Rayon Sports vs Gorilla: match statistics
Rayon Sports vs Gorilla: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rayon Sports played against Gorilla in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on May 15, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Rayon Sports has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Gorilla has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Rayon Sports scores 1.06 goals per game and allows 0.90. Gorilla scores 0.87 and allows 1.16. Games in this league average 2.07 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 45% of Rayon Sports's games and 55% of Gorilla's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 45%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 37% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rayon Sports has the higher season xG average, 1.32 to 0.89 per game. Rayon Sports takes 7.2 shots per game, while Gorilla takes 5.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Rayon Sports leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.45 goals per game after halftime. Gorilla leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.32 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rayon Sports's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). For Gorilla, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National Soccer League games average 2.07 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 37% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rayon Sports sit 5th in the table while Gorilla are 11th; this season the home side have scored 33 and conceded 28, whereas the visitors have 27 scored and 36 conceded. At home Rayon average 1.07 goals scored and 0.64 conceded, while Gorilla away average 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. Rayon generates significantly more chances — 9.08 shots and 3.33 on target per home match with xG 1.39, whereas Gorilla register 4.69 shots and 1.56 on target with xG 0.84; although conversion rate is lower for the hosts (12% vs 16%), the advantage in shot volume and xG favors them. Defensively the hosts keep clean sheets in 43% of home games versus 31% for the visitors on the road and have a better home goal difference (+6 vs -8), and in the last 5 matches Rayon have averaged 1.6 points per game compared to Gorilla’s 1.4. Based on this I predict a home win (1); I estimate Rayon’s chance at around 60%, draw 25% and Gorilla win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS rates are 60% for Rayon Sports and 50% for Gorilla (average 55%), clearly above the league average of 44%. In the last 5 matches Gorilla had BTTS in 100% of games (7 goals scored and 7 conceded, averaging 1.4 goals per game), while Rayon Sports had BTTS in only 40% of their last 5 (5 scored and 3 conceded, averaging 1.0 and 0.6). Seasonal average goals conceded are 1.07 (Rayon Sports) and 1.25 (Gorilla), and xG are 0.95 versus 0.84 with xG against of 1.07 and 1.09, indicating both teams create chances while also allowing plenty. Rayon Sports register more shots on target (2.36 vs 1.56) and have a higher conversion rate (18% vs 16%), but Gorilla’s recent form (BTTS 100% in 5) combined with both teams’ GA averages above 1.0 makes a BTTS - Yes / Goal/Goal scenario more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model and defensive/offensive profiles yield a combined expected goals value of approximately 1.98: Rayon Sports 1.02 (attacking xG 0.95 vs xG conceded 1.09) and Gorilla 0.96 (attacking xG 0.84 vs xG conceded 1.07). With a total of 1.98, the Poisson distribution indicates the probability of 2+ goals (Over 1.5) is about 59% (P(0 or 1) ≈ 41%). Seasonal percentages corroborate the tendency for at least 2 goals — Rayon has 73% of matches Over 1.5, Gorilla 56% (average 64%) — averaging model and seasonal data I rate Over 1.5 at ~62%. The 2.5 line is less certain: Poisson gives ~32% for Over 2.5, seasonally Rayon 47% and Gorilla 44% (average 46%), and in the last 5 matches Gorilla had 80% Over 2.5 versus Rayon 20%, which favors Under 2.5. Over 3.5 looks unlikely (seasonal 0%/13%, Poisson ~14%), therefore the best and strongest signal is to play Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time appears most likely — the home team has been level at the break in 47% of matches and the visitors in 56%, giving roughly a 52% chance of a draw after 45 minutes. After the interval the hosts gain the edge: they average 0.40 goals in second halves versus 0.25 for the visitors and collect 1.07 points in second halves versus 0.81 for opponents, which increases the probability of a home success after the break. Rayon Sports registers more shots on target (2.36 vs 1.56) and a higher xG (0.95 vs 0.84), and full-time draws occur frequently (33% of home matches and 31% of away matches), so a half-time draw followed by a home win is consistent with the data. Therefore I assign the highest probability to X/1 (28%) as the strongest signal, followed by X/X (19%) and 1/1 (19%) as realistic alternatives; I assess the risk of an away turnaround as lower (2/1 and 2/X combined 12%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rayon Sports | Gorilla | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rayon Sports is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Rayon Sports · 1.4 pts / game - Gorilla
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rayon Sports is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
1.06 goals / game - Rayon Sports · 0.87 goals / game - Gorilla
Rayon Sports is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.9 goals / game - Rayon Sports · 1.16 goals / game - Gorilla
Rayon Sports scores in 71% of games (22 of 31 meczów), while Gorilla keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 meczów).
Gorilla scores in 68% of games (21 of 31 meczów), while Rayon Sports keeps a clean sheet in 39% (12 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rayon Sports
Over / Under - Gorilla
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rayon Sports is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / game - Rayon Sports · 1.29 pts / game - Gorilla
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rayon Sports - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Gorilla - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rayon Sports
Gorilla
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Rayon Sports | Liga | Gorilla | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.97 | 2.07 | • 2.03 |
| Both teams scored | • 45% | 44% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 37% | ▲ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 35% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | • 61% | 60% | • 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 71% | 69% | ▲ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Rayon SportsGoalAbedi Bigirimana
Head-to-head
Record from Rayon Sports's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Gorilla. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rayon Sports vs Gorilla?
The National Soccer League match finished Rayon Sports 1:1 Gorilla. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rayon Sports vs Gorilla?
Rayon Sports score 1.06 goals per game on average and Gorilla 0.87. The National Soccer League average is 2.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Rayon Sports's matches and 55% of Gorilla's.
What form are Rayon Sports and Gorilla in?
Over the last 5 games Rayon Sports have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Gorilla 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rayon Sports vs Gorilla?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rayon Sports vs Gorilla: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


