Red Star Belgrade vs Novi Pazar: match statistics
Red Star Belgrade vs Novi Pazar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Red Star Belgrade play Novi Pazar in SuperLiga (Serbia). The match date is 9 May 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Red Star Belgrade: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Novi Pazar: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Red Star Belgrade scores 2.70 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Novi Pazar scores 1.24 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Red Star Belgrade 54%, Novi Pazar 51%. Over 2.5: Red Star Belgrade 76%, Novi Pazar 49%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Red Star Belgrade has higher xG: 2.51 vs 1.57. Red Star Belgrade: 22.2 shots per match, Novi Pazar: 12.7.
Match halves
Red Star Belgrade: half-time lead 70%, second-half goals 1.43. Novi Pazar: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Red Star Belgrade: 76-90+ (24 goals). Novi Pazar: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
SuperLiga: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 5.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Red Star Belgrade are clear favorites: at home they average 3.47 goals per game, have won 88% of matches at their stadium and this season have 98 goals scored versus 27 conceded. In the last 5 home matches the hosts scored 13 goals (2.6 per game) and recorded 4 wins and 1 draw, while Novi Pazar in their last 5 matches has failed to win (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses) and has only 6 goals. The gap in chance quality is significant: Red Star average 22.65 shots and 9.06 on target at home with xG 2.56, while the visitors on the road register 12.24 shots and 3.59 on target with xG 1.44. Defensively the hosts concede only 0.53 goals per home game and keep 53% clean sheets, whereas Novi Pazar concedes on average 1.35 goals away and fail to score in 47% of their away matches, which further supports backing the home side. Considering the superiority in shots, higher xG (2.56 vs 1.44), better form (PPG 2.6 vs 0.2 over the last 5) and low FTS 6% versus 47%, I assess an 80% probability of a home win, 12% for a draw and 8% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Red Star Belgrade | Novi Pazar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Red Star Belgrade is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Red Star Belgrade · 1 pts / match - Novi Pazar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Red Star Belgrade is 118% better for: goals scored per match.
2.7 goals / match - Red Star Belgrade · 1.24 goals / match - Novi Pazar
Red Star Belgrade is 74% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Red Star Belgrade · 1.46 goals / match - Novi Pazar
Red Star Belgrade scores in 86% of matches (32 of 37 matches), while Novi Pazar keeps a clean sheet in 30% (11 of 37 matches).
Novi Pazar scores in 76% of matches (28 of 37 matches), while Red Star Belgrade keeps a clean sheet in 41% (15 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Red Star Belgrade
Over / Under — Novi Pazar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Red Star Belgrade is 90% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.32 pts / match - Red Star Belgrade · 1.22 pts / match - Novi Pazar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Red Star Belgrade - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 70% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Novi Pazar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (24 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +18 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Red Star Belgrade
Novi Pazar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| Red Star Belgrade | Liga | Novi Pazar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.54 | 2.66 | • 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | • 54% | 53% | ▼ 51% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 76% | 50% | • 49% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 30% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 73% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Red Star Belgrade 2 - 0 - 0 Novi Pazar. Average goals 5.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Red Star Belgrade vs Novi Pazar?
The SuperLiga match finished Red Star Belgrade 1:2 Novi Pazar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Red Star Belgrade and Novi Pazar?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Red Star Belgrade won 2, Novi Pazar won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Red Star Belgrade vs Novi Pazar?
Red Star Belgrade score 2.70 goals per game on average and Novi Pazar 1.24. The SuperLiga average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Red Star Belgrade's matches and 51% of Novi Pazar's.
What form are Red Star Belgrade and Novi Pazar in?
Over the last 5 games Red Star Belgrade have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Novi Pazar 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Red Star Belgrade vs Novi Pazar?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Red Star Belgrade vs Novi Pazar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.