RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Club Bilbao: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. RCD Mallorca displays solid home form with 44% draws and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium, highlighting their defensive stability. Athletic Club Bilbao struggles in away matches—suffering 56% defeats with a negative goal difference of -7, although their xG (1.42) suggests offensive potential. Mallorca rarely loses at home (only 22% defeats), while Bilbao rarely wins away (22% wins). Considering the recent form of both teams and Mallorca's tendency to draw on their own turf, I expect a tight, balanced encounter ending in a split of points.
RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Club Bilbao: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
RCD Mallorca played against Athletic Club Bilbao in La Liga (Spain). The game was played on January 17, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
RCD Mallorca has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Athletic Club Bilbao has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
RCD Mallorca scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 1.47. Athletic Club Bilbao scores 0.89 and allows 1.32. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 68% of RCD Mallorca's games and 37% of Athletic Club Bilbao's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 37%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Athletic Club Bilbao has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.19 per game. RCD Mallorca takes 10.3 shots per game, while Athletic Club Bilbao takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
RCD Mallorca leads at halftime in 16% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Athletic Club Bilbao leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.47 after halftime.
When the teams score
RCD Mallorca's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Athletic Club Bilbao, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
La Liga games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. RCD Mallorca displays solid home form with 44% draws and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium, highlighting their defensive stability. Athletic Club Bilbao struggles in away matches—suffering 56% defeats with a negative goal difference of -7, although their xG (1.42) suggests offensive potential. Mallorca rarely loses at home (only 22% defeats), while Bilbao rarely wins away (22% wins). Considering the recent form of both teams and Mallorca's tendency to draw on their own turf, I expect a tight, balanced encounter ending in a split of points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| RCD Mallorca | Athletic Club Bilbao | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
RCD Mallorca is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - RCD Mallorca · 0.8 pts / game - Athletic Club Bilbao
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
RCD Mallorca is 25% better for: goals scored per game.
1.11 goals / game - RCD Mallorca · 0.89 goals / game - Athletic Club Bilbao
Athletic Club Bilbao is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.47 goals / game - RCD Mallorca · 1.32 goals / game - Athletic Club Bilbao
RCD Mallorca scores in 79% of games (15 of 19 meczów), while Athletic Club Bilbao keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 meczów).
Athletic Club Bilbao scores in 58% of games (11 of 19 meczów), while RCD Mallorca keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - RCD Mallorca
Over / Under - Athletic Club Bilbao
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Athletic Club Bilbao is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / game - RCD Mallorca · 1.21 pts / game - Athletic Club Bilbao
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
RCD Mallorca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Athletic Club Bilbao - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
RCD Mallorca
Athletic Club Bilbao
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| RCD Mallorca | Liga | Athletic Club Bilbao | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.58 | 2.57 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 52% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 46% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 26% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 66% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 82% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from RCD Mallorca's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Athletic Club Bilbao. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Club Bilbao?
The La Liga match finished RCD Mallorca 3:2 Athletic Club Bilbao. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Club Bilbao?
RCD Mallorca score 1.11 goals per game on average and Athletic Club Bilbao 0.89. The La Liga average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 68% of RCD Mallorca's matches and 37% of Athletic Club Bilbao's.
What form are RCD Mallorca and Athletic Club Bilbao in?
Over the last 5 games RCD Mallorca have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Athletic Club Bilbao 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Club Bilbao?
The statistical background for RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Club Bilbao — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.