RB Leipzig vs Bayern München: match statistics
Bayern Munich is presenting outstanding form this season, leading the table with a record of 15 wins, 2 draws, and zero defeats. Their advantage in away matches is impressive - 88% of games won, averaging 3.38 goals per match and just 0.75 goals conceded. RB Leipzig, despite a solid stance at home (88% wins in home matches), trails Bayern in terms of offensive quality and ball possession (52% vs 68%). The recent form of both teams also speaks in favor of the visitors - Bayern has gathered 2.6 points per match in the last 5 meetings, while Leipzig only 1.8. The difference in expected goals (xG For: 2.28 for Bayern vs 1.96 for Leipzig) and shooting efficiency (18% vs 15%) further confirms the German champion's advantage. Considering all statistics, Bayern München is the favorite for this encounter.
RB Leipzig vs Bayern München: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
RB Leipzig played against Bayern München in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on January 17, 2026. Final score: 1:5.
Recent form
RB Leipzig has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Bayern München has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
RB Leipzig scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.19. Bayern München scores 3.88 and allows 0.76. Games in this league average 3.24 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of RB Leipzig's games and 53% of Bayern München's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 100%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Bayern München has the higher season xG average, 2.33 to 1.77 per game. RB Leipzig takes 16.6 shots per game, while Bayern München takes 19.5.
First-half and second-half trends
RB Leipzig leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Bayern München leads at halftime in 65% and scores 2.18 after halftime.
When the teams score
RB Leipzig's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). For Bayern München, it is minutes 76-90+ (21 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.24 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bayern Munich is presenting outstanding form this season, leading the table with a record of 15 wins, 2 draws, and zero defeats. Their advantage in away matches is impressive - 88% of games won, averaging 3.38 goals per match and just 0.75 goals conceded. RB Leipzig, despite a solid stance at home (88% wins in home matches), trails Bayern in terms of offensive quality and ball possession (52% vs 68%). The recent form of both teams also speaks in favor of the visitors - Bayern has gathered 2.6 points per match in the last 5 meetings, while Leipzig only 1.8. The difference in expected goals (xG For: 2.28 for Bayern vs 1.96 for Leipzig) and shooting efficiency (18% vs 15%) further confirms the German champion's advantage. Considering all statistics, Bayern München is the favorite for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| RB Leipzig | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bayern München is 86% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - RB Leipzig · 2.6 pts / game - Bayern München
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayern München is 94% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - RB Leipzig · 3.88 goals / game - Bayern München
Bayern München is 57% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.19 goals / game - RB Leipzig · 0.76 goals / game - Bayern München
RB Leipzig scores in 88% of games (14 of 16 meczów), while Bayern München keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 meczów).
Bayern München scores in 100% of games (17 of 17 meczów), while RB Leipzig keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - RB Leipzig
Over / Under - Bayern München
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayern München is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.69 pts / game - RB Leipzig · 2.29 pts / game - Bayern München
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
RB Leipzig - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Bayern München - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 65% of games and wins 88%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 3.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +14 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +17 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| RB Leipzig | Liga | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.19 | 3.24 | ▲ 4.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 58% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 24% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 78% | ▲ 94% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 82% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from RB Leipzig's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Bayern München. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of RB Leipzig vs Bayern München?
The Bundesliga match finished RB Leipzig 1:5 Bayern München. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before RB Leipzig vs Bayern München?
RB Leipzig score 2.00 goals per game on average and Bayern München 3.88. The Bundesliga average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 44% of RB Leipzig's matches and 53% of Bayern München's.
What form are RB Leipzig and Bayern München in?
Over the last 5 games RB Leipzig have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Bayern München 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for RB Leipzig vs Bayern München?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for RB Leipzig vs Bayern München: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.