RCD Mallorca vs Valencia CF: match statistics
RCD Mallorca vs Valencia CF: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
RCD Mallorca played against Valencia CF in La Liga (Spain). The game was played on April 21, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
RCD Mallorca has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Valencia CF has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
RCD Mallorca scores 1.26 goals per game and allows 1.55. Valencia CF scores 1.10 and allows 1.48. Games in this league average 2.69 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 65% of RCD Mallorca's games and 52% of Valencia CF's. The Over 2.5 rates are 68% and 42%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Valencia CF has the higher season xG average, 1.27 to 1.21 per game. RCD Mallorca takes 10.4 shots per game, while Valencia CF takes 11.7.
First-half and second-half trends
RCD Mallorca leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. Valencia CF leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.81 after halftime.
When the teams score
RCD Mallorca's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). For Valencia CF, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
La Liga games average 2.69 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
RCD Mallorca holds a clear advantage in home metrics: on average 1.63 goals per home match versus just 0.81 goals scored by Valencia in away fixtures. The hosts average 11.56 shots and 4.38 shots on target per home game with a conversion rate of 14%, while Valencia on the road posts 9.81 shots, 2.88 on target and only an 8% conversion, translating into fewer chances and goals. The visitors failed to score in 38% of their away matches, and their average goals conceded away is 1.75 versus 1.19 conceded by Mallorca at home; additionally Mallorca has a home goal difference of +7, while Valencia’s away goal difference is -15. In the last 5 matches Mallorca scored 10 goals and averaged 2.0 points per game, whereas Valencia scored 7 goals and averaged 1.2 points, confirming the hosts’ superior form. The xG differential also favors Mallorca (1.35 xG at home vs 1.1 xG for Valencia away), so I expect a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Mallorca has a season BTTS rate of 60% and 80% in the last 5 matches, while Valencia has a season BTTS of 44% and only 40% in the last 5. Mallorca averages 1.4 goals per game season-to-date (2.0 in the last 5) and generates 1.47 xG per match, whereas Valencia scores 0.81 goals seasonally (1.4 in the last 5) with 1.10 xG per match, suggesting Valencia creates chances (last 5 xG 1.67) but converts worse over the season. Defensively, Valencia concedes 1.75 goals per game seasonally with season-long xG against 1.6, and Mallorca concedes 1.2 goals per game with xG against 1.1, meaning at least one side is sufficiently vulnerable to concede. Mallorca produces more shots (13.8 vs 9.81) and more shots on target (3.53 vs 2.88) and has better conversion (10% vs 8%), and both teams have low clean sheet percentages (27% for the home side and 25% for the visitors), which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Considering the league season BTTS of 56%, the clear BTTS uptick for Mallorca in the last 5 (80%) and Valencia’s susceptibility to conceding (1.75 avg and 1.6 xG against), I project BTTS as more likely and estimate 'Yes' at 64% and 'No' at 36%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG implies a total expected goals of 2.64: 1.54 for RCD Mallorca (xG_for 1.47 vs xG_against_away 1.60 → average 1.54) and 1.10 for Valencia (xG_for 1.10 vs xG_against_home 1.10 → 1.10). Using a Poisson distribution with λ=2.64, the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is about 74%, which is further supported by seasonal Over 1.5 rates: Mallorca 87% and Valencia 69%. Over 2.5 is near the coin-flip threshold (≈49% in the model), although in the last 5 matches Mallorca averaged 2.0 goals and Valencia 1.4, which slightly increases the chance of >2.5 but does not provide a clear edge. Over 3.5 looks unlikely (~27%), consistent with seasonal Over 3.5 rates: 20% (Mallorca) and 25% (Valencia), despite Mallorca having more shots (13.8 vs 9.81) and a higher conversion rate (10% vs 8%). Therefore I recommend playing Over 1.5 as the strongest signal: expected 2.64 goals and high seasonal Over 1.5 shares (87% vs 69%) provide the greatest edge for this option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is X/1 (draw at half-time, Mallorca victory at full-time). The home side drew at half-time in 53% of their home matches, which increases the probability of an even first half. Crucially, however, Mallorca scores on average 1.13 goals after the break at home versus only 0.5 goals scored by away teams in second halves, and home matches see a second-half goal in 100% of cases. Mallorca also has superior creation and pressing metrics: xG 1.47 versus Valencia’s 1.1, an average of 13.8 shots compared to 9.81, and a better home points return (1.53 pts vs 0.75 pts), all favouring a post-break victory. Additionally, Valencia is statistically weaker defensively (xG against 1.6 and 1.75 goals conceded per game) and has poor away efficiency (19% wins), so I rate the draw at half-time and home win at full-time scenario as the strongest.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| RCD Mallorca | Valencia CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
RCD Mallorca is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - RCD Mallorca · 1.2 pts / game - Valencia CF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
RCD Mallorca is 15% better for: goals scored per game.
1.26 goals / game - RCD Mallorca · 1.1 goals / game - Valencia CF
Valencia CF is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.55 goals / game - RCD Mallorca · 1.48 goals / game - Valencia CF
RCD Mallorca scores in 74% of games (23 of 31 meczów), while Valencia CF keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 meczów).
Valencia CF scores in 74% of games (23 of 31 meczów), while RCD Mallorca keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - RCD Mallorca
Over / Under - Valencia CF
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Valencia CF is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / game - RCD Mallorca · 1 pts / game - Valencia CF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
RCD Mallorca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Valencia CF - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
RCD Mallorca
Valencia CF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| RCD Mallorca | Liga | Valencia CF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.81 | 2.69 | ▼ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 51% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 24% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 69% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 83% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from RCD Mallorca's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Valencia CF. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of RCD Mallorca vs Valencia CF?
The La Liga match finished RCD Mallorca 1:1 Valencia CF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before RCD Mallorca vs Valencia CF?
RCD Mallorca score 1.26 goals per game on average and Valencia CF 1.10. The La Liga average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 65% of RCD Mallorca's matches and 52% of Valencia CF's.
What form are RCD Mallorca and Valencia CF in?
Over the last 5 games RCD Mallorca have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Valencia CF 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for RCD Mallorca vs Valencia CF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.