Real Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima: match statistics
Real Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Real Garcilaso played against Alianza Lima in Primera División (Peru). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Real Garcilaso has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Alianza Lima has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Real Garcilaso scores 1.48 goals per game and allows 1.41. Alianza Lima scores 1.63 and allows 0.67. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Real Garcilaso's games and 52% of Alianza Lima's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 37%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Alianza Lima has the higher season xG average, 1.68 to 1.38 per game. Real Garcilaso takes 12.7 shots per game, while Alianza Lima takes 15.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Real Garcilaso leads at halftime in 41% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Alianza Lima leads at halftime in 37% and scores 0.85 after halftime.
When the teams score
Real Garcilaso's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). For Alianza Lima, it is minutes 31-45+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 4.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Real Garcilaso have won 69% of their home matches, while Alianza Lima have won 38% of their away games, which points to the hosts. At home, Real Garcilaso average 1.77 goals and create chances worth 1.69 xG, while Alianza Lima average 1.00 goal and 1.17 xG away from home. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with just 1 win for Alianza, although the visitors have conceded far fewer goals over the season: 18 versus 38. Both teams concede an average of 0.69 goals in the respective conditions relevant to this match, and 54% of Alianza's away games have ended in a draw. Real Garcilaso's attacking edge and home form make a home win the most likely outcome, but the visitors' solid defense increases the chances of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS scenario has a slight edge, as both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of their last five matches. Real Garcilaso average 2.21 goals at home and generate 2.16 xG, although Alianza Lima concede just 0.69 goals per away match. The greater uncertainty surrounds the visitors finding the net: they average 1.0 goal away from home, while the hosts concede 0.64 at home. However, Alianza’s recent attacking form supports their chances — their xG across the last five matches was 1.99, while Real allowed opponents 1.79 xG. The solid defenses limit confidence in the prediction, but these recent figures tip the assessment slightly towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Real Garcilaso score an average of 2.21 goals at home and generate an xG of 2.16, but Alianza Lima concede just 0.69 goals per away match, limiting the hosts' attacking potential. The visitors average 1.00 goal away from home, while the hosts concede 0.64 at home, resulting in a projected 1.55 goals for Real and 0.80 for Alianza. Under 3.5 goals landed in 79% of Real's home matches and in as many as 92% of Alianza's away games. The last five matches do show greater volatility from the hosts—60% went over 2.5 goals, compared with 20% of the visitors' matches—but the 3.5-goal line offers a clearer signal. Therefore, the pick is Under 3.5 goals, with the probability estimated at 82%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Real Garcilaso led at the break in 50% of their home matches and were ahead at half-time in three of their last five games, supporting the case for them to take an early lead. The hosts average 2.21 goals per match, compared with Alianza Lima’s 1.00 away from home, while their xG stands at 2.16 against 1.17 for their opponents. Their attacking edge is also reflected in an average of 6.71 shots on target for the hosts versus 3.38 for the visitors, as well as Real’s 79% home win rate. The strongest single HT/FT scenario is therefore for the hosts to lead both at half-time and at full-time. The risk of a draw remains significant, as Alianza drew at the break in 62% of their away matches and finished level in 54% of them.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Real Garcilaso | Alianza Lima | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Real Garcilaso is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Real Garcilaso · 1 pts / game - Alianza Lima
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alianza Lima is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.48 goals / game - Real Garcilaso · 1.63 goals / game - Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima is 110% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.41 goals / game - Real Garcilaso · 0.67 goals / game - Alianza Lima
Real Garcilaso scores in 81% of games (22 of 27 games), while Alianza Lima keeps a clean sheet in 41% (11 of 27 games).
Alianza Lima scores in 89% of games (24 of 27 games), while Real Garcilaso keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Real Garcilaso
Over / Under - Alianza Lima
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Garcilaso is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / game - Real Garcilaso · 1.59 pts / game - Alianza Lima
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Garcilaso - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Alianza Lima - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 59%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Real Garcilaso
Alianza Lima
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Real Garcilaso | Liga | Alianza Lima | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.89 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 58% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 53% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 24% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Real Garcilaso's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Alianza Lima. Games average 4.33 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima?
The Primera División match finished Real Garcilaso 1:2 Alianza Lima. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Garcilaso and Alianza Lima?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Real Garcilaso won 1, Alianza Lima won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima?
Real Garcilaso score 1.48 goals per game on average and Alianza Lima 1.63. The Primera División average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Real Garcilaso's matches and 52% of Alianza Lima's.
What form are Real Garcilaso and Alianza Lima in?
Over the last 5 games Real Garcilaso have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Alianza Lima 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.