Reggiana vs Carrarese: match statistics
Reggiana vs Carrarese: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Reggiana played against Carrarese in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on April 12, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Reggiana has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Carrarese has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Reggiana scores 0.94 goals per game and allows 1.58. Carrarese scores 1.33 and allows 1.30. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Reggiana's games and 48% of Carrarese's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 48%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Carrarese has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.13 per game. Reggiana takes 10.5 shots per game, while Carrarese takes 12.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Reggiana leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.42 goals per game after halftime. Carrarese leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.91 after halftime.
When the teams score
Reggiana's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). For Carrarese, it is minutes 61-75 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (Carrarese). Carrarese sit 9th in the table versus Reggiana’s 20th and have scored 44 goals this season compared to the home side’s 31; in the last 5 matches the visitors have scored 9 and conceded 3, while Reggiana have scored just 2 and conceded 12. The form gap is clear: Carrarese average 2.0 points per match over the last five fixtures, Reggiana only 0.2, translating into 3 wins and 1 draw for the visitors versus 0 wins and 4 losses for the hosts in that period. Carrarese also show better shot-to-goal efficiency (conversion 11% vs 9%), higher average xG (1.30 vs 1.26) and greater possession (49% vs 43%), indicating game control and higher quality chances. Although Reggiana statistically concede 1.38 goals at home versus 1.75 conceded by Carrarese away, Reggiana’s 12 goals conceded in their last five matches expose serious defensive issues, so I favor the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season-long statistics show a conflict: Carrarese has BTTS at 69% this season, Reggiana only 29%, and the league average BTTS is 55%, which broadly favors a Both Teams To Score scenario. The decisive form argument is the last 5 matches: Reggiana conceded an average of 2.4 goals and scored 0.4 goals per game, while Carrarese averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, so Reggiana has been vulnerable to goals recently and Carrarese is regularly finding the net. xG comparison confirms goal potential on both sides: Reggiana has season xG_for 1.53 versus xG_against_away 1.51, and Carrarese xG_for 1.30 versus xG_against_home 1.26, suggesting genuine goal-scoring opportunities for both teams. The counterargument is Reggiana’s strong home metric — 53% clean sheets at home and a season average of 0.88 goals conceded by hosts — which lowers the BTTS probability, but this advantage has been undermined by poor recent form (2.4 goals conceded in the last 5). Weighing season indicators (Carrarese 69% BTTS, Reggiana 29% BTTS) and the strong signal from the last 5 matches, I assess BTTS probability at 65% vs 35% and recommend a
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model projects a total expected goals of 2.80 (xG Reggiana 1.52 vs xG Carrarese 1.28), which is above the league average of 2.56 and places the match beyond the 2.5 threshold. Season-to-date over-2.5 rates are 41% for Reggiana and 56% for Carrarese (average ~48%), and in the last 5 matches Reggiana had 60% over 2.5 while Carrarese had 40%, yielding a mixed but moderate signal in favor of the over. Reggiana have scored only 2 and conceded 12 in their last five (0.4 scored and 2.4 conceded per match), whereas Carrarese have scored 9 and conceded 3 (1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded), which increases the likelihood of goals at both ends. Additionally, average shots 14.06 (home) vs 11.63 (away), SOT 4.41 vs 3.75 and BTTS 29% (home) vs 69% (away) suggest the visitors frequently score and the overall attacking intensity supports an over. Based on xG 2.80, current form and seasonal stats, I recommend Over 2.5 as the strongest bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Reggiana draw at half-time in 65% of matches and lead at the break in only 18%, so the most common scoreline at 45 minutes is a draw. The home side win 41% of their home matches, have a higher xG (1.53 versus Carrarese’s 1.30) and in the second half average 0.94 goals scored and 0.47 conceded (scored_2hg_avg_home 0.94 vs conceded_2hg_avg_home 0.47), which gives them an advantage after the break. Carrarese have only a 19% away win rate and concede on average 1.75 goals per away game, and their fixtures are often both-teams-to-score (BTTS 69%), which reduces the likelihood that they will complete a turnaround after a half-time draw. Reggiana keep a clean sheet at half-time in 71% of cases (seasonCSPercentageHT_home 71), so the scenario draw at half-time and a home win at full-time is the strongest signal. Therefore the strongest HT/FT pick is X/1, which I assign the highest probability of 28%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Reggiana | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Carrarese is 900% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Reggiana · 2 pts / game - Carrarese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrarese is 41% better for: goals scored per game.
0.94 goals / game - Reggiana · 1.33 goals / game - Carrarese
Carrarese is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.58 goals / game - Reggiana · 1.3 goals / game - Carrarese
Reggiana scores in 70% of games (23 of 33 meczów), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 33% (11 of 33 meczów).
Carrarese scores in 67% of games (22 of 33 meczów), while Reggiana keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Reggiana
Over / Under - Carrarese
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Reggiana - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Carrarese - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Reggiana
Carrarese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Reggiana | Liga | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.52 | 2.55 | • 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 49% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 26% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Reggiana's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Carrarese. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Reggiana vs Carrarese?
The Serie B match finished Reggiana 2:0 Carrarese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Reggiana vs Carrarese?
Reggiana score 0.94 goals per game on average and Carrarese 1.33. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Reggiana's matches and 48% of Carrarese's.
What form are Reggiana and Carrarese in?
Over the last 5 games Reggiana have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Carrarese 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Reggiana vs Carrarese?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Reggiana vs Carrarese: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.