Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura: match statistics
Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Raya Ghazl played against El Mansura in Second Division (Egypt). The game was played on April 23, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Raya Ghazl has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. El Mansura has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Raya Ghazl scores 0.60 goals per game and allows 1.33. El Mansura scores 0.80 and allows 0.80. Games in this league average 1.90 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Raya Ghazl's games and 33% of El Mansura's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 17%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 31% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
El Mansura has the higher season xG average, 1.21 to 1.13 per game. Raya Ghazl takes 7.3 shots per game, while El Mansura takes 6.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Raya Ghazl leads at halftime in 10% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. El Mansura leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.47 after halftime.
When the teams score
Raya Ghazl's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For El Mansura, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Second Division games average 1.90 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 31% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
El Mansura appear favorites due to a clear table advantage (away team 9th, home team 18th) and a superior goal record this season: 24 scored and 24 conceded versus Raya’s 18 scored and 40 conceded. Raya are in very poor form — over the last 5 matches they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, scoring only 1 goal and conceding 10, equating to 0.2 points per match; El Mansura in the same period have 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss, 3 goals and 0.8 points per match. The visitors’ defense looks more compact: El Mansura concede 0.71 goals on average away and have 57% clean sheets, while Raya at home concede 1.4 goals per match and have only 20% clean sheets; lower xG against (1.31 vs 1.59) confirms the visitors’ lower vulnerability. Offensively Raya register slightly more shots and shots on target at home (on average 8.14 shots and 3.36 on target) and have a higher conversion rate of 12% versus the visitors’ 10%, but this barely translates into results given just 1 goal in the last 5 fixtures. Based on this, I forecast an away win, with probabilities approximately 45% for El Mansura, 35% for a draw and 20% for a Raya win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess BTTS - No at 75% and BTTS - Yes at 25% because signals strongly favor a match without both teams scoring. Raya Ghazl has a seasonal BTTS 44% versus only 21% for El Mansura, while the league records 41% BTTS, indicating El Mansura significantly lowers the likelihood of both teams scoring. El Mansura keeps a clean sheet in 57% of matches and fails to score in 50% of games, whereas Raya has scored 18 and conceded 40 this season (avg 0.88 scored and 0.88 conceded); in the last 5 matches Raya averages 0.2 scored and 2.0 conceded, and El Mansura averages 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. Although Raya posts higher xG (1.50) and more shots (10.64 total and 4.09 on target) than El Mansura (xG 0.95, 7.09 total and 2.82 on target), the hosts convert chances to just 0.88 goals on average, which reinforces the No Goal (BTTS - No) scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis forecasts total goals around 2.48 – home ~1.41 (home attack xG 1.50 vs xG conceded to visitors 1.31), away ~1.07 (away attack xG 0.95 vs xG conceded to hosts 1.20). A Poisson model with λ=2.48 gives probability of Over 1.5 ≈71%, Over 2.5 ≈45% and Over 3.5 ≈24%. Home side averages 10.64 shots and 4.09 on target per match vs visitors’ 7.09/2.82, and seasonal Over 1.5 rates are 56% for home and 43% for away, which supports a minimum-2-goal scenario. At the same time, low seasonal Over 2.5 rates (19% and 14%) and a high clean-sheet rate for the away team (57%) limit confidence in 3+ goals, so the strongest signal is the Over line at 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a draw at half-time: hosts were level at the break in 69% of matches, visitors in 62%, giving an average of about a 66% chance of a draw HT. A draw at Full-Time is also realistic — hosts finish level in 50% of games, visitors in 43%, and visitors keep a clean sheet in 57% of cases, while the league records 76% of matches with at least one clean sheet, which favors low-scoring outcomes. However, hosts create more chances (xG 1.5 vs 0.95, 10.64 shots vs 7.09 and 4.09 shots on target vs 2.82), so if a decision comes, the hosts are the favorite. The hosts’ low conversion rate of 8% (vs 10% for visitors) and the fact that hosts have 75% of matches with at least one goal after the break and have scored 5 goals in minutes 76–90 mean many games remain draws until the end or are decided in the second half. Therefore my primary pick is HT/FT draw/draw (X/X 34%) with significant support for the scenario draw at the break and a home turnaround after the break (X/1 22%) and for 1/1 (12%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Raya Ghazl | El Mansura | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
El Mansura is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Raya Ghazl · 0.8 pts / game - El Mansura
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
El Mansura is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
0.6 goals / game - Raya Ghazl · 0.8 goals / game - El Mansura
El Mansura is 66% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Raya Ghazl · 0.8 goals / game - El Mansura
Raya Ghazl scores in 47% of games (14 of 30 meczów), while El Mansura keeps a clean sheet in 47% (14 of 30 meczów).
El Mansura scores in 57% of games (17 of 30 meczów), while Raya Ghazl keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Raya Ghazl
Over / Under - El Mansura
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
El Mansura is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / game - Raya Ghazl · 1.27 pts / game - El Mansura
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Raya Ghazl - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 13%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
El Mansura - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Raya Ghazl
El Mansura
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second Division).
Teams vs league
| Raya Ghazl | Liga | El Mansura | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.93 | 1.90 | ▼ 1.60 |
| Both teams scored | • 40% | 41% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 31% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 38% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Raya Ghazl's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against El Mansura. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura?
The Second Division match finished Raya Ghazl 1:2 El Mansura. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura?
Raya Ghazl score 0.60 goals per game on average and El Mansura 0.80. The Second Division average is 1.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Raya Ghazl's matches and 33% of El Mansura's.
What form are Raya Ghazl and El Mansura in?
Over the last 5 games Raya Ghazl have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and El Mansura 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.