RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim: match statistics
As the home team, RB Leipzig displays impressive home form with a 62% win rate and an average of 2.23 goals per match, confirmed by a series of five consecutive victories in recent home games. Hoffenheim, despite a solid table position (3rd place) and a 54% away win rate, shows lower scoring efficiency (2.0 goals/match) and a higher away draw rate (31%). A key factor is RB Leipzig's advantage in expected goals (xG 1.96 vs 1.42) along with higher shot conversion and ball possession at home. The recent form of both teams is balanced (1.6 points per match each), but the home advantage and better offensive efficiency in home matches give Leipzig the edge. A closely contested match is expected with a slight advantage for the hosts, hence the relatively high probability of a draw.
RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
RB Leipzig play Hoffenheim in Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 20 March 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
RB Leipzig: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Hoffenheim: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
RB Leipzig scores 1.94 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Hoffenheim scores 1.91 and concedes 1.53. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: RB Leipzig 62%, Hoffenheim 65%. Over 2.5: RB Leipzig 71%, Hoffenheim 71%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
RB Leipzig has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.64. RB Leipzig: 15.8 shots per match, Hoffenheim: 14.1.
Match halves
RB Leipzig: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.00. Hoffenheim: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
RB Leipzig: 31-45+ (14 goals). Hoffenheim: 31-45+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
As the home team, RB Leipzig displays impressive home form with a 62% win rate and an average of 2.23 goals per match, confirmed by a series of five consecutive victories in recent home games. Hoffenheim, despite a solid table position (3rd place) and a 54% away win rate, shows lower scoring efficiency (2.0 goals/match) and a higher away draw rate (31%). A key factor is RB Leipzig's advantage in expected goals (xG 1.96 vs 1.42) along with higher shot conversion and ball possession at home. The recent form of both teams is balanced (1.6 points per match each), but the home advantage and better offensive efficiency in home matches give Leipzig the edge. A closely contested match is expected with a slight advantage for the hosts, hence the relatively high probability of a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| RB Leipzig | Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hoffenheim is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - RB Leipzig · 2 pts / match - Hoffenheim
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
RB Leipzig is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - RB Leipzig · 1.53 goals / match - Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig scores in 91% of matches (31 of 34 matches), while Hoffenheim keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
Hoffenheim scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while RB Leipzig keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — RB Leipzig
Over / Under — Hoffenheim
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
RB Leipzig - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hoffenheim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| RB Leipzig | Liga | Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.32 | 3.24 | ▲ 3.44 |
| Both teams scored | • 62% | 62% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 21% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 77% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 86% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: RB Leipzig 0 - 0 - 1 Hoffenheim. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim?
The Bundesliga match finished RB Leipzig 5:0 Hoffenheim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim?
RB Leipzig score 1.94 goals per game on average and Hoffenheim 1.91. The Bundesliga average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 62% of RB Leipzig's matches and 65% of Hoffenheim's.
What form are RB Leipzig and Hoffenheim in?
Over the last 5 games RB Leipzig have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Hoffenheim 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


