RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05: match statistics
RB Leipzig displays impressive home form with a 78% win rate and an average of 2.44 goals per match at home, conceding only 1.22 goals. Mainz 05 has very poor away results – only 11% wins and as high as 56% losses, without keeping a single clean sheet. The visitors concede an average of 2.11 goals in away matches, which, when confronted with Leipzig's offensive strength (averaging 17.56 shots per match at home), puts them in a difficult situation. The difference in expected goals (xG) is clear – Leipzig generates 1.93 xG in home matches compared to Mainz's 1.13 xG away. Additionally, the goal difference of both teams (+11 for Leipzig at home vs -8 for Mainz away) and their table position (4th place vs 16th place) unequivocally indicate the hosts' advantage.
RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
RB Leipzig played against Mainz 05 in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
RB Leipzig has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Mainz 05 has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
RB Leipzig scores 1.95 goals per game and allows 1.32. Mainz 05 scores 1.11 and allows 1.68. Games in this league average 3.20 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of RB Leipzig's games and 58% of Mainz 05's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 53%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
RB Leipzig has the higher season xG average, 1.75 to 1.33 per game. RB Leipzig takes 16.1 shots per game, while Mainz 05 takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
RB Leipzig leads at halftime in 42% of its games and scores 1.05 goals per game after halftime. Mainz 05 leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
RB Leipzig's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). For Mainz 05, it is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.20 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
RB Leipzig displays impressive home form with a 78% win rate and an average of 2.44 goals per match at home, conceding only 1.22 goals. Mainz 05 has very poor away results – only 11% wins and as high as 56% losses, without keeping a single clean sheet. The visitors concede an average of 2.11 goals in away matches, which, when confronted with Leipzig's offensive strength (averaging 17.56 shots per match at home), puts them in a difficult situation. The difference in expected goals (xG) is clear – Leipzig generates 1.93 xG in home matches compared to Mainz's 1.13 xG away. Additionally, the goal difference of both teams (+11 for Leipzig at home vs -8 for Mainz away) and their table position (4th place vs 16th place) unequivocally indicate the hosts' advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| RB Leipzig | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mainz 05 is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - RB Leipzig · 1.6 pts / game - Mainz 05
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
RB Leipzig is 76% better for: goals scored per game.
1.95 goals / game - RB Leipzig · 1.11 goals / game - Mainz 05
RB Leipzig is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.32 goals / game - RB Leipzig · 1.68 goals / game - Mainz 05
RB Leipzig scores in 89% of games (17 of 19 meczów), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 meczów).
Mainz 05 scores in 58% of games (11 of 19 meczów), while RB Leipzig keeps a clean sheet in 47% (9 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - RB Leipzig
Over / Under - Mainz 05
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
RB Leipzig is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / game - RB Leipzig · 1.11 pts / game - Mainz 05
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
RB Leipzig - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 58%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Mainz 05 - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 16%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
RB Leipzig
Mainz 05
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| RB Leipzig | Liga | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.26 | 3.20 | ▼ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 57% | • 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 63% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 24% | ▼ 5% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 81% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from RB Leipzig's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Mainz 05. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05?
The Bundesliga match finished RB Leipzig 1:2 Mainz 05. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05?
RB Leipzig score 1.95 goals per game on average and Mainz 05 1.11. The Bundesliga average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 47% of RB Leipzig's matches and 58% of Mainz 05's.
What form are RB Leipzig and Mainz 05 in?
Over the last 5 games RB Leipzig have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Mainz 05 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.