Poland - EkstraklasaData current as of September 11, 2026

Raków Częstochowa vs Pogoń Szczecin: match statistics

150%(1.78)
X28%(3.60)
222%(3.90)

Raków Częstochowa is showing solid home form with a record of 36% wins and just 36% losses at home, averaging 1 goal scored and 1 conceded per match. The hosts maintain high ball possession (54%) and an xG of 1.6 for vs 1.44 against, which highlights their dominance in home matches. Pogoń Szczecin has very poor away form – only 18% wins, as many as 64% losses, and a negative goal difference (-10), conceding an average of 1.73 goals per away match. Despite Pogoń's good recent overall form (3 wins in the last 5 matches), their away performances remain a concern with just one win in the last 11 matches. Considering Raków's home advantage and Pogoń's away weaknesses, the most likely scenario is a home win, although the balanced season record of both teams makes a draw also realistic.

Raków Częstochowa vs Pogoń Szczecin: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Raków Częstochowa played against Pogoń Szczecin in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The game was played on March 8, 2026. Final score: 2:0.

Recent form

Raków Częstochowa has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Pogoń Szczecin has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Raków Częstochowa scores 1.35 goals per game and allows 1.26. Pogoń Szczecin scores 1.43 and allows 1.52. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 52% of Raków Częstochowa's games and 61% of Pogoń Szczecin's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 57%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Pogoń Szczecin has the higher season xG average, 1.75 to 1.70 per game. Raków Częstochowa takes 14.1 shots per game, while Pogoń Szczecin takes 15.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Raków Częstochowa leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.74 goals per game after halftime. Pogoń Szczecin leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.70 after halftime.

When the teams score

Raków Częstochowa's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Pogoń Szczecin, it is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ekstraklasa games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Raków Częstochowa is showing solid home form with a record of 36% wins and just 36% losses at home, averaging 1 goal scored and 1 conceded per match. The hosts maintain high ball possession (54%) and an xG of 1.6 for vs 1.44 against, which highlights their dominance in home matches. Pogoń Szczecin has very poor away form – only 18% wins, as many as 64% losses, and a negative goal difference (-10), conceding an average of 1.73 goals per away match. Despite Pogoń's good recent overall form (3 wins in the last 5 matches), their away performances remain a concern with just one win in the last 11 matches. Considering Raków's home advantage and Pogoń's away weaknesses, the most likely scenario is a home win, although the balanced season record of both teams makes a draw also realistic.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

64Possession (%)36
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
24Shots5
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
6Shots on target1
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
2.58xG0.58
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
6Corners0
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
91Dangerous attacks25
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
11Fouls13
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
0Cards3
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
1.35Goals scored / game1.43
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
1.26Goals allowed / game1.52
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
55%Average possession52%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
5Shots on target / game4.83
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.09Shots per game15.78
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
5Shots on target4.83
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
9.6%Shot conversion9.1%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
55%Possession52%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
1.7xG for1.75
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
1.41xG against1.71
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

Shooting quality

Raków Częstochowa: DominantPogoń Szczecin: Attacking
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
Accuracy (shots on target)35%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Pogoń Szczecin is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Raków Częstochowa · 2 pts / game - Pogoń Szczecin

Raków Częstochowa
LDDWL
Season result split
43% W17% D39% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-4-9
1.48 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.98Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Pogoń Szczecin
LDWWW
Season result split
39% W17% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-10
1.35 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-7
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DLLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Pogoń Szczecin is 6% better for: goals scored per game.

1.35 goals / game - Raków Częstochowa · 1.43 goals / game - Pogoń Szczecin

Raków Częstochowa is 21% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.26 goals / game - Raków Częstochowa · 1.52 goals / game - Pogoń Szczecin

Raków Częstochowa scoring profile: very strong

Raków Częstochowa scores in 74% of games (17 of 23 meczów), while Pogoń Szczecin keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 meczów).

