Real Garcilaso vs Atlético Grau: match statistics
Real Garcilaso vs Atlético Grau: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Real Garcilaso play Atlético Grau in Primera División (Peru). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 00:15. Venue: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Real Garcilaso: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Atlético Grau: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Real Garcilaso scores 1.39 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Atlético Grau scores 0.83 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Real Garcilaso 61%, Atlético Grau 33%. Over 2.5: Real Garcilaso 56%, Atlético Grau 33%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Real Garcilaso has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.34. Real Garcilaso: 12.6 shots per match, Atlético Grau: 11.9.
Match halves
Real Garcilaso: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.67. Atlético Grau: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Real Garcilaso: 76-90+ (7 goals). Atlético Grau: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back a Real Garcilaso win (1) based on a clear home advantage: on average 1.43 goals scored at home versus Atlético Grau’s mere 0.5 goals away. The hosts create more danger — 5.29 shots on target and 15.57 attempts per home match versus the visitors’ 3.38 on target and 9.88 attempts away; xG is 1.61 for Garcilaso against 1.09 for Grau, indicating a tangible quality edge in chances. Defensively Real Garcilaso concede 0.86 goals per home game, while Atlético Grau concede 1.38 on the road, and the hosts have had 0% home matches without scoring compared to the visitors failing to score in 63% of their away fixtures. Recent form slightly evens things: Garcilaso over the last 5 matches have 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses (0.6 points per game), while Atlético Grau in their last 5 have 2 wins and 3 losses (1.2 points per game), so the visitors arrive in marginally better mood. Considering superior possession (61% vs 46%), shot volume and higher xG, I estimate Real Garcilaso at about 60% win probability, 25% draw and 15% for the away victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Real Garcilaso | Atlético Grau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Real Garcilaso is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Real Garcilaso · 1.8 pts / match - Atlético Grau
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Garcilaso is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - Real Garcilaso · 0.83 goals / match - Atlético Grau
Atlético Grau is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Real Garcilaso · 1.06 goals / match - Atlético Grau
Real Garcilaso scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Atlético Grau keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
Atlético Grau scores in 50% of matches (9 of 18 matches), while Real Garcilaso keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Real Garcilaso
Over / Under — Atlético Grau
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Garcilaso is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Real Garcilaso · 1.39 pts / match - Atlético Grau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Garcilaso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Grau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 28%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Real Garcilaso
Atlético Grau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Real Garcilaso | Liga | Atlético Grau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.78 | 2.67 | ▼ 1.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 58% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 53% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 24% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 65% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 80% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Real Garcilaso 1 - 1 - 0 Atlético Grau. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Garcilaso vs Atlético Grau?
The Primera División match finished Real Garcilaso 1:0 Atlético Grau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Garcilaso and Atlético Grau?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Real Garcilaso won 1, Atlético Grau won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Garcilaso vs Atlético Grau?
Real Garcilaso score 1.39 goals per game on average and Atlético Grau 0.83. The Primera División average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Real Garcilaso's matches and 33% of Atlético Grau's.
What form are Real Garcilaso and Atlético Grau in?
Over the last 5 games Real Garcilaso have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Atlético Grau 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Garcilaso vs Atlético Grau?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Real Garcilaso vs Atlético Grau: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.