Red Star vs Bastia: match statistics
Red Star vs Bastia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Red Star play Bastia in Ligue 2 (France). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 4:3.
Current form
Red Star: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Bastia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Red Star scores 1.32 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Bastia scores 0.68 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Red Star 47%, Bastia 32%. Over 2.5: Red Star 50%, Bastia 18%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Red Star has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.29. Red Star: 11.8 shots per match, Bastia: 11.5.
Match halves
Red Star: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.71. Bastia: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.26.
Goals by minute
Red Star: 76-90+ (12 goals). Bastia: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Red Star (5th) holds a clear advantage over Bastia (18th): 12 wins vs 3 and 32 goals scored vs 16 indicate home-side dominance this season. At home Red Star averages 13.29 shots and 3.36 on target per match with xG 1.41, while Bastia away posts 9.79 shots, 3.14 on target and xG 1.12, with shot conversion 8% vs 6%. Visitors struggle to score on the road — just 0.57 goals on average and 64% of away fixtures without scoring, whereas hosts score 1.00 at home and fail to score in only 29% of matches. In last 5 matches Red Star averages 1.6 points per game (2W-2D-1L), Bastia 0.6 (0W-3D-2L); home defense concedes 1.14 on average with 43% clean sheets, visitors concede 1.00 away with only 29% clean sheets, and away goal difference is -6 versus -2 for hosts. Given superior chance creation (more shots and higher xG), better conversion and favorable form trends plus a higher percentage of clean-sheet games, I predict a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Red Star | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Red Star is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Red Star · 1.4 pts / match - Bastia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Red Star is 94% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Red Star · 0.68 goals / match - Bastia
Red Star is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.09 goals / match - Red Star · 1.15 goals / match - Bastia
Red Star scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Bastia keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 matches).
Bastia scores in 47% of matches (16 of 34 matches), while Red Star keeps a clean sheet in 41% (14 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Red Star
Over / Under — Bastia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Red Star is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Red Star · 0.97 pts / match - Bastia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Red Star - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bastia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 15%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Red Star
Bastia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Red Star | Liga | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.41 | 2.53 | ▼ 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 52% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 30% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 67% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▼ 53% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Red Star 0 - 1 - 0 Bastia. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Red Star vs Bastia?
The Ligue 2 match finished Red Star 4:3 Bastia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Red Star vs Bastia?
Red Star score 1.32 goals per game on average and Bastia 0.68. The Ligue 2 average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Red Star's matches and 32% of Bastia's.
What form are Red Star and Bastia in?
Over the last 5 games Red Star have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bastia 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Red Star vs Bastia?
The statistical background for Red Star vs Bastia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.