Remo vs Botafogo: match statistics

Remo sit 19th and Botafogo 11th, but the home and away statistics point in the hosts’ favor. Remo lose 38% of their home matches, while Botafogo have suffered defeat in 56% of their away games and concede an average of 1.81 goals in those matches, compared with 1.31 goals conceded by Remo at home. The hosts also create slightly better scoring chances: their home xG is 1.58, while Botafogo’s away xG stands at 1.36. Both teams are struggling in front of goal, however — each has scored just 3 goals in its last five matches, and Remo have not won any of them. A home win is therefore the most likely outcome, although Remo’s 44% home draw rate means a share of the points remains a realistic possibility.

BTTS has landed in 69% of Remo matches and 63% of Botafogo matches, both above the league average of 59%. Remo score an average of 1.63 goals, while Botafogo concede 1.81; moreover, the visitors have kept a clean sheet in only 6% of their matches, strongly pointing to a home goal. Botafogo also have a realistic chance of scoring: they average 1.13 goals, while Remo concede 1.38 and keep a clean sheet in 25% of matches. However, caution is warranted, as both teams have averaged just 0.6 goals per game across their last 5 matches, and Botafogo have failed to score in 31% of their matches this season. Despite this recent dip in finishing, the teams’ season-long figures favor BTTS - Yes.

At least two goals were scored in 81% of matches involving these teams, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal. Remo average 1.63 goals scored, while Botafogo concede 1.81; their average xG figures also point to goals for the hosts, with Remo recording 1.77 in attack and Botafogo 1.75 in defense. The visitors average 1.13 goals scored, while Remo concede 1.38, so Botafogo finding the net is also a realistic prospect. Caution on higher lines is warranted by the last five matches: both teams scored an average of just 0.6 goals, while Over 2.5 landed in 20% of Remo’s matches and 40% of Botafogo’s. The forecast of 2.78 goals gives Over 1.5 a clearer edge than betting on at least three goals.

A draw at half-time is likely, as Remo have failed to score in the first half of each of their last five matches, although Botafogo have conceded an average of 1.2 goals before the break over that period. The hosts should have a clearer advantage after the interval: across the season, they average 1.06 goals in the second half compared with Botafogo’s 0.50, and they have won the second half twice in their last five matches, while the visitors have yet to do so. Remo also have the stronger overall season record, averaging 1.50 points per match compared with 0.94, and create more chances, with an xG of 1.77 against their opponents’ 1.36. Remo’s failure to win any of their last five matches tempers confidence in the pick, but the combination of a cautious opening and the hosts’ advantage after the break points to an X/1 scenario in the Half-Time/Full-Time (HT/FT) market.