Real Potosí vs Guabirá: match statistics
Real Potosí vs Guabirá: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Real Potosí played against Guabirá in LFPB (Bolivia). The game was played on April 22, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Real Potosí has 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Guabirá has 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 0.50 points per game.
Scoring records
Real Potosí scores 0.50 goals per game and allows 0.50. Guabirá scores 1.00 and allows 3.50. Games in this league average 3.15 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Real Potosí's games and 50% of Guabirá's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 100%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Real Potosí has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.69 per game. Real Potosí takes 18.0 shots per game, while Guabirá takes 15.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Real Potosí leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Guabirá leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Real Potosí's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (1 goals). For Guabirá, it is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
LFPB games average 3.15 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Prediction: home win ('1'). Real Potosí at home has 100% draws at home, 100% clean sheets and an average of 0 goals conceded per match, with an opponent xG of 0.46, indicating a very solid defensive record in home fixtures. Guabirá away has 100% losses, concedes an average of 5 goals per match with an opponent xG of 2.83 and has shipped 13 goals in the last 5 matches, suggesting serious defensive issues. Offensively Real scored 7 goals in the last 5 matches and records a home xG of 1.39, while Guabirá has 3 goals in the last 5, an away xG of 1.38 and an average of 0 goals scored on the road, so the advantage in quality of chances also slightly favors the hosts. Considering the defensive gap (0 vs 5 goals conceded per match home/away), the superior goal return in the last 5 matches (7 vs 3) and the defensive xG 0.46 versus 2.83 for Guabirá, I assign Real a 60% probability, draw 25% and away 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Real Potosí in the last 5 matches scored 7 and conceded 4 (avg 1.4 and 0.8), has recent xG of 1.7 and season xG_for 2.01, indicating the home side consistently creates and converts chances. Guabirá in their last 5 has only 3 scored and 13 conceded (0.6 and 2.6 avg), but their xG in the last 5 is 1.69 and season xG_for 1.38, which exceeds the season xG conceded by Real (0.79) — meaning the visitors create chances despite low finishing efficiency. Season data also show Guabirá concedes a lot (seasonConcededAVG_away 5.0) while Real has seasonScoredAVG_home 2.0, increasing the likelihood of goals from the home side. On the other hand, Guabirá’s very low shot conversion (shot_conversion_rate_away 0.0 and season avg scored 0.0) reduces confidence that the visitors will score, so the risk of No Goal is not negligible. Overall, considering the xG advantage and pace of chance creation for both teams and a league BTTS rate of 56%, I favor BTTS - Yes (65%) over No Goal (35%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and statistical analysis indicate a match with an elevated goal count: Real Potosí has xG for 2.01, while Guabirá concedes on average xG 2.83, yielding an expected home goals value (average of these) of roughly 2.42. Guabirá has xG for 1.38, and Real Potosí allows opponents xG 0.79, giving expected away goals of about 1.09 and a total expected 3.51 goals. Additionally, the league averages 3.13 goals per match; Real Potosí in the last 5 fixtures scored 7 and conceded 4 (1.4 and 0.8 avg), while Guabirá in the last 5 scored 3 and conceded 13 (0.6 and 2.6), confirming the away defense’s susceptibility. A Poisson model with λ=3.51 estimates: Over 1.5 ~87% (Under 13%), Over 2.5 ~68% (Under 32%), and Over 3.5 ~47% (Under 53%). Based on this, I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the strongest signal — with an expected 3.51 goals and clear defensive vulnerability from Guabirá (2.83 xG conceded on average and 2.6 goals conceded in the last 5 matches), a bet on over 1.5 goals has the highest probability of success.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Real Potosí holds a clear advantage in expected goals: the home xG is 2.01 versus 1.38 for Guabirá, while the hosts concede an average of 0.79 xG per match compared to 2.83 for the visitors, indicating Real’s superiority in chance creation and in limiting opponents’ opportunities. This is reflected in shots — Real averages 18 shots and 7 on target versus Guabirá’s 13 shots and 6 on target, with the hosts’ conversion rate at 11% versus 0% for the visitors. The away team concedes an average of 5.0 goals per match and is most vulnerable between the 16th and 30th minutes (2.0 goals conceded), while Real has 1.0 goal scored in that interval, increasing the likelihood that the hosts will take the lead at the break. Given the xG advantage, greater shot volume and efficiency, the strongest scenario is Real leading at half-time and winning after 90 minutes (HT/FT 1/1 38%), the second-strongest signal is a draw at half-time and a home win after the break (HT/FT X/1 24%), while other outcomes are considered less likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Real Potosí | Guabirá | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 19% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Real Potosí is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Real Potosí · 0.5 pts / game - Guabirá
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guabirá is 100% better for: goals scored per game.
0.5 goals / game - Real Potosí · 1 goals / game - Guabirá
Real Potosí is 600% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.5 goals / game - Real Potosí · 3.5 goals / game - Guabirá
Real Potosí scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 meczów), while Guabirá keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 meczów).
Guabirá scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 meczów), while Real Potosí keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Real Potosí
Over / Under - Guabirá
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Potosí is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Real Potosí · 0.5 pts / game - Guabirá
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Potosí - second-half results
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Guabirá - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Average goals per game | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Real Potosí
Guabirá
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).
Teams vs league
| Real Potosí | Liga | Guabirá | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.00 | 3.15 | ▲ 4.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 60% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 0% | 75% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 90% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Potosí vs Guabirá?
The LFPB match finished Real Potosí 3:0 Guabirá. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Potosí vs Guabirá?
Real Potosí score 0.50 goals per game on average and Guabirá 1.00. The LFPB average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Real Potosí's matches and 50% of Guabirá's.
What form are Real Potosí and Guabirá in?
Over the last 5 games Real Potosí have a 0-2-0 record (1.00 points per game) and Guabirá 0-1-1 (0.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Potosí vs Guabirá?
The statistical background for Real Potosí vs Guabirá — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.