Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid: match statistics
Atlético Madrid are displaying significantly higher form and quality than Rayo Vallecano. The hosts are only in 18th place in the table with a disastrous series of 4 losses in their last 5 matches and a mere 20% home win rate. Rayo have scored only 4 goals in their last 5 games, conceding as many as 11. Atlético, sitting in 3rd place in the league, boast a much better goal difference (+20 this season vs Rayo's -12) and solid defensive numbers with a 36% clean sheet rate away from home. Although Atlético's away form shows a tendency for draws (45%), their qualitative advantage and offensive firepower (38 goals this season) should translate into a victory. The hosts' poor form and their scoring issues (30% of home matches without a goal) further increase the visitors' chances of taking all three points.
Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rayo Vallecano played against Atlético Madrid in La Liga (Spain). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Rayo Vallecano has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Atlético Madrid has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Rayo Vallecano scores 0.82 goals per game and allows 1.36. Atlético Madrid scores 1.65 and allows 0.78. Games in this league average 2.64 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of Rayo Vallecano's games and 48% of Atlético Madrid's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 39%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlético Madrid has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.48 per game. Rayo Vallecano takes 13.4 shots per game, while Atlético Madrid takes 13.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Rayo Vallecano leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.36 goals per game after halftime. Atlético Madrid leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.87 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rayo Vallecano's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Atlético Madrid, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
La Liga games average 2.64 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Madrid are displaying significantly higher form and quality than Rayo Vallecano. The hosts are only in 18th place in the table with a disastrous series of 4 losses in their last 5 matches and a mere 20% home win rate. Rayo have scored only 4 goals in their last 5 games, conceding as many as 11. Atlético, sitting in 3rd place in the league, boast a much better goal difference (+20 this season vs Rayo's -12) and solid defensive numbers with a 36% clean sheet rate away from home. Although Atlético's away form shows a tendency for draws (45%), their qualitative advantage and offensive firepower (38 goals this season) should translate into a victory. The hosts' poor form and their scoring issues (30% of home matches without a goal) further increase the visitors' chances of taking all three points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rayo Vallecano | Atlético Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atlético Madrid is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Rayo Vallecano · 1.6 pts / game - Atlético Madrid
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Madrid is 101% better for: goals scored per game.
0.82 goals / game - Rayo Vallecano · 1.65 goals / game - Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid is 74% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.36 goals / game - Rayo Vallecano · 0.78 goals / game - Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano scores in 55% of games (12 of 22 meczów), while Atlético Madrid keeps a clean sheet in 43% (10 of 23 meczów).
Atlético Madrid scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 meczów), while Rayo Vallecano keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rayo Vallecano
Over / Under - Atlético Madrid
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Madrid is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / game - Rayo Vallecano · 1.65 pts / game - Atlético Madrid
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rayo Vallecano - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Atlético Madrid - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rayo Vallecano
Atlético Madrid
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rayo Vallecano | Liga | Atlético Madrid | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.18 | 2.64 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 50% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 25% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 68% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 84% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Rayo Vallecano's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Atlético Madrid. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid?
The La Liga match finished Rayo Vallecano 3:0 Atlético Madrid. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid?
Rayo Vallecano score 0.82 goals per game on average and Atlético Madrid 1.65. The La Liga average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Rayo Vallecano's matches and 48% of Atlético Madrid's.
What form are Rayo Vallecano and Atlético Madrid in?
Over the last 5 games Rayo Vallecano have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Atlético Madrid 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid?
The statistical background for Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.