Real Valladolid vs Burgos CF: match statistics
Real Valladolid is 18th in the table, but they have a decent home record with a 33% win rate and an average of 1.13 goals per match. Burgos CF is in 7th place and shows excellent form in their last five matches (10 points), but their away effectiveness drops to a 40% win rate and just 1 goal on average per match. The key factor is the visitors' defense – in their last five matches, they have conceded only 1 goal, making them a tough opponent. The hosts have the advantage in ball possession (51% vs 44%) and a higher xG in home matches (1.73 vs the visitors' 1.02 xG away), but their lower shooting efficiency (7% conversion rate) and 40% of matches without scoring a goal raise concerns. Considering Burgos' solid defense and the moderate offensive capabilities of both teams, the most likely scenario is a balanced match ending in a draw.
Real Valladolid vs Burgos CF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Real Valladolid play Burgos CF in Segunda División (Spain). The match date is 28 March 2026 at 16:15. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Real Valladolid: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Burgos CF: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Real Valladolid scores 1.05 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Burgos CF scores 1.14 and concedes 0.79. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Real Valladolid 40%, Burgos CF 38%. Over 2.5: Real Valladolid 43%, Burgos CF 31%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Real Valladolid has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.15. Real Valladolid: 12.4 shots per match, Burgos CF: 10.0.
Match halves
Real Valladolid: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.55. Burgos CF: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Real Valladolid: 31-45+ (11 goals). Burgos CF: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Segunda División: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Real Valladolid is 18th in the table, but they have a decent home record with a 33% win rate and an average of 1.13 goals per match. Burgos CF is in 7th place and shows excellent form in their last five matches (10 points), but their away effectiveness drops to a 40% win rate and just 1 goal on average per match. The key factor is the visitors' defense – in their last five matches, they have conceded only 1 goal, making them a tough opponent. The hosts have the advantage in ball possession (51% vs 44%) and a higher xG in home matches (1.73 vs the visitors' 1.02 xG away), but their lower shooting efficiency (7% conversion rate) and 40% of matches without scoring a goal raise concerns. Considering Burgos' solid defense and the moderate offensive capabilities of both teams, the most likely scenario is a balanced match ending in a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Real Valladolid | Burgos CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Burgos CF is 267% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Real Valladolid · 2.2 pts / match - Burgos CF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Burgos CF is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Real Valladolid · 1.14 goals / match - Burgos CF
Burgos CF is 72% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - Real Valladolid · 0.79 goals / match - Burgos CF
Real Valladolid scores in 60% of matches (25 of 42 matches), while Burgos CF keeps a clean sheet in 45% (19 of 42 matches).
Burgos CF scores in 67% of matches (28 of 42 matches), while Real Valladolid keeps a clean sheet in 26% (11 of 42 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Real Valladolid
Over / Under — Burgos CF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Burgos CF is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Real Valladolid · 1.31 pts / match - Burgos CF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Valladolid - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Burgos CF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Real Valladolid
Burgos CF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| Real Valladolid | Liga | Burgos CF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.40 | 2.63 | ▼ 1.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 56% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 50% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 26% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Real Valladolid 1 - 0 - 0 Burgos CF. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Valladolid vs Burgos CF?
The Segunda División match finished Real Valladolid 0:1 Burgos CF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Valladolid vs Burgos CF?
Real Valladolid score 1.05 goals per game on average and Burgos CF 1.14. The Segunda División average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Real Valladolid's matches and 38% of Burgos CF's.
What form are Real Valladolid and Burgos CF in?
Over the last 5 games Real Valladolid have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Burgos CF 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Valladolid vs Burgos CF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.