Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueData current as of September 07, 2026

Rayon Sports vs Gorilla: match statistics

Rayon Sports crest
Rayon Sports
1 : 1half-time 0:1
Gorilla crest
Gorilla

Rayon Sports vs Gorilla: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Rayon Sports played against Gorilla in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on May 15, 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Rayon Sports has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Gorilla has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Rayon Sports scores 1.06 goals per game and allows 0.90. Gorilla scores 0.87 and allows 1.16. Games in this league average 2.07 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 45% of Rayon Sports's games and 55% of Gorilla's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 45%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 37% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Rayon Sports has the higher season xG average, 1.32 to 0.89 per game. Rayon Sports takes 7.2 shots per game, while Gorilla takes 5.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Rayon Sports leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.45 goals per game after halftime. Gorilla leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.32 after halftime.

When the teams score

Rayon Sports's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). For Gorilla, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

National Soccer League games average 2.07 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 37% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Rayon Sports sit 5th in the table while Gorilla are 11th; this season the home side have scored 33 and conceded 28, whereas the visitors have 27 scored and 36 conceded. At home Rayon average 1.07 goals scored and 0.64 conceded, while Gorilla away average 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. Rayon generates significantly more chances — 9.08 shots and 3.33 on target per home match with xG 1.39, whereas Gorilla register 4.69 shots and 1.56 on target with xG 0.84; although conversion rate is lower for the hosts (12% vs 16%), the advantage in shot volume and xG favors them. Defensively the hosts keep clean sheets in 43% of home games versus 31% for the visitors on the road and have a better home goal difference (+6 vs -8), and in the last 5 matches Rayon have averaged 1.6 points per game compared to Gorilla’s 1.4. Based on this I predict a home win (1); I estimate Rayon’s chance at around 60%, draw 25% and Gorilla win 15%.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Seasonal BTTS rates are 60% for Rayon Sports and 50% for Gorilla (average 55%), clearly above the league average of 44%. In the last 5 matches Gorilla had BTTS in 100% of games (7 goals scored and 7 conceded, averaging 1.4 goals per game), while Rayon Sports had BTTS in only 40% of their last 5 (5 scored and 3 conceded, averaging 1.0 and 0.6). Seasonal average goals conceded are 1.07 (Rayon Sports) and 1.25 (Gorilla), and xG are 0.95 versus 0.84 with xG against of 1.07 and 1.09, indicating both teams create chances while also allowing plenty. Rayon Sports register more shots on target (2.36 vs 1.56) and have a higher conversion rate (18% vs 16%), but Gorilla’s recent form (BTTS 100% in 5) combined with both teams’ GA averages above 1.0 makes a BTTS - Yes / Goal/Goal scenario more likely.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The xG model and defensive/offensive profiles yield a combined expected goals value of approximately 1.98: Rayon Sports 1.02 (attacking xG 0.95 vs xG conceded 1.09) and Gorilla 0.96 (attacking xG 0.84 vs xG conceded 1.07). With a total of 1.98, the Poisson distribution indicates the probability of 2+ goals (Over 1.5) is about 59% (P(0 or 1) ≈ 41%). Seasonal percentages corroborate the tendency for at least 2 goals — Rayon has 73% of matches Over 1.5, Gorilla 56% (average 64%) — averaging model and seasonal data I rate Over 1.5 at ~62%. The 2.5 line is less certain: Poisson gives ~32% for Over 2.5, seasonally Rayon 47% and Gorilla 44% (average 46%), and in the last 5 matches Gorilla had 80% Over 2.5 versus Rayon 20%, which favors Under 2.5. Over 3.5 looks unlikely (seasonal 0%/13%, Poisson ~14%), therefore the best and strongest signal is to play Over 1.5.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A draw at half-time appears most likely — the home team has been level at the break in 47% of matches and the visitors in 56%, giving roughly a 52% chance of a draw after 45 minutes. After the interval the hosts gain the edge: they average 0.40 goals in second halves versus 0.25 for the visitors and collect 1.07 points in second halves versus 0.81 for opponents, which increases the probability of a home success after the break. Rayon Sports registers more shots on target (2.36 vs 1.56) and a higher xG (0.95 vs 0.84), and full-time draws occur frequently (33% of home matches and 31% of away matches), so a half-time draw followed by a home win is consistent with the data. Therefore I assign the highest probability to X/1 (28%) as the strongest signal, followed by X/X (19%) and 1/1 (19%) as realistic alternatives; I assess the risk of an away turnaround as lower (2/1 and 2/X combined 12%).

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

59Possession (%)41
Rayon SportsGorilla
15Shots5
Rayon SportsGorilla
5Shots on target1
Rayon SportsGorilla
2.11xG0.79
Rayon SportsGorilla
9Corners1
Rayon SportsGorilla
111Dangerous attacks54
Rayon SportsGorilla
19Fouls17
Rayon SportsGorilla
0Cards0
Rayon SportsGorilla

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Rayon SportsGorilla
1.06Goals scored / game0.87
Rayon SportsGorilla
0.9Goals allowed / game1.16
Rayon SportsGorilla
46%Average possession48%
Rayon SportsGorilla
2.77Shots on target / game1.84
Rayon SportsGorilla

