in?

Over the last 5 games Raków Częstochowa have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Pogoń Szczecin 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Raków Częstochowa vs Pogoń Szczecin?

The statistical background for Raków Częstochowa vs Pogoń Szczecin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.