Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Mallorca: match statistics
Rayo Vallecano shows an exceptionally high tendency to draw at their home stadium – a staggering 75% of home matches end in a points split, which, combined with their recent form (ddlwdddd), confirms the hosts' defensive approach. Mallorca has weak away form (67% losses), but their last five matches show stabilization (dwldl) with one win and two draws. xG statistics indicate an advantage for Rayo (1.76 vs 1.20); however, a low conversion rate (4%) and a high percentage of matches without scoring (38%) suggest finishing issues. Mallorca averages a goal per away game (1.0 per match), which, combined with Rayo's solid defense (0.63 goals conceded at home), points to a low-tempo encounter. Considering the hosts' tendency for draws and the even form of both teams in the last five matches, a split of points seems the most likely outcome in this duel between bottom-table teams.
Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Mallorca: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rayo Vallecano played against RCD Mallorca in La Liga (Spain). The game was played on January 11, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Rayo Vallecano has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. RCD Mallorca has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Rayo Vallecano scores 0.78 goals per game and allows 1.17. RCD Mallorca scores 1.11 and allows 1.44. Games in this league average 2.58 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Rayo Vallecano's games and 67% of RCD Mallorca's. The Over 2.5 rates are 28% and 56%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rayo Vallecano has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.20 per game. Rayo Vallecano takes 13.6 shots per game, while RCD Mallorca takes 10.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Rayo Vallecano leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. RCD Mallorca leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.72 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rayo Vallecano's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For RCD Mallorca, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
La Liga games average 2.58 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rayo Vallecano shows an exceptionally high tendency to draw at their home stadium – a staggering 75% of home matches end in a points split, which, combined with their recent form (ddlwdddd), confirms the hosts' defensive approach. Mallorca has weak away form (67% losses), but their last five matches show stabilization (dwldl) with one win and two draws. xG statistics indicate an advantage for Rayo (1.76 vs 1.20); however, a low conversion rate (4%) and a high percentage of matches without scoring (38%) suggest finishing issues. Mallorca averages a goal per away game (1.0 per match), which, combined with Rayo's solid defense (0.63 goals conceded at home), points to a low-tempo encounter. Considering the hosts' tendency for draws and the even form of both teams in the last five matches, a split of points seems the most likely outcome in this duel between bottom-table teams.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rayo Vallecano | RCD Mallorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
RCD Mallorca is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Rayo Vallecano · 1.2 pts / game - RCD Mallorca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
RCD Mallorca is 42% better for: goals scored per game.
0.78 goals / game - Rayo Vallecano · 1.11 goals / game - RCD Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano is 23% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.17 goals / game - Rayo Vallecano · 1.44 goals / game - RCD Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano scores in 50% of games (9 of 18 meczów), while RCD Mallorca keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 meczów).
RCD Mallorca scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Rayo Vallecano keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rayo Vallecano
Over / Under - RCD Mallorca
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rayo Vallecano is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / game - Rayo Vallecano · 0.83 pts / game - RCD Mallorca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rayo Vallecano - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
RCD Mallorca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rayo Vallecano
RCD Mallorca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rayo Vallecano | Liga | RCD Mallorca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.94 | 2.58 | • 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 47% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 67% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 82% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Mallorca?
The La Liga match finished Rayo Vallecano 2:1 RCD Mallorca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Mallorca?
Rayo Vallecano score 0.78 goals per game on average and RCD Mallorca 1.11. The La Liga average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Rayo Vallecano's matches and 67% of RCD Mallorca's.
What form are Rayo Vallecano and RCD Mallorca in?
Over the last 5 games Rayo Vallecano have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and RCD Mallorca 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Mallorca?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.