Pogoń Szczecin scoring profile: very strong

Pogoń Szczecin scores in 78% of games (18 of 23 meczów), while Raków Częstochowa keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 meczów).

31Goals scored (season)33
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
29Goals conceded (season)35
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
2.61Average goals per game2.96
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
5Goals scored (last 5)5
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal78%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
35%2 goals39%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
17%3 goals13%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
9%4 goals9%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal83%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
39%2 goals43%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
13%3 goals13%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
4%4 goals9%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

52%
Raków Częstochowa - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 23 meczów
58%
League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time30%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
9%BTTS in both halves4%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
30%Scored in both halves26%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS52%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
40%BTTS - last 540%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Raków Częstochowa - half-time state
22% leading57% draw22% trailing
Pogoń Szczecin - half-time state
30% leading35% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.22Points per game (1st half)1.26
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
0.61Goals scored (1st half)0.74
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
1.17Average goals (1st half)1.43
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
52%Clean sheet before half-time39%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
57%No goal before half-time48%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

After half-time (2nd half)

1.39Points per game (2nd half)1.39
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
0.7Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
1.43Average goals (2nd half)1.52
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
52%Clean sheet after half-time57%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
39%No goal after half-time48%
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin

Raków Częstochowa - second-half results

35% W35% D30% L
28
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding195%

Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Pogoń Szczecin - second-half results

39% W22% D39% L
29
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.26
PPG before half-time
Lead holding130%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Raków Częstochowa - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.80
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.21.0
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Pogoń Szczecin - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.60
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.2
Average goals per game1.00.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Raków Częstochowa
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
3
3
16-30
7
7
31-45
4
6
46-60
7
4
61-75
6
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Pogoń Szczecin
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
2
6
16-30
11
5
31-45
4
8
46-60
3
2
61-75
9
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.78
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-28%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Raków Częstochowa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Pogoń Szczecin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.65
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).

Teams vs league

Raków CzęstochowaLigaPogoń Szczecin
Average goals per game 2.612.77 2.96
Both teams scored 52%58% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 48%53% 57%
Clean sheets 30%25% 17%
Goal before half-time 65%74% 83%
Goal after half-time 78%78% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.77
Average goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.59
Home goals / game
1.17
Away goals / game
+36%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Raków CzęstochowaGoalJonatan Braut BrunesAssist: Oskar Repka
  2. Pogoń SzczecinYellow cardHussein Ali
  3. Pogoń SzczecinYellow cardHussein Ali
  4. Pogoń SzczecinSubstitutionOn: Danijel LončarOff: José Ángel Pozo la Rosa
  5. Pogoń SzczecinSubstitutionOn: Leonardo Borges da SilvaOff: Mads Agger
  6. Raków CzęstochowaSubstitutionOn: Marko BulatOff: Iván López Álvarez
  7. Pogoń SzczecinYellow cardBenjamin Mendy
  8. Raków CzęstochowaGoalPatryk MakuchAssist: Adriano Luis Amorim Santos
  9. Pogoń SzczecinSubstitutionOn: Jan BiegańskiOff: Sam Greenwood

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Jarosław PrzybyłMatches officiated: 16
4.19Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 263%Home wins19%Draws19%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Raków Częstochowa's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Pogoń Szczecin. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

MKS Pogoń Szczecin
2 : 0
KS Raków Częstochowa

FAQ

What was the result of Raków Częstochowa vs Pogoń Szczecin?

The Ekstraklasa match finished Raków Częstochowa 2:0 Pogoń Szczecin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Raków Częstochowa vs Pogoń Szczecin?

Raków Częstochowa score 1.35 goals per game on average and Pogoń Szczecin 1.43. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Raków Częstochowa's matches and 61% of Pogoń Szczecin's.

What form are Raków Częstochowa and Pogoń Szczecin in?

Over the last 5 games Raków Częstochowa have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Pogoń Szczecin 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Raków Częstochowa vs Pogoń Szczecin?

The statistical background for Raków Częstochowa vs Pogoń Szczecin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.