Real Sociedad vs Valencia CF: match statistics
Real Sociedad vs Valencia CF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Real Sociedad play Valencia CF in La Liga (Spain). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 19:00. Venue: Anoeta Stadium. Final score: 3:4.
Current form
Real Sociedad: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Valencia CF: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Real Sociedad scores 1.55 and concedes 1.61 goals per match. Valencia CF scores 1.21 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Real Sociedad 79%, Valencia CF 55%. Over 2.5: Real Sociedad 58%, Valencia CF 42%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Real Sociedad has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.27. Real Sociedad: 12.3 shots per match, Valencia CF: 11.8.
Match halves
Real Sociedad: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.89. Valencia CF: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Real Sociedad: 76-90+ (14 goals). Valencia CF: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Real Sociedad are the favorites for this match: at home they average 1.89 goals (55 goals this season) and have an average xG of 1.55, whereas Valencia score only 0.83 goals on the road on average (39 goals this season) with an xG of 1.08. Real’s superiority is also visible in the quality and volume of chances — the hosts average 5.06 shots on target and 13.22 shots overall at home, with a conversion rate of 14%, compared to Valencia’s 2.89 on target and 9.67 overall with a 9% conversion. Defensively the teams are similar: Real concedes 1.5 goals at home, Valencia concedes 1.61 away, but Valencia have more clean sheets on the road (28% vs 11%), which increases the risk of a draw. However, recent form slightly favors Valencia — the visitors have 1.6 points per game in their last 5 matches, while Real have only 0.6, so tension and a draw are a realistic possibility. Considering Real’s superior efficiency and chance advantage (approximately 1.06 goals per game and ~0.47 xG difference), I predict a home win; I assign Real a 64% probability, draw 20% and Valencia 16%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Real Sociedad | Valencia CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Valencia CF is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Real Sociedad · 2 pts / match - Valencia CF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Sociedad is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Real Sociedad · 1.21 goals / match - Valencia CF
Valencia CF is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.61 goals / match - Real Sociedad · 1.45 goals / match - Valencia CF
Real Sociedad scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while Valencia CF keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
Valencia CF scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while Real Sociedad keeps a clean sheet in 8% (3 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Real Sociedad
Over / Under — Valencia CF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Sociedad is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / match - Real Sociedad · 1.05 pts / match - Valencia CF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Sociedad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Valencia CF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Real Sociedad
Valencia CF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Real Sociedad | Liga | Valencia CF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.16 | 2.69 | • 2.66 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 79% | 57% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 50% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 24% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 70% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 82% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Real Sociedad 0 - 1 - 0 Valencia CF. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Sociedad vs Valencia CF?
The La Liga match finished Real Sociedad 3:4 Valencia CF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Sociedad vs Valencia CF?
Real Sociedad score 1.55 goals per game on average and Valencia CF 1.21. The La Liga average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 79% of Real Sociedad's matches and 55% of Valencia CF's.
What form are Real Sociedad and Valencia CF in?
Over the last 5 games Real Sociedad have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Valencia CF 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Sociedad vs Valencia CF?
The statistical background for Real Sociedad vs Valencia CF — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


