Real Madrid vs Villarreal: match statistics
Real Madrid vs Villarreal: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Real Madrid played against Villarreal in La Liga (Spain). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Real Madrid has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Villarreal has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Real Madrid scores 2.57 goals per game and allows 1.14. Villarreal scores 1.86 and allows 1.71. Games in this league average 3.03 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Real Madrid's games and 86% of Villarreal's. The Over 2.5 rates are 86% and 86%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Real Madrid has the higher season xG average, 2.15 to 1.99 per game. Real Madrid takes 18.9 shots per game, while Villarreal takes 16.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Real Madrid leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 1.14 goals per game after halftime. Villarreal leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
Real Madrid's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Villarreal, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
La Liga games average 3.03 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Real Madrid have won all of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 4 goals and conceding just 0.67 per game. Villarreal have won only 25% of their away matches, drawing half of them, and concede an average of 1.5 goals. The hosts create more dangerous chances: their average home xG is 2.45 compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.92, and they also register 10 shots on target per game compared with their opponents’ 6.5. In their last five matches, Real have won 3 times and Villarreal 2, with the visitors conceding 10 goals over that period. Villarreal can pose an attacking threat, but Real’s clinical finishing and results at home so far point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams regularly feature in matches with goals at both ends: this applies to 100% of Real Madrid’s matches and 75% of Villarreal’s, compared with 57% across the league. The hosts average 2.0 goals at home and the visitors 1.75 away, with xG figures of 2.08 and 1.92 respectively, pointing to strong attacking potential from both sides. At the same time, Real concede an average of 2.0 goals at home, while Villarreal concede 1.5 away; neither team has kept a clean sheet in these conditions. Recent form over the last 5 matches reinforces this signal: both teams scored in 80% of Real’s matches and 100% of Villarreal’s. Although Villarreal failed to score in 25% of their away matches, the balance of the other indicators favors BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Real Madrid score an average of 2.0 goals per match, while Villarreal average 1.75; their average xG figures are 2.08 and 1.92, respectively, indicating strong attacking potential from both teams. The hosts’ last five matches averaged 3.4 goals, while the visitors’ matches averaged 4.2, with the Over 2.5 goals line landing in 80% and 100% of those games, respectively. Both teams conceded at least one goal in every match included in the home and away statistics, further increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends. The forecast of 3.9 goals also supports higher lines, but Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick: it landed in 100% of Real Madrid’s home matches and 75% of Villarreal’s away matches, with an estimated probability of 90%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Real Madrid led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches and did not concede before half-time in any of them, while Villarreal led at half-time only once. This points to the home side taking the lead, although the 3 half-time draws in the visitors’ last 5 matches mean a goalless or scoring draw remains a realistic alternative. Across those same five matches, Real won 3 times and Villarreal 2; the hosts scored an average of 2.0 goals per match, while the visitors conceded 2.0. However, holding on to the lead is not certain, as Real lost the second half in 4 of their last 5 matches, and Villarreal averaged 1.2 goals after the break. Despite this risk, the combination of Real’s clearly stronger first halves and their more favourable recent record makes a home lead at half-time followed by a home win the most likely single HT/FT outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Real Madrid | Villarreal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Real Madrid is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Real Madrid · 1.2 pts / game - Villarreal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Madrid is 38% better for: goals scored per game.
2.57 goals / game - Real Madrid · 1.86 goals / game - Villarreal
Real Madrid is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.14 goals / game - Real Madrid · 1.71 goals / game - Villarreal
Real Madrid scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 games), while Villarreal keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 games).
Villarreal scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 games), while Real Madrid keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Real Madrid
Over / Under - Villarreal
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Madrid is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.86 pts / game - Real Madrid · 1 pts / game - Villarreal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Madrid - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Villarreal - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +8 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Real Madrid
Villarreal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Real Madrid | Liga | Villarreal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.71 | 3.03 | ▲ 3.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 58% | ▲ 86% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 86% | 57% | ▲ 86% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 68% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 82% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Real Madrid's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Villarreal. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
The La Liga match finished Real Madrid 1:0 Villarreal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Villarreal?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Real Madrid won 2, Villarreal won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
Real Madrid score 2.57 goals per game on average and Villarreal 1.86. The La Liga average is 3.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Real Madrid's matches and 86% of Villarreal's.
What form are Real Madrid and Villarreal in?
Over the last 5 games Real Madrid have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Villarreal 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Real Madrid vs Villarreal: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.