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

7.19Shots per game5.13
Rayon SportsGorilla
2.77Shots on target1.84
Rayon SportsGorilla
14.8%Shot conversion17%
Rayon SportsGorilla
46%Possession48%
Rayon SportsGorilla
1.32xG for0.89
Rayon SportsGorilla
1.03xG against1.08
Rayon SportsGorilla

Shooting quality

Rayon Sports: Counter-attackingGorilla: Efficient finishing
Rayon SportsGorilla
Accuracy (shots on target)39%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.47

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Rayon Sports is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Rayon Sports · 1.4 pts / game - Gorilla

Rayon Sports
DWDLW
Season result split
39% W42% R19% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-13-6
1.58 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-6-2
Last 5 at home
1-4-0
DDDDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 0.86BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Gorilla
LWDWL
Season result split
29% W29% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-9-13
1.16 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-8
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 0.74Opponent xG: 0.94BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Rayon Sports is 22% better for: goals scored per game.

1.06 goals / game - Rayon Sports · 0.87 goals / game - Gorilla

Rayon Sports is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.9 goals / game - Rayon Sports · 1.16 goals / game - Gorilla

Rayon Sports scoring profile: very strong

Rayon Sports scores in 71% of games (22 of 31 meczów), while Gorilla keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 meczów).

Gorilla scoring profile: strong

Gorilla scores in 68% of games (21 of 31 meczów), while Rayon Sports keeps a clean sheet in 39% (12 of 31 meczów).

33Goals scored (season)27
Rayon SportsGorilla
28Goals conceded (season)36
Rayon SportsGorilla
1.97Average goals per game2.03
Rayon SportsGorilla
5Goals scored (last 5)7
Rayon SportsGorilla
3Goals conceded (last 5)7
Rayon SportsGorilla

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal68%
Rayon SportsGorilla
32%2 goals19%
Rayon SportsGorilla
3%3 goals0%
Rayon SportsGorilla
0%4 goals0%
Rayon SportsGorilla

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal74%
Rayon SportsGorilla
19%2 goals29%
Rayon SportsGorilla
6%3 goals10%
Rayon SportsGorilla
3%4 goals3%
Rayon SportsGorilla

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

44%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time19%
Rayon SportsGorilla
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Rayon SportsGorilla
19%Scored in both halves3%
Rayon SportsGorilla

BTTS and goal count

23%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
Rayon SportsGorilla
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Rayon SportsGorilla
40%BTTS - last 5100%
Rayon SportsGorilla

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
Rayon SportsGorilla
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
Rayon SportsGorilla
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Rayon SportsGorilla

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
Rayon SportsGorilla
23%Min. 2 goals after half-time23%
Rayon SportsGorilla
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
Rayon SportsGorilla

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Rayon Sports is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.45 pts / game - Rayon Sports · 1.29 pts / game - Gorilla

Rayon Sports - half-time state
32% leading48% draw19% trailing
Gorilla - half-time state
26% leading52% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.45Points per game (1st half)1.29
Rayon SportsGorilla
0.61Goals scored (1st half)0.55
Rayon SportsGorilla
0.39Goals conceded (1st half)0.52
Rayon SportsGorilla
1Average goals (1st half)1.06
Rayon SportsGorilla
68%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Rayon SportsGorilla
55%No goal before half-time58%
Rayon SportsGorilla

After half-time (2nd half)

1.39Points per game (2nd half)0.94
Rayon SportsGorilla
0.45Goals scored (2nd half)0.32
Rayon SportsGorilla
0.52Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65
Rayon SportsGorilla
0.97Average goals (2nd half)0.97
Rayon SportsGorilla
61%Clean sheet after half-time48%
Rayon SportsGorilla
55%No goal after half-time71%
Rayon SportsGorilla

Rayon Sports - second-half results

32% W42% R26% P
45
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding122%

Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Gorilla - second-half results

19% W35% R45% P
40
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Rayon Sports - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.20
Goals scored / game0.80.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.2
Average goals per game1.20.4
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Gorilla - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.600.20
Goals scored / game1.20.2
Goals allowed / game0.21.2
Average goals per game1.41.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+5-5
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Rayon Sports
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
2
5
16-30
11
3
31-45
6
4
46-60
1
6
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Gorilla
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
6
3
16-30
7
11
31-45
1
7
46-60
4
6
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.99
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+50%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Rayon Sports

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Gorilla

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

Rayon SportsLigaGorilla
Average goals per game 1.972.07 2.03
Both teams scored 45%44% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%37% 45%
Clean sheets 39%35% 26%
Goal before half-time 61%60% 61%
Goal after half-time 71%69% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.07
Average goals per game
44%
Both teams scored
37%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
35%
Clean sheets
1.10
Home goals / game
0.98
Away goals / game
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defensive advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Other recorded players

Abedi Bigirimana⚽ 1

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Rayon SportsGoalAbedi Bigirimana

Head-to-head

Record from Rayon Sports's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Gorilla. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Rayon Sports vs Gorilla?

The National Soccer League match finished Rayon Sports 1:1 Gorilla. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Rayon Sports vs Gorilla?

Rayon Sports score 1.06 goals per game on average and Gorilla 0.87. The National Soccer League average is 2.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Rayon Sports's matches and 55% of Gorilla's.

What form are Rayon Sports and Gorilla in?

Over the last 5 games Rayon Sports have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Gorilla 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rayon Sports vs Gorilla?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rayon Sports vs Gorilla: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.