Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: match statistics
Real Madrid decidedly outperforms Rayo Vallecano across all key statistics. The hosts rank 2nd in the table with an impressive 90% win rate at home, scoring an average of 2.3 goals per match while conceding just 0.6. Rayo Vallecano sits in 17th place with a dire away form – 64% losses, averaging only 0.82 goals scored and conceding as many as 1.73 per match. The difference in quality is also evident in xG: Real generates 2.4 xG at home compared to Rayo's 1.32 xG away. Furthermore, Rayo fails to score in 64% of their away matches, which, against Real's offensive power (45 goals this season), points to a clear home victory. The only factor potentially reducing the advantage is Real's recent form (2 losses in their last 5 matches), yet their statistical dominance in home fixtures remains overwhelming.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Real Madrid played against Rayo Vallecano in La Liga (Spain). The game was played on February 1, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Real Madrid has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Rayo Vallecano has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Real Madrid scores 2.14 goals per game and allows 0.81. Rayo Vallecano scores 0.81 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 2.62 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Real Madrid's games and 38% of Rayo Vallecano's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 38%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Real Madrid has the higher season xG average, 2.22 to 1.49 per game. Real Madrid takes 19.4 shots per game, while Rayo Vallecano takes 13.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Real Madrid leads at halftime in 52% of its games and scores 1.19 goals per game after halftime. Rayo Vallecano leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Real Madrid's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Rayo Vallecano, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
La Liga games average 2.62 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Real Madrid decidedly outperforms Rayo Vallecano across all key statistics. The hosts rank 2nd in the table with an impressive 90% win rate at home, scoring an average of 2.3 goals per match while conceding just 0.6. Rayo Vallecano sits in 17th place with a dire away form – 64% losses, averaging only 0.82 goals scored and conceding as many as 1.73 per match. The difference in quality is also evident in xG: Real generates 2.4 xG at home compared to Rayo's 1.32 xG away. Furthermore, Rayo fails to score in 64% of their away matches, which, against Real's offensive power (45 goals this season), points to a clear home victory. The only factor potentially reducing the advantage is Real's recent form (2 losses in their last 5 matches), yet their statistical dominance in home fixtures remains overwhelming.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Real Madrid | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Real Madrid is 275% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Real Madrid · 0.8 pts / game - Rayo Vallecano
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Madrid is 164% better for: goals scored per game.
2.14 goals / game - Real Madrid · 0.81 goals / game - Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid is 64% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.81 goals / game - Real Madrid · 1.33 goals / game - Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid scores in 90% of games (19 of 21 meczów), while Rayo Vallecano keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 meczów).
Rayo Vallecano scores in 52% of games (11 of 21 meczów), while Real Madrid keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Real Madrid
Over / Under - Rayo Vallecano
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Madrid is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Real Madrid · 1.14 pts / game - Rayo Vallecano
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Madrid - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 76%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Rayo Vallecano - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Real Madrid | Liga | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.95 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 53% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 49% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 66% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 84% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Real Madrid's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Rayo Vallecano. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
The La Liga match finished Real Madrid 2:1 Rayo Vallecano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
Real Madrid score 2.14 goals per game on average and Rayo Vallecano 0.81. The La Liga average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Real Madrid's matches and 38% of Rayo Vallecano's.
What form are Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano in?
Over the last 5 games Real Madrid have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Rayo Vallecano 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
The statistical background for Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.