Real Salt Lake vs Sporting KC: match statistics
Real Salt Lake vs Sporting KC: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Real Salt Lake played against Sporting KC in MLS (United States). The game was played on April 4, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Real Salt Lake has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Sporting KC has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Real Salt Lake scores 1.80 goals per game and allows 1.40. Sporting KC scores 1.00 and allows 2.20. Games in this league average 3.05 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 80% of Real Salt Lake's games and 60% of Sporting KC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 80%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Real Salt Lake has the higher season xG average, 1.66 to 0.89 per game. Real Salt Lake takes 16.2 shots per game, while Sporting KC takes 7.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Real Salt Lake leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Sporting KC leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
Real Salt Lake's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). For Sporting KC, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.05 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Real Salt Lake has a clear advantage in offensive metrics and form: at home they average 2.0 goals scored per match and 2.09 xG with 19.5 shots and 6.5 shots on target, while Sporting KC away records 1.0 goals per match, 0.84 xG, 7 shots and 2.5 shots on target. The hosts have not had a clean sheet-less home game (0% of home matches without scoring), whereas the visitors failed to score in 50% of away matches, which significantly reduces their chances. Defensively Sporting concedes on average 2.0 goals away, and Real concedes 1.0 at home; xG against stands at 1.41 for Real and 1.88 for Sporting, indicating greater susceptibility of the visitors to dangerous situations. Form corroborates the gap: Real’s last 5 are lwwwd with an average of 2 points per game, while Sporting’s run is ldlwl with only 0.8 points per game. Given the superiority in xG (2.09 vs 0.84), shot volume (19.5 vs 7) and the visitors’ issues with finishing and defending, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Real Salt Lake has a season BTTS rate of 67% and 80% in the last 5 matches, while Sporting KC has a season BTTS 50% and 60% in the last 5 matches, indicating a tilt towards Both Teams To Score (67% vs 50%, 80% vs 60%). Both teams are defensively vulnerable: Real concedes on average 2.33 goals this season, Sporting 2.0, and in the last 5 matches they conceded 1.4 (Real) and 2.2 (Sporting), so goals from both sides are probable. This is supported by xG and shot numbers — recent xG: Real 1.66 vs Sporting 0.88, xG against 1.49 vs 1.81, and Real has 3.33 on-target shots vs 2.5 for the visitors, showing the hosts’ advantage in chance creation and the visitors’ defensive risk. Additionally both teams have 0% clean sheets this season, and Sporting has 100% of matches over 2.5 goals this season; the league averages 3.03 goals per match, which confirms an environment favorable to BTTS. Considering the clear indicators — 67%/80% for Real, 50%/60% for Sporting and high goals conceded averages — I back BTTS 'Yes' with a 70% confidence vs 30% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The expected total goals are estimated at approximately 2.81 (expected_goals_home 1.57 vs expected_goals_away 1.24) based on averaged xG: xG_for Real Salt Lake 0.92 against xG_against Sporting KC 1.88 and xG_for Sporting 0.84 against xG_against Real 1.77. In the last 5 matches Real has xG_for 1.66 and xG_against 1.49, while Sporting has xG_for 0.88 and xG_against 1.81; these values push the expected goals total to about 2.8. Seasonal indicators also support the over: Sporting has 100% of matches over 2.5 goals, Real 67%, and in their last 5 games both teams have 80% of matches over 2.5, which strengthens the goals signal. Additionally, both sides concede a lot (Real conceding 2.33 on average, Sporting 2.0 this season) and the league average is 3.03 goals per match, therefore the strongest pick is Over 1.5 (recommendation: Over 1.5, probability ~92%), Over 2.5 I assess at ~71%, and Over 3.5 at ~34%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to the visitors leading at the break and winning: the home team were losing at half-time in 100% of their matches (3 of 3), while the visitors led at the break in 50% of games and on average collect 1.5 points at half-time. Seasonal numbers confirm Sporting KC’s advantage — 50% wins for the visitors versus 0% for Real Salt Lake, with the hosts conceding an average of 2.33 goals per match and scoring 1.0. xG shows similar offensive potential (0.92 for Real Salt Lake vs 0.84 for Sporting KC), but Real Salt Lake concedes more by half-time (1.33 goals on average versus 1.0 for the visitors), increasing the risk of conceding before the break. In the last 5 matches the hosts look better (60% wins and on average 1.2 goals at half-time), however this short-term form spike does not offset the season-long tendency to lose the first half. Therefore the most likely scenario is 2/2 (46%), with the next significant options 2/X (13%) and X/2 (11%), since aggregate half-time statistics and seasonal results most strongly support the visitors leading at the break and winning.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Real Salt Lake | Sporting KC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Real Salt Lake is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Real Salt Lake · 0.8 pts / game - Sporting KC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Salt Lake is 80% better for: goals scored per game.
1.8 goals / game - Real Salt Lake · 1 goals / game - Sporting KC
Real Salt Lake is 57% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.4 goals / game - Real Salt Lake · 2.2 goals / game - Sporting KC
Real Salt Lake scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 meczów), while Sporting KC keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 meczów).
Sporting KC scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 meczów), while Real Salt Lake keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Real Salt Lake
Over / Under - Sporting KC
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Salt Lake is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / game - Real Salt Lake · 0.6 pts / game - Sporting KC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Salt Lake - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sporting KC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Real Salt Lake
Sporting KC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Real Salt Lake | Liga | Sporting KC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.20 | 3.05 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 52% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 60% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 28% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 72% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Salt Lake vs Sporting KC?
The MLS match finished Real Salt Lake 3:1 Sporting KC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Salt Lake vs Sporting KC?
Real Salt Lake score 1.80 goals per game on average and Sporting KC 1.00. The MLS average is 3.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Real Salt Lake's matches and 60% of Sporting KC's.
What form are Real Salt Lake and Sporting KC in?
Over the last 5 games Real Salt Lake have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Sporting KC 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Salt Lake vs Sporting KC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Real Salt Lake vs Sporting KC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.